Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 19, 2019, 03:41:20 pm
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  NV-Monmouth: Trump +2
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 Print
Author Topic: NV-Monmouth: Trump +2  (Read 2873 times)
Peters/Daines more vulnerable than Shaheen/Ernst
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17,761
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: September 14, 2016, 12:06:27 pm »

44% Trump (R) (+3)
42% Clinton (D) (-3)
8% Johnson (L) (+3)

http://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_NV_091416/
Logged
Southern Dep. Speaker Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20,997
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: September 14, 2016, 12:07:07 pm »

Ruh Oh
Logged
Eraserhead
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 42,312
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: September 14, 2016, 12:09:16 pm »

Where's JJ? It looks like the deluge has finally arrived.
Logged
Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
sjkqw
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,070
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: 1.74


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: September 14, 2016, 12:09:22 pm »

BEAUTIFUL POLLS!

Too bad he's gonna get killed at the debates :/
Logged
The love that set me free
BRTD
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 85,726
Ukraine


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: September 14, 2016, 12:11:34 pm »

Did they poll in Spanish?
Logged
NV less likely to flip than FL/WI
xingkerui
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 16,045
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.63, S: -6.13

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: September 14, 2016, 12:12:05 pm »

No Spanish option? I'm sure that's not a problem Roll Eyes
Logged
marty
boshembechle
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,940


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: September 14, 2016, 12:14:22 pm »

Only took 4 replies until the paternalistic "but muh non-english speaking mexican voters" folks flood the thread.

LMAO

There is no pennsylvania dutch option in the PA polls. Guess we can discredit those as well!

LOLOLOLOL
Logged
Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
sjkqw
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,070
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: 1.74


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: September 14, 2016, 12:16:12 pm »

Only took 4 replies until the paternalistic "but muh non-english speaking mexican voters" folks flood the thread.

LMAO

There is no pennsylvania dutch option in the PA polls. Guess we can discredit those as well!

LOLOLOLOL

Think before you post again.
Logged
Devils30
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,882
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: September 14, 2016, 12:22:59 pm »
« Edited: September 14, 2016, 12:35:10 pm by Devils30 »

exits were 64% white in 2012, I don't think an 18% white vote Trump win will be enough for him here.

http://cookpolitical.com/story/8608
Logged
StatesPoll
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 444
WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: September 14, 2016, 12:33:34 pm »

Did they poll in Spanish?

let me copy and paste (famous red avatar in here) Wink

Never trust a college pollster (other than Monmouth or Marist).

Img
Logged
Arch
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,072
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: September 14, 2016, 12:35:56 pm »

Only took 4 replies until the paternalistic "but muh non-english speaking mexican voters" folks flood the thread.

LMAO

There is no pennsylvania dutch option in the PA polls. Guess we can discredit those as well!

LOLOLOLOL

Think before you post again.
Logged
Buzz
Jr. Member
**
Posts: 95


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: September 14, 2016, 12:39:26 pm »

Beautiful Poll!!
Logged
Pandaguineapig
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,278
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: September 14, 2016, 12:50:32 pm »

Senator Shelley Berkley approves of the Nevada unskewing
Logged
NV less likely to flip than FL/WI
xingkerui
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 16,045
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.63, S: -6.13

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: September 14, 2016, 12:54:53 pm »

Senator Shelley Berkley approves of the Nevada unskewing

Senator Sharron Angle agrees that it's impossible for Nevada polls to be off.
Logged
Dutch Conservative
jwhueting
Full Member
***
Posts: 171
Netherlands


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: September 14, 2016, 12:55:42 pm »
« Edited: September 14, 2016, 01:00:31 pm by Dutch Conservative »

I think RCP got the numbers mixed. They show Clinton +2.

Edit: only in latest polls section they show it wrong. In state they have it correct.

