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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  Google Consumer Surveys 50-state breakdown (search mode)
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Author Topic: Google Consumer Surveys 50-state breakdown  (Read 11038 times)
Edgar Suit Larry
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« on: September 14, 2016, 03:10:55 pm »

At this moment don't get why are they including these polls in the forecasts at all even though they give them small weight. Even with bigger sample sizes they have Trump up 10 in FL and Clinton up by only 8 i think in IL
I would say it looks pretty plausible in states that have enough respondents.
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Edgar Suit Larry
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« Reply #1 on: September 14, 2016, 03:41:35 pm »

At this moment don't get why are they including these polls in the forecasts at all even though they give them small weight. Even with bigger sample sizes they have Trump up 10 in FL and Clinton up by only 8 i think in IL
I would say it looks pretty plausible in states that have enough respondents.
If you assume that the race is Trump +7, yeah. I don't (sane)
What's the map look like?
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Edgar Suit Larry
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« Reply #2 on: September 22, 2016, 07:42:54 am »

Imagine when it is midnight and most of the country is TCTC.
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Edgar Suit Larry
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« Reply #3 on: October 11, 2016, 07:20:02 pm »

Well, they are a persecuted people. Maybe they will empathize with others going forward but they are doubts that persecuted people can empathize with one another. That is why we night have to do the math backwards soon.
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Edgar Suit Larry
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« Reply #4 on: November 01, 2016, 10:01:32 pm »

Iowa and Deleware for Arizona, huh?
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Edgar Suit Larry
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« Reply #5 on: November 02, 2016, 10:01:41 am »

missouri at clinton+10 with a >500 sample size? Grin

I think it probably has something to do with Kansas City and Fiber.
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