Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 17, 2019, 02:39:05 pm
News: 2019 Gubernatorial Predictions are now active

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  ME-SurveyUSA/Colby College/Boston Globe: Clinton +3
« previous next »
Pages: 1 [2] 3 Print
Author Topic: ME-SurveyUSA/Colby College/Boston Globe: Clinton +3  (Read 2916 times)
mencken
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,247
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #25 on: September 13, 2016, 06:48:29 pm »

Let's not get bogged down by that, it's a SUSA poll. Important questions: What does this poll mean? Does it mean things? Let's find out.

Img
Logged
Free Bird
TheHawk
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,757
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #26 on: September 13, 2016, 07:00:31 pm »

Why oh why would you poll Maine statewide instead of CD by CD?
Logged
Castro
Castro2020
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,794
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #27 on: September 13, 2016, 07:04:09 pm »

Ouch. Imagine if the election comes down to ME-2?

A tie is basically a win for Trump, so this probably the most realistic way an ME-2 win for Trump brings it from a 270 Clinton win to a Trump win by tie:

Logged
Eraserhead
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 42,347
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #28 on: September 13, 2016, 07:05:29 pm »

Ouch. Imagine if the election comes down to ME-02?
Logged
yeah_93
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,990
Venezuela


Political Matrix
E: 3.29, S: -1.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #29 on: September 13, 2016, 07:06:36 pm »

Ouch. Imagine if the election comes down to ME-02?
It probably won't, but I'd imagine a few surprised faces around here.
Logged
Dr. RI
realisticidealist
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,834
Vatican City State


Political Matrix
E: -0.39, S: 4.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #30 on: September 13, 2016, 07:12:19 pm »

New Poll: Maine President by Survey USA on 2016-09-10

Summary: D: 42%, R: 39%, I: 14%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
heatcharger
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,165
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -0.24

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #31 on: September 13, 2016, 07:13:29 pm »

For the amount of time and money Trump has poured into this state, this doesn't really surprise me. I still think ME-02 stays Democratic but Bruce Poliquin is probably favored in his reelection bid.
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 16,812
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #32 on: September 13, 2016, 07:17:21 pm »

To be clear, this Clinton +3 is statewide?  Or is it ME-02?

Statewide. Trump leads by 10 in ME-02.
Logged
Lok
lok1999
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,264
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #33 on: September 13, 2016, 07:18:08 pm »

To be clear, this Clinton +3 is statewide?  Or is it ME-02?

Statewide. Trump leads by 10 in ME-02.

What poll has said that?
Logged
Horus
Sheliak5
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,800
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #34 on: September 13, 2016, 07:18:14 pm »

Trump trends best in really white states that are not in the west.
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 16,812
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #35 on: September 13, 2016, 07:18:36 pm »

To be clear, this Clinton +3 is statewide?  Or is it ME-02?

Statewide. Trump leads by 10 in ME-02.

What poll has said that?

This one.
Logged
Lok
lok1999
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,264
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #36 on: September 13, 2016, 07:20:19 pm »

To be clear, this Clinton +3 is statewide?  Or is it ME-02?

Statewide. Trump leads by 10 in ME-02.

What poll has said that?

This one.

lolnope.
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 16,812
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #37 on: September 13, 2016, 07:21:01 pm »

lolnope.

Quote
But the poll shows Trumpís dominance in the Second District ó he leads Clinton by 10 points there ó is boosting him statewide as well. In the 1st Congressional District, which includes Portland and points south, Clinton has an 18-point lead, showing just how politically divided the state is geographically.
Logged
Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,657
Sweden


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #38 on: September 13, 2016, 07:23:20 pm »

lolnope.

Quote
But the poll shows Trumpís dominance in the Second District ó he leads Clinton by 10 points there ó is boosting him statewide as well. In the 1st Congressional District, which includes Portland and points south, Clinton has an 18-point lead, showing just how politically divided the state is geographically.
Says who?
Logged
ExtremeConservative
ExtremeRepublican
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,910


Political Matrix
E: 8.39, S: 7.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #39 on: September 13, 2016, 07:24:07 pm »

Trump won't win Maine, but ME-02 is at least Lean Trump at this point.  He's been ahead in every poll of the district.
Logged
Classic Conservative
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,656
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #40 on: September 13, 2016, 07:24:50 pm »

lolnope.

Quote
But the poll shows Trumpís dominance in the Second District ó he leads Clinton by 10 points there ó is boosting him statewide as well. In the 1st Congressional District, which includes Portland and points south, Clinton has an 18-point lead, showing just how politically divided the state is geographically.
Says who?
The polls. All of them.
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 16,731
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.63, S: -6.13

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #41 on: September 13, 2016, 07:44:19 pm »

Trump won't win Maine, but ME-02 is at least Lean Trump at this point.  He's been ahead in every poll of the district.

By that logic, Wisconsin is at least Lean Clinton, and there have been far more polls there.
Logged
Gass3268
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,176
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #42 on: September 13, 2016, 07:45:05 pm »

Trump won't win Maine, but ME-02 is at least Lean Trump at this point.  He's been ahead in every poll of the district.

By that logic, Wisconsin is at least Lean Clinton, and there have been far more polls there.

TBF, Wisconsin is closer to Likely Clinton.
Logged
Ljube
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,286
Political Matrix
E: 2.71, S: -6.09

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #43 on: September 13, 2016, 07:45:21 pm »

Can Trump win ME at large?
Logged
Castro
Castro2020
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,794
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #44 on: September 13, 2016, 07:50:31 pm »

Can Trump win ME at large?

I think he already has won you at large.
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,902


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #45 on: September 13, 2016, 07:52:13 pm »

Can Trump win ME at large?

No, barring a complete Clinton collapse.
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 16,731
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.63, S: -6.13

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #46 on: September 13, 2016, 08:02:09 pm »

Trump won't win Maine, but ME-02 is at least Lean Trump at this point.  He's been ahead in every poll of the district.

By that logic, Wisconsin is at least Lean Clinton, and there have been far more polls there.

TBF, Wisconsin is closer to Likely Clinton.

I know, but ER has Trump winning Wisconsin. Wink
Logged
Higgs
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,616


Political Matrix
E: 6.14, S: -4.17

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #47 on: September 13, 2016, 08:09:08 pm »

Every single poll of ME-02 has shown Trump ahead, and now a very reputable pollster shows him ahead by 10. I don't know why, but I still just don't see him winning here.
Logged
KingSweden
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,285
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #48 on: September 13, 2016, 08:14:03 pm »

Every single poll of ME-02 has shown Trump ahead, and now a very reputable pollster shows him ahead by 10. I don't know why, but I still just don't see him winning here.

I think it will be close either way. Poliquin is definitely the favorite, though.
Logged
Ebsy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,717
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #49 on: September 13, 2016, 09:18:55 pm »

Never trust a college pollster (other than Monmouth or Marist).
Logged
Pages: 1 [2] 3 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC