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Author Topic: Google Consumer Surveys 50-state breakdown  (Read 10950 times)
Ebsy
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« Reply #50 on: September 22, 2016, 02:24:28 am »

National Topline
Clinton: 36
Trump: 35
Johnson: 8
Undecided: 31

Alaska
Trump: 39
Clinton: 21

Alabama
Trump: 55
Clinton: 18

Arkansas
Clinton: 36
Trump: 35

Arizona
Clinton: 37
Trump: 32

California
Clinton: 46
Trump: 28

Colorado
Clinton: 40
Trump: 28

Connecticut
Clinton: 39
Trump: 32

DC
Clinton: 43
Trump: 28

Delaware
Clinton: 41
Trump: 30

Florida
Trump: 43
Clinton: 30

Georgia
Trump: 45
Clinton: 30

Hawaii
Clinton: 43
Trump: 32

Iowa
Trump: 31
Clinton: 30

Idaho
Trump: 44
Clinton: 19

Illinois
Clinton: 39
Trump: 29

Indiana
Trump: 32
Clinton: 32

Kansas
Clinton: 41
Trump: 30

Kentucky
Trump: 41
Clinton: 30

Louisiana
Trump: 54
Clinton: 25

Massachusetts
Clinton: 50
Trump: 24

Maryland
Clinton: 43
Trump: 27

Maine
Trump: 35
Clinton: 33

Michigan
Clinton: 35
Trump: 34

Minnesota
Clinton: 37
Trump: 27

Missouri
Clinton: 33
Trump: 32

Mississippi
Trump: 55
Clinton: 17

Montana
Clinton: 33
Trump: 29

North Carolina
Trump: 40
Clinton: 32

North Dakota
Trump: 39
Clinton: 17

Nebraska
Trump: 42
Clinton: 29

New Hampshire
Trump: 38
Clinton: 28

New Jersey
Trump: 36
Clinton: 36

New Mexico
Clinton: 30
Trump: 30

Nevada
Trump: 34
Clinton: 32

New York
Clinton: 42
Trump: 28

Ohio
Clinton: 34
Trump: 33

Oklahoma
Trump: 43
Clinton: 28

Oregon
Clinton: 40
Trump: 28

Pennsylvania
Trump: 36
Clinton: 35

Rhode Island
Clinton: 46
Trump: 31

South Carolina
Trump: 41
Clinton: 33

South Dakota
Clinton: 31
Trump: 30

Tennessee
Trump: 42
Clinton: 29

Texas
Trump: 42
Clinton: 29

Utah
Clinton: 28
Trump: 24

Virginia
Trump: 37
Clinton: 36

Vermont
Clinton: 44
Trump: 19

Washington
Clinton: 37
Trump: 28

Wisconsin
Clinton: 42
Trump: 24

West Virginia
Trump: 36
Clinton: 19

Wyoming
Trump: 45
Clinton: 30
« Last Edit: September 22, 2016, 02:33:28 am by Ebsy »Logged
StatesPoll
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« Reply #51 on: September 22, 2016, 02:32:25 am »

 Google Consumer Surverys  9/14-9/20

https://datastudio.google.com/u/0/#/org//reporting/0B29GVb5ISrT0TGk1TW5tVF9Ed2M/page/GsS

Img

1. Florida, 9/14-9/20, 1125 LV   
TRUMP 43.12% | Hillary 30.25% | Johnson 8.07%
2. Georgia, 9/14-9/20, 543 LV   
TRUMP 44.88% | Hillary 30.02% | Johnson 6.65%
3. North Carolina, 9/14-9/20, 708 LV
TRUMP 39.54% | Hillary 32.31% | Johnson 8.51%
4. Pennsylvania, 9/14-9/20, 772 LV 
TRUMP 36.05% | Hillary 34.81% | Johnson 7.56%

