Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 21, 2019, 09:39:41 pm
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  Election Archive
| | |-+  All Archived Boards
| | | |-+  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
| | | | |-+  Google Consumer Surveys 50-state breakdown (search mode)
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: Google Consumer Surveys 50-state breakdown  (Read 10924 times)
Boston Bread
New Canadaland
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,672
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00

View Profile
« on: September 14, 2016, 02:22:14 pm »

538 updated with their newest results, which include these gems:

Arkansas: Trump +1
DC: Clinton +6
Kansas: Clinton +9
New Jersey: Clinton +2
West Virginia: Clinton +1
I can't even
Logged
Boston Bread
New Canadaland
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,672
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00

View Profile
« Reply #1 on: September 28, 2016, 07:57:47 pm »

So this is the map?
Logged
Boston Bread
New Canadaland
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,672
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00

View Profile
« Reply #2 on: October 05, 2016, 09:31:06 am »

The samples are wayyy to small for some states. 74 LVs in New Hampshire, for instance.

I have to agree that the map is glorious, though.
Logged
Boston Bread
New Canadaland
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,672
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00

View Profile
« Reply #3 on: October 05, 2016, 10:18:22 am »

This is a weird set of polls.
The state-by-state breakdown would actually make perfect sense in an election where the GOP was making historic inroads among black voters, while Democrats improved significantly with whites (both college and non-college educated). Trump does better than you'd expect in all the states with more blacks and underperforms in all the whiter states. Of course this is not happening so what is more likely is that GCS is overpolling white liberals and underpolling minorities.
Logged
Boston Bread
New Canadaland
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,672
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00

View Profile
« Reply #4 on: October 10, 2016, 06:31:33 pm »

There's a new batch of Google polls out. Clinton up 39 points in NH, which is about what you'd expect.

edit: here's the link if anyone needs it https://datastudio.google.com/#/org//reporting/0B29GVb5ISrT0TGk1TW5tVF9Ed2M/page/YgS
« Last Edit: October 10, 2016, 06:35:25 pm by New Canadaland »Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines