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| | | | |-+  Patterson Polling (Johnson/Weld internal) shows close race in Maine CD 2		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: Patterson Polling (Johnson/Weld internal) shows close race in Maine CD 2  (Read 549 times)
amdcpus
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« on: September 14, 2016, 09:31:22 pm »
Poll was conducted August 29 of 1169 LV in Maine CD 2.

Results were:

Clinton 40%

Trump 39%

Johnson 11%

Stein 3%


The results of their poll conducted August 3 (Before they spent 100k on ads for Johnson/Weld in Maine CD 2)

Clinton 43%

Trump 40%

Johnson 6%

Stein 4%
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #1 on: September 14, 2016, 09:42:20 pm »
Quote from: Skill and Chance on September 14, 2016, 09:40:20 pm
At 11% in your own internal after spending $100K.  Sad.
If they really went up 5% due to 100k in spending, that is actually impressive.
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amdcpus
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« Reply #2 on: September 14, 2016, 09:45:20 pm »
Quote from: Skill and Chance on September 14, 2016, 09:40:20 pm
At 11% in your own internal after spending $100K.  Sad.

Why? They're trying to get 5%, not win the state. Seems like they are helping secure that 5%.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #3 on: September 14, 2016, 09:52:21 pm »
Dems can't count on this 1-EV at this point...

It will likely swing based upon national numbers, but at this point I'm thinking that ME-02 will go Trump before NE-02 will go Clinton.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #4 on: September 14, 2016, 10:16:45 pm »
I have to wonder... If ME-02 really is this competitive, why isn't Hillary defending it? Do her internals have her well ahead there? I doubt she'd think it's not worth it, since she does seem to be contesting NE-02.
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Joni Ernst 20∞
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« Reply #5 on: September 14, 2016, 10:17:33 pm »
August 29th? I think Trump is definitely ahead here right now, but it will be competitive.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #6 on: September 14, 2016, 10:21:36 pm »
Quote from: xīngkěruì on September 14, 2016, 10:16:45 pm
I have to wonder... If ME-02 really is this competitive, why isn't Hillary defending it? Do her internals have her well ahead there? I doubt she'd think it's not worth it, since she does seem to be contesting NE-02.

Do Benenson's polls have a reputation for being superior to public polls?
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For England, James?

No. For me.
Fuzzy Bear
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« Reply #7 on: September 14, 2016, 10:24:29 pm »
I do think that the Johnson effect will make a number of states more competitive both ways.  ME is a state where Johnson would actually hurt the Democrat more.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #8 on: September 14, 2016, 10:33:50 pm »
Quote from: Fuzzy Bear on September 14, 2016, 10:24:29 pm
I do think that the Johnson effect will make a number of states more competitive both ways.  ME is a state where Johnson would actually hurt the Democrat more.



Agreed.
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For England, James?

No. For me.
ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #9 on: September 14, 2016, 10:39:44 pm »
still baffles me that it looks like about half of johnson's support comes from the dem side too.

combined with stein there should be ...about....6-9% of center-left voters who are not voting democratic this year according to polls.
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