5. New Mexico, 9/14-9/20, 216 LV
Hillary 30.14% |TRUMP 29.76% | Johnson 17.9%


Img

6. New Jersey, 9/14-9/20, 655 LV   
TRUMP 36.19% | Hillary 35.6% | Johnson 5.48%

7. Virginia, 9/14-9/20, 616 LV 
TRUMP 36.84% | Hillary 36.26% | Johnson 7.64%



Img

8. Iowa, 9/14-9/20, 387 LV   
TRUMP 30.86% | Hillary 29.97% | Johnson 11.39%
9. Ohio, 9/14-9/20, 846 LV
Hillary 33.76% |TRUMP 32.71% | Johnson 7.79%
10. Michigan, 9/14-9/20, 613 LV 
Hillary 34.85% |TRUMP 33.58% | Johnson 7.93%

11. Nevada, 9/14-9/20, 236 LV 
TRUMP 33.54% | Hillary 32.23% | Johnson 15.06%
12. Connecticut, 9/14-9/20  307 LV
Hillary 39% |TRUMP 31.8% | Johnson 6.07%
13. Minnesota, 9/14-9/20, 579 LV
Hillary 37.2% |TRUMP 26.85% | Johnson 8.74%


Img


14. Arizona, 9/14-9/20, 572 LV
Hillary 37.46% |TRUMP 32.1% | Johnson 9.91%
15. Colorado, 9/14-9/20, 550 LV 
Hillary 40.6% |TRUMP 28.49% | Johnson 9.36%
16. Wisconsin, 9/14-9/20  748 LV 
Hillary 42.22% |TRUMP 24.49% | Johnson 8.14%





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IA more R than GA/TX/OH/FL
IndyRep
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« Reply #52 on: September 22, 2016, 02:32:55 am »

I honestly can't decide which result is the junkiest one. So much trash.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #53 on: September 22, 2016, 02:35:14 am »

I honestly can't decide which result is the junkiest one. So much trash.
Your new electoral map!

Img
« Last Edit: September 22, 2016, 02:47:01 am by Ebsy »Logged
Dumbo
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« Reply #54 on: September 22, 2016, 02:37:50 am »

Clinton 290
Trump 248

great news!
« Last Edit: September 22, 2016, 02:49:03 am by Dumbo »Logged
Sorenroy
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E: -4.52, S: -3.83

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« Reply #55 on: September 22, 2016, 06:29:34 am »

So the PDF in the Google Drive folder seems to just be a screenshot of an interactive that allows to choose a state and the MOE (as well as other things). Where can I find that interactive (the download is still just that screenshot)?
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Gustaf
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E: 0.39, S: -0.70

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« Reply #56 on: September 22, 2016, 07:07:28 am »

hahahahahahaha
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Snek!
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« Reply #57 on: September 22, 2016, 07:42:54 am »

Imagine when it is midnight and most of the country is TCTC.
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‼realJohnEwards‼
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« Reply #58 on: September 22, 2016, 10:13:46 am »

I honestly can't decide which result is the junkiest one. So much trash.
Your new electoral map!

Img

The realignment is real!
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StatesPoll
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« Reply #59 on: September 22, 2016, 12:14:20 pm »


It seems Nate Silver doesn't add Google Polls anymore Sad


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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #60 on: September 22, 2016, 12:18:20 pm »


It seems Nate Silver doesn't add Google Polls anymore Sad



Good. A five year old could make a better methodology.
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Buh her emails!
diskymike44
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« Reply #61 on: September 22, 2016, 12:28:57 pm »

Google Consumer Surverys  9/14-9/20

https://datastudio.google.com/u/0/#/org//reporting/0B29GVb5ISrT0TGk1TW5tVF9Ed2M/page/GsS

Img

1. Florida, 9/14-9/20, 1125 LV   
TRUMP 43.12% | Hillary 30.25% | Johnson 8.07%
2. Georgia, 9/14-9/20, 543 LV   
TRUMP 44.88% | Hillary 30.02% | Johnson 6.65%
3. North Carolina, 9/14-9/20, 708 LV
TRUMP 39.54% | Hillary 32.31% | Johnson 8.51%
4. Pennsylvania, 9/14-9/20, 772 LV 
TRUMP 36.05% | Hillary 34.81% | Johnson 7.56%

