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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  Close races in NH, AZ, NV and GA in NBC/Marist polls (RV, LV) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Close races in NH, AZ, NV and GA in NBC/Marist polls (RV, LV)  (Read 6917 times)
dspNY
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« on: September 11, 2016, 12:43:33 pm »

As for the polls, NH is an outlier.

The other three are interesting though, and we keep on seeing this very narrow Clinton lead bordering on a tie in NV coupled with a very narrow Trump lead bordering on a tie in AZ. Nevada was 15 points to the left of Arizona in 2012, so what gives here?
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dspNY
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« Reply #1 on: September 11, 2016, 01:56:51 pm »

The RV numbers for reference

Arizona

Clinton 41, Trump 40 (2-way)
Clinton 37, Trump 37, Johnson 13, Stein 4 (4-way)

Georgia

Clinton 44, Trump 44 (2-way)
Clinton 42, Trump 41, Johnson 11 (4-way)

Nevada

Clinton 46, Trump 41 (2-way)
Clinton 41, Trump 39, Johnson 9, Stein 3 (4-way)*

New Hampshire

Clinton 40, Trump 40 (2-way)
Clinton 37, Trump 36, Johnson 17, Stein 3 (4-way)

*Stein is not on the ballot in NV
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dspNY
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« Reply #2 on: September 12, 2016, 12:27:44 pm »

Some context to this poll and the other Georgia polls...

Trump is opening a campaign office in Sandy Springs (just north of ATL) so the smoke about Georgia being a battleground is now fire because he is more reluctant to open campaign offices

http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2016/09/11/donald-trump-opens-campaign-headquarters-in-sandy-springs/
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dspNY
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« Reply #3 on: September 12, 2016, 12:34:27 pm »

Some context to this poll and the other Georgia polls...

Trump is opening a campaign office in Sandy Springs (just north of ATL) so the smoke about Georgia being a battleground is now fire because he is more reluctant to open campaign offices

http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2016/09/11/donald-trump-opens-campaign-headquarters-in-sandy-springs/
We just opened an office in Hudson, MA so does that mean that it's Battleground MA

You're just wasting money
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dspNY
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Posts: 2,574
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« Reply #4 on: September 12, 2016, 01:44:39 pm »

Some context to this poll and the other Georgia polls...

Trump is opening a campaign office in Sandy Springs (just north of ATL) so the smoke about Georgia being a battleground is now fire because he is more reluctant to open campaign offices

http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2016/09/11/donald-trump-opens-campaign-headquarters-in-sandy-springs/
We just opened an office in Hudson, MA so does that mean that it's Battleground MA

You're just wasting money
Hillary has an office in Boston, does that mean that she is wasting money?

Yes, Massachusetts is noncompetitive, unlike Georgia
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