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Author Topic: OR - DHM Research/Oregon Poll: Clinton +13 (4-way)  (Read 721 times)
Seriously?
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« on: September 07, 2016, 07:36:38 pm »

DHM Research/Oregon Poll (9/1-6) Clinton +13
Clinton 38%
Trump 25%
Johnson 10%
Stein 3%
Somebody Else 8%
Won't Vote 2%
Don't Know 15%

September 1-6, 2016; 517 RV; MOE +/- 4.3%

Source: http://media.oregonlive.com/politics_impact/other/DHM%20Oregon%20Statewide%20Survey%20--%20Media%20Advisory%20&%20Annotated%20Questionnaire%20--%20September%202016.pdf
« Last Edit: September 07, 2016, 10:04:56 pm by Seriously? »Logged
NOVA Green
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« Reply #1 on: September 07, 2016, 07:51:15 pm »

Obviously, this poll didn't push leaners, but overall +13 Clinton sounds about right, and although there is definitely a significant 3rd Party defection, in a state where this is not abnormal, definitely looks to be safe Clinton, especially with a tied scenario outside of Metro-Portland.

Gubernatorial results are a bit more interesting, considering Oregon is frequently a nail-biter on statewide elections, and this appears to be the first comfortable Dem lead so far in the contest.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #2 on: September 07, 2016, 07:56:23 pm »

if you can only get 38% for the leading candidate and they have a 13 point lead then you just aren't pushing undecideds at all and should be pushed out of the polling industry period.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #3 on: September 07, 2016, 08:00:31 pm »

You'd think Stein would be higher than that here.
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Xing
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« Reply #4 on: September 07, 2016, 08:03:00 pm »

The margin looks right, but there are definitely fewer undecideds than that.
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Snek!
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« Reply #5 on: September 07, 2016, 08:25:37 pm »

This couldjust be a low turnout election. At least Clinton is running a point ahead of Obama did in 12.
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dspNY
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« Reply #6 on: September 07, 2016, 08:37:02 pm »

Safe Dem
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