Clinton +5 in ABC/Washington Post Poll

[Erich Maria Remarque]

But where are all unskevers? It is clearly an outlier. As CNN.

Her RV lead increased from +8 to +10? Common!
Obama has 58% approval rating? Common!

But Hillary's alt right speech seems to work as I predicted. I wounder how "deplorables" statement will play out

[Erich Maria Remarque]

They BTH weight by party identification (compared to their latest polls).

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[Seriously?]

They BTH weight by party identification (compared to their latest polls).

Someone that is smarter than me explain to me this... They find the voter intensity on Trump's side. Write about how big of a difference it is and then at the end of the poll, admit they are weighing to party ID.

Then there's this:

Democrats-Republicans-independents, in the full sample, and 36-28-31 among likely voters.

What the hell kind of sample did they get in that scenario? I don't even think it was D+8 in 2008.

There hasn't been a D+8 exit poll going back to 1992. There hasn't been a Republican number at 28 in that time period either. There must be a hell of a lot of Trump-supporting independents then or something...

No... wait.. Clinton wins independents...

[windjammer]

This poll is a bit overestimating Clinton I guess. I think she's more likely leading Trump by 5 points right now.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

They BTH weight by party identification (compared to their latest polls).

Someone that is smarter than me explain to me this... They find the voter intensity on Trump's side. Write about how big of a difference it is and then at the end of the poll, admit they are weighing to party ID.

Then there's this:

Democrats-Republicans-independents, in the full sample, and 36-28-31 among likely voters.

What the hell kind of sample did they get in that scenario? I don't even think it was D+8 in 2008.

There hasn't been a D+8 exit poll going back to 1992. There hasn't been a Republican number at 28 in that time period either. There must be a hell of a lot of Trump-supporting independents then or something...

No... wait.. Clinton wins independents...

Where did you find crosstabs and performance among party identification?

Here https://assets.documentcloud.org/documents/3105532/2016-09-08-Trend-for-Release.pdf

There is
D       34%
R       24%
I        33%
Other   5%
NO       3%

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Many questions about Clinton/Trump. Women/wall, bending the rules/emails/foundation.
Even in this sample 69% vs 24% thinks she is too willing to bend the rules

[Podgy the Bear]

Great news!  Now it's time to close the LV/RV gap.  And it looks like the "deplorable" comment is meant to do that.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Clinton is up by 2.