NV-Monmouth: Trump +2

[MT Treasurer]

44% Trump (R) (+3)
42% Clinton (D) (-3)
8% Johnson (L) (+3)

http://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_NV_091416/

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Ruh Oh

[Eraserhead]

Where's JJ? It looks like the deluge has finally arrived.

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

BEAUTIFUL POLLS!

Too bad he's gonna get killed at the debates :/

[they don't love you like i love you]

Did they poll in Spanish?

[Xing]

No Spanish option? I'm sure that's not a problem

[Matty]

Only took 4 replies until the paternalistic "but muh non-english speaking mexican voters" folks flood the thread.

LMAO

There is no pennsylvania dutch option in the PA polls. Guess we can discredit those as well!

LOLOLOLOL

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

Only took 4 replies until the paternalistic "but muh non-english speaking mexican voters" folks flood the thread.

LMAO

There is no pennsylvania dutch option in the PA polls. Guess we can discredit those as well!

LOLOLOLOL

Think before you post again.

[Devils30]

exits were 64% white in 2012, I don't think an 18% white vote Trump win will be enough for him here.

http://cookpolitical.com/story/8608

[StatesPoll]

Did they poll in Spanish?

let me copy and paste (famous red avatar in here)

Never trust a college pollster (other than Monmouth or Marist).

[Dr. Arch]

Only took 4 replies until the paternalistic "but muh non-english speaking mexican voters" folks flood the thread.

LMAO

There is no pennsylvania dutch option in the PA polls. Guess we can discredit those as well!

LOLOLOLOL

Think before you post again.

[Buzz]

Beautiful Poll!!

[Pandaguineapig]

Senator Shelley Berkley approves of the Nevada unskewing

[Xing]

Senator Shelley Berkley approves of the Nevada unskewing

Senator Sharron Angle agrees that it's impossible for Nevada polls to be off.

[Dutch Conservative]

I think RCP got the numbers mixed. They show Clinton +2.

Edit: only in latest polls section they show it wrong. In state they have it correct.

Nevada is pure tossup now.

[Xing]

Senator Shelley Berkley approves of the Nevada unskewing

I still find it funny that 2014 (when Nevada polls underestimated Republicans by like 10 points and more) doesn't count in their opinion because of low turnout and the fact that 'Democrats didn't try to win the gubernatorial race'.

Remind me again how much the 2010 Senate race in New Hampshire counts.

[jamestroll]

I am getting uneasy about Nevada, but the last two Presidential Elections did have Democrats overperform on election day. So, maybe it will be the same this year.

I doubt Nevada would be a prime pick up target for Trump, considering that is has a massive minority population.

[DrScholl]

+2 is cause for celebration? If anything that means that by election day the bastard out of New York will lose by at least +5, because Nevada polling is usually crap ahead of election day. I can't wait for election day, because it's going to be even funnier than when Romney lost. The crazy white supremacists might actually riot.

[Matty]

+2 is cause for celebration? If anything that means that by election day the bastard out of New York will lose by at least +5, because Nevada polling is usually crap ahead of election day. I can't wait for election day, because it's going to be even funnier than when Romney lost. The crazy white supremacists might actually riot.

cut the crap. There is more to poll analysis than sh**tting on any poll that doesn't have your witch-empress in the lead.

Nevada has a HUGE number of working class whites, employed in things like construction, etc. We know that these guys adore and worship trump. What if these close NV polls simply are revealing so much enthusiasm among these people, many of whom did not vote in 2012.

You can't just immediately dismiss polls you do not like. You red guys do it in every single thread that has trump ahead.

It's an embarrassment to Psephology

[Ebsy]

Nevada was always going to be a toss up so it isn't exactly surprising that Trump leads in a poll or two.

[Devils30]

Berkeley lost but she was much closer than the polls suggested.

[DrScholl]

+2 is cause for celebration? If anything that means that by election day the bastard out of New York will lose by at least +5, because Nevada polling is usually crap ahead of election day. I can't wait for election day, because it's going to be even funnier than when Romney lost. The crazy white supremacists might actually riot.

cut the crap. There is more to poll analysis than sh**tting on any poll that doesn't have your witch-empress in the lead.

Nevada has a HUGE number of working class whites, employed in things like construction, etc. We know that these guys adore and worship trump. What if these close NV polls simply are revealing so much enthusiasm among these people, many of whom did not vote in 2012.

You can't just immediately dismiss polls you do not like. You red guys do it in every single thread that has trump ahead.

It's an embarrassment to Psephology

Do I have your permission to use your posts on "White People Mourning Trump"? Last election there was this great tumblr blog with people distraught over Romney losing and I want to do a similar one for Trump supporters.

With that said, it's no secret that Democrats outperform the polls in Nevada. No matter how many working class whites there are in Nevada, there are a lot of Hispanics there who will turnout just to vote against Trump. Besides, not all working class whites are going to vote for Trump.

[Absolution9]

I am getting uneasy about Nevada, but the last two Presidential Elections did have Democrats overperform on election day. So, maybe it will be the same this year.

I doubt Nevada would be a prime pick up target for Trump, considering that is has a massive minority population.

Nevada might fit Trump culturally/economically.  Huge portion of the population works in the casino/hospitality/entertainment industry same industry as Trump is associated with.

[HagridOfTheDeep]

Upsetting, to say the least.

[Devils30]

Trump will not get 28% of the non-white vote, that's like getting 35-38% of hispanics.