CBS/YouGov: Clinton +7 in Ohio, Clinton +2 in Florida (user search)
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  CBS/YouGov: Clinton +7 in Ohio, Clinton +2 in Florida (search mode)
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Author Topic: CBS/YouGov: Clinton +7 in Ohio, Clinton +2 in Florida  (Read 3618 times)
StatesPoll
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Posts: 441
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« on: September 11, 2016, 11:44:56 AM »

Underweighted White Evangelicals horrirbly

I. Ohio

1. CNN Ohio Exit Poll 2012: White Evangelicals 31%
http://www.cnn.com/election/2012/results/state/OH/president/

2. CBS/YouGov Ohio 9/7-9/9. White Evangelicals 199 LV / Total 988 LV = 20.14%

3. Adjusted
1) TRUMP: White-Evans(31%)x66%+ Non-White-Evans(69%)x32% = 42.54%
2) Hillary: White-Evans(31%)x15% +  Non-White-Evans(69%)x53% = 41.22%
3) Johnson: White-Evans(31%)x10% +  Non-White-Evans(69%)x6%= 7.24%
4) Stein: White-Evans(31%)x1% +  Non-White-Evans(69%)x2% = 1.69%

II. Florida

1. CNN Florida Exit Poll 2012: White Evangelicals 24%

http://www.cnn.com/election/2012/results/state/FL/president/


2. CBS/YouGov Florida 9/7-9/9. White Evangelicals 166 LV /  Total 1193 LV = 13.9%

3. Adjusted
1) TRUMP: White-Evans(24%)x74%+ Non-White-Evans(76%)x36% = 45.12%
2) Hillary: White-Evans(24%)x14% +  Non-White-Evans(76%)x49% = 40.6%
3) Johnson: White-Evans(24%)x5% +  Non-White-Evans(76%)x5%= 5%
4) Stein: White-Evans(24%)x0% +  Non-White-Evans(76%)x2% = 1.52%
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StatesPoll
Jr. Member
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Posts: 441
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« Reply #1 on: September 11, 2016, 11:55:04 AM »



See: 2012? I unskewed poll as 2012 Exit poll? Tongue
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