Clinton +5 in ABC/Washington Post Poll (user search)
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  Clinton +5 in ABC/Washington Post Poll (search mode)
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Author Topic: Clinton +5 in ABC/Washington Post Poll  (Read 2780 times)
Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
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« on: September 11, 2016, 05:04:18 AM »

But where are all unskevers? It is clearly an outlier. As CNN.

Her RV lead increased from +8 to +10? Common!
Obama has 58% approval rating? Common!

But Hillary's alt right speech seems to work as I predicted. I wounder how "deplorables" statement will play out Smiley



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Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
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« Reply #1 on: September 11, 2016, 05:13:54 AM »

They BTH weight by party identification (compared to their latest polls).

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Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
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« Reply #2 on: September 11, 2016, 05:51:09 AM »

They BTH weight by party identification (compared to their latest polls).

Someone that is smarter than me explain to me this... They find the voter intensity on Trump's side. Write about how big of a difference it is and then at the end of the poll, admit they are weighing to party ID.

Then there's this:

Democrats-Republicans-independents, in the full sample, and 36-28-31 among likely voters.

What the hell kind of sample did they get in that scenario? I don't even think it was D+8 in 2008.

There hasn't been a D+8 exit poll going back to 1992. There hasn't been a Republican number at 28 in that time period either. There must be a hell of a lot of Trump-supporting independents then or something...

No... wait.. Clinton wins independents...

Where did you find crosstabs and performance among party identification?

Here https://assets.documentcloud.org/documents/3105532/2016-09-08-Trend-for-Release.pdf

There is
D       34%
R       24%
I        33%
Other   5%
NO       3%
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Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
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Posts: 3,646
Sweden


« Reply #3 on: September 11, 2016, 06:02:17 AM »

Many questions about Clinton/Trump. Women/wall, bending the rules/emails/foundation.
Even in this sample 69% vs 24% thinks she is too willing to bend the rules Shocked



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