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  ME-SurveyUSA/Colby College/Boston Globe: Clinton +3
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Author Topic: ME-SurveyUSA/Colby College/Boston Globe: Clinton +3  (Read 3163 times)
Seriously?
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« Reply #50 on: September 14, 2016, 01:07:06 am »
« edited: September 14, 2016, 01:09:42 am by Seriously? »

Answering my own question, here are the CD-02 results.

Clinton 37%
Trump 47%
Johnson 8%
Stein 5%
Unsure 4%
397 LV; 9/4-9/10; MOE +/- 5%

http://www.colby.edu/goldfarb/elections/colby-globe-election-poll/
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StatesPoll
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« Reply #51 on: September 14, 2016, 01:16:31 am »

Never trust a college pollster (other than Monmouth or Marist).

2016 Republican Primary Poll(National)  McClatchy/Marist   3/29 - 3/31   444 RV   
http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/usapolls/us160329/MCC/GOP%20Convention/GOP/McClatchy_Marist%20Poll_Republicans%20and%20Convention_Complete%20Survey%20Findings_Nature%20of%20the%20Sample%20and%20Tables_April%202016.pdf

TRUMP 40% | Cruz 35% | Kasich 20%   Trump +5

It was very accurate Tongue

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Worried Italian Progressive
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« Reply #52 on: September 14, 2016, 02:28:14 am »

I can see Maine-2 being competitive...but Trump +10? Really?

Does anyone recall how accurate CD-polls were in the last few election cycles?
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #53 on: September 14, 2016, 02:53:14 am »


Do you love Oregonian lumberjacks as well? Wink

It's not really appearing that Trump is doing spectacularly well in the logging mill towns and pulp mill towns in Oregon, although not so sure about loggers or "lumberjacks" that are a much smaller segment of the forest products industry.

I don't buy the argument that Maine is only +3 Clinton, although I certainly see an opportunity for Trump in ME-02 and considering the demographics could be a significant trend R this election cycle.
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TheDeadFlagBlues
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« Reply #54 on: September 14, 2016, 08:46:13 am »

Here's my take: if Maine was actually this close, the Clinton campaign would be pouring resources into Maine. One could argue that the election has only now tightened to the extent that Maine is competitive but, even then, this poll suggests that Maine has an even PVI and the Clinton campaign would have already opened campaign offices in Maine if this was the case.

This is likely...a junk poll! We'll see though, I expect Maine to swing to Trump if Clinton wins by anything less than 5-6 points nationally.
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Ljube
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« Reply #55 on: September 14, 2016, 11:39:31 am »

Here's my take: if Maine was actually this close, the Clinton campaign would be pouring resources into Maine. One could argue that the election has only now tightened to the extent that Maine is competitive but, even then, this poll suggests that Maine has an even PVI and the Clinton campaign would have already opened campaign offices in Maine if this was the case.

This is likely...a junk poll! We'll see though, I expect Maine to swing to Trump if Clinton wins by anything less than 5-6 points nationally.


The Clinton campaign is incompetent.
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