Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
November 15, 2019, 08:12:42 am
News: 2019 Gubernatorial Endorsements Close today at noon

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  ME-SurveyUSA/Colby College/Boston Globe: Clinton +3
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 3 Print
Author Topic: ME-SurveyUSA/Colby College/Boston Globe: Clinton +3  (Read 3158 times)
The Other Castro
Castro2020
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,940
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: September 13, 2016, 05:51:19 pm »
« edited: September 13, 2016, 06:18:13 pm by Castro »

Clinton - 42%
Trump - 39%
Johnson - 9%
Stein - 5%

The poll of 779 likely voters statewide was conducted via automated phone calls and web surveys from Sept. 4 through 10. It had a margin of error of 3.6 percent.

http://www.bostonglobe.com/news/politics/2016/09/13/new-poll-shows-competitive-race-maine/YNsB57jVpHmEJcJsFZRXMP/story.html?event=event25
Logged
Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
sjkqw
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,733
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: 1.74


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: September 13, 2016, 05:52:38 pm »

I love the lumberjacks!
Logged
Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 12,313
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: September 13, 2016, 05:53:19 pm »

College poll, college poll.
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,940
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: September 13, 2016, 05:54:41 pm »

Yay, looks like ME will be closer than NH! Cheesy

Congrats, TN.
Logged
Arch
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,619
United States


P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: September 13, 2016, 05:55:30 pm »

They elected LePage; Trump is just a step down from there to the bottom or just at the same level. Clinton will win ME-01 and the at-large vote. ME-02 could swing for Trump.
Logged
Classic Conservative
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,642
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: September 13, 2016, 05:56:03 pm »

Happy Dance
Logged
Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,646
Sweden


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: September 13, 2016, 06:03:26 pm »

Deplorables
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,385
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.63, S: -6.13

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: September 13, 2016, 06:04:32 pm »

Never heard of this pollster, but I'll believe Maine being even remotely close when I see it.
Logged
Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,646
Sweden


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: September 13, 2016, 06:05:50 pm »

Yay, looks like ME will be closer than NH! Cheesy
You'll better wait until new polls from NH Wink
Logged
Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,646
Sweden


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: September 13, 2016, 06:08:32 pm »

Never heard of this pollster, but I'll believe Maine being even remotely close when I see it.
Wait, whaaat?

You've never heard about SurveyUSA, a top-five pollster according to 538? Huh
Logged
Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,646
Sweden


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: September 13, 2016, 06:09:36 pm »

This thread has a wrong title. Mods, please change it to SurveyUSA! Smiley
Logged
Fusionmunster
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,484


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: September 13, 2016, 06:14:36 pm »

By the sheer amount of times LittleBigOctopus has posted, im sure hes bieng obnoxious.

Ehh, Maine wont be close. Neither will the second district, just like 2012.
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,940
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: September 13, 2016, 06:15:29 pm »

This thread has a wrong title. Mods, please change it to SurveyUSA! Smiley

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.
Logged
Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,646
Sweden


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: September 13, 2016, 06:17:01 pm »
« Edited: September 13, 2016, 06:19:14 pm by LittleBigOctopus »

This thread has a wrong title. Mods, please change it to SurveyUSA! Smiley

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.
They bought the poll that was conducted by...

Ehm why didn't you quote the whole part?
Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.
So poll is from Colby College-Boston Globe, but conducted by SurveyUSA Wink
Logged
Arch
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,619
United States


P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: September 13, 2016, 06:18:17 pm »

This thread has a wrong title. Mods, please change it to SurveyUSA! Smiley

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.
They bought the poll that was conducted by...
Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.
So poll is from Colby College-Boston Globe, but conducted by SurveyUSA Wink

It doesn't matter who conducts it, but who designs it.
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,940
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: September 13, 2016, 06:19:21 pm »
« Edited: September 13, 2016, 06:21:34 pm by Castro »

This thread has a wrong title. Mods, please change it to SurveyUSA! Smiley

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.
They bought the poll that was conducted by...
Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.
So poll is from Colby College-Boston Globe, but conducted by SurveyUSA Wink

Ah woops, I missed that part. I assumed when they said Colby College-Boston Globe poll that they actually meant it was a Colby College-Boston Globe poll. The OP has been changed.
Logged
Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,646
Sweden


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: September 13, 2016, 06:20:36 pm »
« Edited: September 13, 2016, 06:22:27 pm by LittleBigOctopus »

It doesn't matter who conducts it, but who designs it.
Ehm...







Oh, and this poll was conducted before "Deplorables"/pneumonia...
Logged
Arch
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,619
United States


P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: September 13, 2016, 06:22:25 pm »


?
Logged
Impeachment Inquiry
DrScholl
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,988
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: September 13, 2016, 06:23:42 pm »

The one county that votes Republican only did so by about 4% in 2012. I'm not sure why everyone is so determined to believe that Trump will win ME-2, because it's really not all that favorable to normal Republican presidential candidates. Bush only got 46% there both times.
Logged
Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,646
Sweden


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: September 13, 2016, 06:25:25 pm »
« Edited: September 13, 2016, 06:27:12 pm by LittleBigOctopus »

What do you mean by "designs it"? LV-model?

I don't think, that it works that way...
Logged
Arch
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,619
United States


P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: September 13, 2016, 06:28:22 pm »


The methodology can be designed by entity A, yet the project could be conducted by entity B. The quality of the results are primarily restricted by entity A's methodology more than entity B's field practices.

The same logic was used against the PPP polls conducted in a number of states when they were hired by the local Democratic party.
Logged
Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,646
Sweden


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: September 13, 2016, 06:36:48 pm »


The methodology can be designed by entity A, yet the project could be conducted by entity B. The quality of the results are primarily restricted by entity A's methodology more than entity B's field practices.

OK. As I said, I don't think, that it works that way. They can probably influence how questions are formulated or which model to use: 2-way/2-way, RV/LV etc. But even then, I think, that political part of the poll is done solely by USASurvey.

The same logic was used against the PPP polls conducted in a number of states when they were hired by the local Democratic party.

The criticism was mainly about that the client chooses whether publish the pol or notl. But I doubt that Boston Globe would do it.
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,940
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: September 13, 2016, 06:45:45 pm »

Let's not get bogged down by that, it's a SUSA poll. Important questions: What does this poll mean? Does it mean things? Let's find out.
Logged
mencken
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,233
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: September 13, 2016, 06:48:29 pm »

Let's not get bogged down by that, it's a SUSA poll. Important questions: What does this poll mean? Does it mean things? Let's find out.

Image Link
Logged
Free Bird
TheHawk
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,810
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: September 13, 2016, 07:00:31 pm »

Why oh why would you poll Maine statewide instead of CD by CD?
Logged
Pages: [1] 2 3 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC