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Author Topic: PA/NH/IA PPP polls  (Read 2174 times)
Joni Ernst 20∞
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« on: September 07, 2016, 08:19:26 am »

Pennsylvania

47% Clinton (D)
42% Trump (R)

http://weneednine.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/PAToplines1.pdf

New Hampshire

46% Clinton (D)
41% Trump (R)

http://weneednine.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/NHToplines1.pdf

Iowa

45% Clinton (D)
43% Trump (R)

http://weneednine.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/IAToplines1.pdf
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afleitch
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« Reply #1 on: September 07, 2016, 08:26:15 am »

No change for PA, Clinton lead down 1 in NH and her first lead in an Iowa poll since mid August.
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« Reply #2 on: September 07, 2016, 08:32:40 am »

No change for PA, Clinton lead down 1 in NH and her first lead in an Iowa poll since mid August.

I'd say good news, and a good indicator that the CNN poll was definitely an outlier.
« Last Edit: September 07, 2016, 08:37:44 am by Arch »Logged

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« Reply #3 on: September 07, 2016, 08:36:59 am »

The race has stabilized kind of where we were at in 2012 with some places being more 2000ish and others more 2008ish. 
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #4 on: September 07, 2016, 08:38:36 am »

Again, doesn't seem like Trump is making any actual gains of his own.
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« Reply #5 on: September 07, 2016, 08:39:45 am »

One week old poll, Aug 30-31.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #6 on: September 07, 2016, 08:48:14 am »

BEAUTIFUL!
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« Reply #7 on: September 07, 2016, 08:53:33 am »

Below was one of the questions. It makes it seem a bit of a push poll to me having it included, and the way it was phrased.

"There are currently 92 vacancies in lower federal Courts that have not been filled because Senate Republicans have shut down confirmation hearings of any nominees named by President Obama. Do you approve or disapprove of Senate Republicans refusing to allow votes on President Obama’s nominees to lower federal Courts?"
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« Reply #8 on: September 07, 2016, 08:57:45 am »

Below was one of the questions. It makes it seem a bit of a push poll to me having it included, and the way it was phrased.

"There are currently 92 vacancies in lower federal Courts that have not been filled because Senate Republicans have shut down confirmation hearings of any nominees named by President Obama. Do you approve or disapprove of Senate Republicans refusing to allow votes on President Obama’s nominees to lower federal Courts?"

Actually one of my bigger complaints with PPP. They put out good polls, but when they do stuff like this or ask 20 questions about if Trump is more favorable than cockroaches (and don't even ask the same of Clinton), it hurts their credibility.
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« Reply #9 on: September 07, 2016, 09:13:12 am »

Below was one of the questions. It makes it seem a bit of a push poll to me having it included, and the way it was phrased.

"There are currently 92 vacancies in lower federal Courts that have not been filled because Senate Republicans have shut down confirmation hearings of any nominees named by President Obama. Do you approve or disapprove of Senate Republicans refusing to allow votes on President Obama’s nominees to lower federal Courts?"

Actually one of my bigger complaints with PPP. They put out good polls, but when they do stuff like this or ask 20 questions about if Trump is more favorable than cockroaches (and don't even ask the same of Clinton), it hurts their credibility.

As long as the presidential preference question is first, this isn't much of a problem. It looks silly, but it shouldn't affect the results much.
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« Reply #10 on: September 07, 2016, 09:18:42 am »

Below was one of the questions. It makes it seem a bit of a push poll to me having it included, and the way it was phrased.

"There are currently 92 vacancies in lower federal Courts that have not been filled because Senate Republicans have shut down confirmation hearings of any nominees named by President Obama. Do you approve or disapprove of Senate Republicans refusing to allow votes on President Obama’s nominees to lower federal Courts?"

Actually one of my bigger complaints with PPP. They put out good polls, but when they do stuff like this or ask 20 questions about if Trump is more favorable than cockroaches (and don't even ask the same of Clinton), it hurts their credibility.

Since this poll was done for WeNeedNine, which is a lobbying group trying to get the Senate to hold hearings on Garland, the question likely came from them.  It looks like the Presidential and Senatorial preference questions came first, so it shouldn't have affected those answers.

I agree that PPP does ask some stupid questions in their public polls (the ones not for a client).  It makes them look unprofessional, which is a shame because on the whole I think they're a decent pollster.
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« Reply #11 on: September 07, 2016, 09:45:58 am »

This is a D Internal. To the trash!
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #12 on: September 07, 2016, 09:48:02 am »

It is a head-to-head. In last polls third parties started to get more from Clinton than Trump. So pretty much in line. But PPP seems right now like little bit pro-Hillary house effect though. Especially not-public ones.
« Last Edit: September 07, 2016, 09:50:22 am by LittleBigOctopus »Logged

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« Reply #13 on: September 07, 2016, 09:54:13 am »

I'm so glad we have the Junk Poll Police (Wulfric) to remind us that every single poll that could any way he considered an internal is junk. I need to see that in literally every thread, otherwise I'll forget.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #14 on: September 07, 2016, 09:59:17 am »

I'm so glad we have the Junk Poll Police (Wulfric) to remind us that every single poll that could any way he considered an internal is junk. I need to see that in literally every thread, otherwise I'll forget.
It is not a public poll, so it has the some problems that internals, right? Those got published only if the firm liked the results (the results does not need to have something to do with Trump vs Clinton though), and not othervise. Am I right? Smiley


But it is fine by me, as long as we look at average Smiley
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #15 on: September 07, 2016, 10:10:57 am »

Nice !
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #16 on: September 07, 2016, 10:11:48 am »

Nice !
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #17 on: September 07, 2016, 10:26:15 am »

It just makes me satisfied to see that the clown isn't near anything in PA except losing.
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Cruzcrew
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« Reply #18 on: September 07, 2016, 11:46:46 am »

It's a bad sign for Clinton if it's this close in these 3 states in a poll done for a left leaning advocacy group.
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« Reply #19 on: September 07, 2016, 12:13:12 pm »

Happy with these polls especially that result in Iowa.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #20 on: September 07, 2016, 12:28:05 pm »

It just makes me satisfied to see that the clown isn't near anything in PA except losing.

Five points is hardly insurmountable for Trump.

I suppose it's good to see him behind in Iowa for once though.
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« Reply #21 on: September 07, 2016, 05:55:31 pm »

It just makes me satisfied to see that the clown isn't near anything in PA except losing.

Five points is hardly insurmountable for Trump.

If he actually had a campaign then many would agree with you.
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olowakandi
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« Reply #22 on: September 07, 2016, 06:05:54 pm »

272 blue wall along with CO, NM and NV alive!!!
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #23 on: September 07, 2016, 07:57:33 pm »

Too old for my home-stretch polling thread
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« Reply #24 on: September 07, 2016, 09:49:11 pm »

Thank God.
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