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Author Topic: GA-OpinionSavvy/InsiderAdvantage: Isakson +13  (Read 490 times)
IA more R than GA/TX/OH/FL
IndyRep
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« on: September 15, 2016, 01:28:47 pm »

47% Johnny Isakson (R, inc.)
34% Jim Barksdale (D)
6% Allen Buckley (L)

http://opinionsavvy.com/2016/09/15/poll-trump-pulls-ahead-in-ga/
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #1 on: September 15, 2016, 01:33:07 pm »

I think the NRSC should stop airing attack ads against Barksdale and focus on real races.
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NV less likely to flip than FL
xingkerui
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« Reply #2 on: September 15, 2016, 01:37:11 pm »

Safe R.
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #3 on: September 15, 2016, 01:51:29 pm »

But, but, but...Isakson's below 50%.
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olowakandi
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« Reply #4 on: September 15, 2016, 02:31:25 pm »

This race is far from done since Isakson is below 50
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #5 on: September 15, 2016, 06:49:39 pm »

This race is far from done since Isakson is below 50


The below 50% rule is garbage.  If an incumbent is ahead something like 44%-41%, then yeah, the incumbent is in big trouble and could well lose, but being up 47%-34% usually means something like a 55%-45% win in the end for the incumbent.
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olowakandi
olawakandi
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« Reply #6 on: September 15, 2016, 06:54:21 pm »

This race is far from done since Isakson is below 50


The below 50% rule is garbage.  If an incumbent is ahead something like 44%-41%, then yeah, the incumbent is in big trouble and could well lose, but being up 47%-34% usually means something like a 55%-45% win in the end for the incumbent.

If it's a wave Isakson will be washed away. Jim Martin was down by the same margin and forced Chambliss into a runoff, and McCain will lose.
« Last Edit: September 15, 2016, 06:58:18 pm by Da-Jon »Logged
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