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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  IA-Monmouth: Trump +8
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Author Topic: IA-Monmouth: Trump +8  (Read 2850 times)
PresidentSamTilden
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« Reply #50 on: September 17, 2016, 01:55:45 pm »

Time to change this one to blue on my prediction map. I doubt Hillary can make up an 8 point deficit here. Iowa's gone, with the wind...
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JJC
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« Reply #51 on: September 17, 2016, 05:03:15 pm »

Hello everyone. First post here. Been following this site for a while and finally decided to make an account.

Yeah, I definitely see Iowa voting more to the right for this election than usual. It has a very high white population (over 90%), many of which are blue-collar workers, which bodes well for Trump.

Honestly, Romney probably would have won the state if he could have connected with this group more.
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Lok
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« Reply #52 on: September 17, 2016, 05:08:26 pm »

So what's up with the Clinton collapse and Trump surge  right now?

The media spinning Clinton's 'deplorables' comment and pneumonia incident negatively because they want their horse race.
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Ozymandias
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« Reply #53 on: September 21, 2016, 12:53:22 am »

Can someone explain to me how it is that 538 is adjusting EVERY Iowa poll in favor of Trump?

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/iowa/

Doesn't that indicate a fundamental flaw in their adjustment methodology?
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‼realJohnEwards‼
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« Reply #54 on: September 21, 2016, 09:52:53 am »

Can someone explain to me how it is that 538 is adjusting EVERY Iowa poll in favor of Trump?

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/iowa/

Doesn't that indicate a fundamental flaw in their adjustment methodology?
Trend lines. The polls were taken while the nation was bluer, so it figures that Iowa would be redder now
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Secret Cavern Survivor
Antonio V
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« Reply #55 on: September 21, 2016, 10:06:08 am »

I know it's one of the best States demographically for Drumpf, but come on.
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