5. New Mexico, 9/14-9/20, 216 LV
Hillary 30.14% |TRUMP 29.76% | Johnson 17.9%


Img

6. New Jersey, 9/14-9/20, 655 LV   
TRUMP 36.19% | Hillary 35.6% | Johnson 5.48%

7. Virginia, 9/14-9/20, 616 LV 
TRUMP 36.84% | Hillary 36.26% | Johnson 7.64%



Img

8. Iowa, 9/14-9/20, 387 LV   
TRUMP 30.86% | Hillary 29.97% | Johnson 11.39%
9. Ohio, 9/14-9/20, 846 LV
Hillary 33.76% |TRUMP 32.71% | Johnson 7.79%
10. Michigan, 9/14-9/20, 613 LV 
Hillary 34.85% |TRUMP 33.58% | Johnson 7.93%

11. Nevada, 9/14-9/20, 236 LV 
TRUMP 33.54% | Hillary 32.23% | Johnson 15.06%
12. Connecticut, 9/14-9/20  307 LV
Hillary 39% |TRUMP 31.8% | Johnson 6.07%
13. Minnesota, 9/14-9/20, 579 LV
Hillary 37.2% |TRUMP 26.85% | Johnson 8.74%


Img


14. Arizona, 9/14-9/20, 572 LV
Hillary 37.46% |TRUMP 32.1% | Johnson 9.91%
15. Colorado, 9/14-9/20, 550 LV 
Hillary 40.6% |TRUMP 28.49% | Johnson 9.36%
16. Wisconsin, 9/14-9/20  748 LV 
Hillary 42.22% |TRUMP 24.49% | Johnson 8.14%







Statespoll blows his load every time he talks "TRUMP". That's why many of his supporters are single.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #62 on: September 22, 2016, 01:38:43 pm »

NVM these have been included in the 538 average
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Maxwell
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« Reply #63 on: September 22, 2016, 01:42:08 pm »

boy oh boy oh boy does this look terrible.
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olowakandi
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E: -6.84, S: -0.17

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« Reply #64 on: September 22, 2016, 01:42:21 pm »

Ohio poll looks good😂
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michelle
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« Reply #65 on: September 22, 2016, 02:11:30 pm »

I honestly can't decide which result is the junkiest one. So much trash.
Your new electoral map!

Img


Img
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Seriously?
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« Reply #66 on: September 28, 2016, 07:54:26 pm »

9/21-9/26 release

Img
« Last Edit: September 28, 2016, 08:09:59 pm by Seriously? »Logged
GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #67 on: September 28, 2016, 07:56:32 pm »

Idaho!?
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #68 on: September 28, 2016, 07:57:47 pm »

So this is the map?
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #69 on: September 28, 2016, 07:57:47 pm »

I just threw up a little.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #70 on: September 28, 2016, 08:01:22 pm »

Idaho!?

#BattlegroundIdaho

Send Bernie out there for the win... Wink

Although this is obviously a junk poll, it does make sense that ID could likely vote to the Left of UT considering the large Mormon population of the state, an historical Dem presence in the Idaho panhandle, combined with Boise, that is not only a university and government town, but additionally, has been one of the fastest growing tech cities in the Mountain West for decades...
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Seriously?
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« Reply #71 on: September 28, 2016, 08:03:05 pm »

Idaho!?
That one is wrong. Have to check the spreadsheet and recast.
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heatcharger
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« Reply #72 on: September 28, 2016, 08:03:26 pm »

It's interesting how even in these junk 50-state polls, Hillary has a 7-10 point lead in Virginia. Smiley
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Arch
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« Reply #73 on: September 28, 2016, 08:04:11 pm »

Titanium trash
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Seriously?
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« Reply #74 on: September 28, 2016, 08:10:44 pm »

Idaho was the only error. I had the wrong postal code to crunch the numbers, it was duplicating Iowa's numbers.
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