If Clinton's national numbers (as opposed to the totally bogus totals in this poll) among black voters hold and the national swing among Latinos is proportionate in the state, then all she needs to do is snatch the magic 23% of whites that virtually every top-ticket Democratic candidate for statewide/federal office in GA has received over the past decade (Obama 2012 & Thurmond 2010 were the exceptions). She's white, so here's to hoping.
In short, she just needs to replicate Obama 2008 in support levels - give or take a bit here and there among each group - to win.
| 59% White x | 23% Democratic = | 13.57 |
| 31% Black x | 95% Democratic = | 29.45 |
| 10% Other x | 70% Democratic = | 07.00 |
| --- | --- | 50.02 |
Even if she falls 10 points short with non-white, non-black voters, Johnson's share of the vote is likely to be enough for her to win with 49% of the vote.
