CA-Tulchin Research/Moore Information: Clinton +21/+14
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Author Topic: CA-Tulchin Research/Moore Information: Clinton +21/+14  (Read 686 times)
The Other Castro
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« on: September 13, 2016, 03:15:42 PM »

Clinton - 52%
Trump - 31%
Johnson - 7%
Stein - 5%

Clinton - 49%
Trump - 35%

I think these might actually be two separate polls since Clinton's support actually increases when Johnson and Stein are added. Also, they said they polled 1,202 RV, but FiveThirtyEight split them into 601 RV for each poll.

http://edpolicyinca.org/sites/default/files/PACE%20USC%20Poll%20CA%20Statewide%20Topline.pdf
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #1 on: September 13, 2016, 03:20:39 PM »
« Edited: September 13, 2016, 03:25:16 PM by LittleBigOctopus »

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Lol, but it higlights how big noise might be, and why you never should look too much into single poll/its subsamples (to Red "Cherry-picking" Hacks) Smiley

Concentrate on the big picture!
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100% pro-life no matter what
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« Reply #2 on: September 13, 2016, 04:00:52 PM »

So, why are we getting so many California polls this week?  Couldn't we get something from one of the potentially competitive states with little information instead?
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #3 on: September 13, 2016, 04:08:02 PM »

So, why are we getting so many California polls this week?  Couldn't we get something from one of the potentially competitive states with little information instead?


^^^^^^^^^^
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Slow Learner
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« Reply #4 on: September 13, 2016, 04:10:57 PM »

#BattlegroundCali
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #5 on: September 13, 2016, 04:23:59 PM »

#Hillaryunder55
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #6 on: September 13, 2016, 04:25:17 PM »

Damn, I thought Trump could keep CA close! Sad

He'll win bigly in the end.... and if not, it was rigged.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #7 on: September 13, 2016, 04:27:58 PM »

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KingSweden
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« Reply #8 on: September 13, 2016, 04:28:33 PM »

So, why are we getting so many California polls this week?  Couldn't we get something from one of the potentially competitive states with little information instead?
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Xing
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« Reply #9 on: September 13, 2016, 04:28:59 PM »

+14 is definitely too low, but I agree that we all have a pretty good idea which way CA is going to go. I never thought I'd say this, but I'd like to see more Ohio polls. We've really only gotten a handful, and it doesn't seem like they're reaching much of a consensus (Is Trump up by 4, or is Hillary up by 7?)
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