Nevada is pure tossup now.
Logged
Peters/Daines more vulnerable than Shaheen/Ernst
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17,761
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: September 14, 2016, 12:57:45 pm »

Senator Shelley Berkley approves of the Nevada unskewing

I still find it funny that 2014 (when Nevada polls underestimated Republicans by like 10 points and more) doesn't count in their opinion because of low turnout and the fact that 'Democrats didn't try to win the gubernatorial race'.
Logged
NV less likely to flip than FL/WI
xingkerui
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 16,045
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.63, S: -6.13

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: September 14, 2016, 12:58:36 pm »

Senator Shelley Berkley approves of the Nevada unskewing

I still find it funny that 2014 (when Nevada polls underestimated Republicans by like 10 points and more) doesn't count in their opinion because of low turnout and the fact that 'Democrats didn't try to win the gubernatorial race'.

Remind me again how much the 2010 Senate race in New Hampshire counts.
Logged
Jimmie
jamespol
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,348


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: September 14, 2016, 12:59:57 pm »

I am getting uneasy about Nevada, but the last two Presidential Elections did have Democrats overperform on election day. So, maybe it will be the same this year.

I doubt Nevada would be a prime pick up target for Trump, considering that is has a massive minority population.
Logged
Invisible Obama
DrScholl
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,070
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: September 14, 2016, 01:02:49 pm »

+2 is cause for celebration? If anything that means that by election day the bastard out of New York will lose by at least +5, because Nevada polling is usually crap ahead of election day. I can't wait for election day, because it's going to be even funnier than when Romney lost. The crazy white supremacists might actually riot.
Logged
marty
boshembechle
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,940


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: September 14, 2016, 01:12:10 pm »

+2 is cause for celebration? If anything that means that by election day the bastard out of New York will lose by at least +5, because Nevada polling is usually crap ahead of election day. I can't wait for election day, because it's going to be even funnier than when Romney lost. The crazy white supremacists might actually riot.

cut the crap. There is more to poll analysis than sh**tting on any poll that doesn't have your witch-empress in the lead.

Nevada has a HUGE number of working class whites, employed in things like construction, etc. We know that these guys adore and worship trump. What if these close NV polls simply are revealing so much enthusiasm among these people, many of whom did not vote in 2012.

You can't just immediately dismiss polls you do not like. You red guys do it in every single thread that has trump ahead.

It's an embarrassment to Psephology
Logged
Ebsy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,725
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: September 14, 2016, 01:28:53 pm »

Nevada was always going to be a toss up so it isn't exactly surprising that Trump leads in a poll or two.
Logged
Devils30
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,882
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: September 14, 2016, 01:31:02 pm »

Berkeley lost but she was much closer than the polls suggested.
Logged
Invisible Obama
DrScholl
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,070
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: September 14, 2016, 01:31:47 pm »

+2 is cause for celebration? If anything that means that by election day the bastard out of New York will lose by at least +5, because Nevada polling is usually crap ahead of election day. I can't wait for election day, because it's going to be even funnier than when Romney lost. The crazy white supremacists might actually riot.

cut the crap. There is more to poll analysis than sh**tting on any poll that doesn't have your witch-empress in the lead.

Nevada has a HUGE number of working class whites, employed in things like construction, etc. We know that these guys adore and worship trump. What if these close NV polls simply are revealing so much enthusiasm among these people, many of whom did not vote in 2012.

You can't just immediately dismiss polls you do not like. You red guys do it in every single thread that has trump ahead.

It's an embarrassment to Psephology

Do I have your permission to use your posts on "White People Mourning Trump"? Last election there was this great tumblr blog with people distraught over Romney losing and I want to do a similar one for Trump supporters.

With that said, it's no secret that Democrats outperform the polls in Nevada. No matter how many working class whites there are in Nevada, there are a lot of Hispanics there who will turnout just to vote against Trump. Besides, not all working class whites are going to vote for Trump.
Logged
Absolution9
Full Member
***
Posts: 127


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: September 14, 2016, 01:35:34 pm »

I am getting uneasy about Nevada, but the last two Presidential Elections did have Democrats overperform on election day. So, maybe it will be the same this year.

I doubt Nevada would be a prime pick up target for Trump, considering that is has a massive minority population.

Nevada might fit Trump culturally/economically.  Huge portion of the population works in the casino/hospitality/entertainment industry same industry as Trump is associated with.
Logged
HagridOfTheDeep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,871
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -3.21, S: -1.91


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: September 14, 2016, 01:54:05 pm »

Upsetting, to say the least.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines