National - Red Oak Strategies/Google Consumer Surveys: Trump +2 (4-way)
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  National - Red Oak Strategies/Google Consumer Surveys: Trump +2 (4-way)
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Author Topic: National - Red Oak Strategies/Google Consumer Surveys: Trump +2 (4-way)  (Read 1031 times)
Seriously?
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« on: September 19, 2016, 02:45:15 PM »
« edited: September 19, 2016, 02:58:22 PM by Seriously? »

9/15-9/16 Poll (9/1-2 difference) Trump +2.0%
Donald Trump 34.8% (+3.2%)
Hillary Clinton 32.8% (–1.3%)
Gary Johnson 8.1%    (–1.3%)
Other/DK       24.4%   (–0.5%)

914 LV; MOE +/- 3.5%; September 15-16, 2016

Source: https://s3.amazonaws.com/redoakstrategic-gcs/RedOakStrategic_NationalGCSSurvey_Sept192016.pdf
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Horus
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« Reply #1 on: September 19, 2016, 02:47:51 PM »

Trump might be up 1 or 2 at this very second, but this poll is junk.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #2 on: September 19, 2016, 02:55:56 PM »

35% is the leading number? literal, firey trash.
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Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.
diskymike44
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« Reply #3 on: September 19, 2016, 03:00:41 PM »

Junk poll! Although Johnson's Aleppo gaffe seemed to made his numbers drop.
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An American Tail: Fubart Goes West
Fubart Solman
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« Reply #4 on: September 19, 2016, 03:03:10 PM »

Junk poll! Although Johnson's Aleppo gaffe seemed to made his numbers drop.

The switch to Likely voters a from Registered voters might also have an affect on his numbers.
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #5 on: September 19, 2016, 03:05:19 PM »

don't think aleppogate would have cost johnson any votes.....but he has reached his peak for now as the last few polls have suggested.
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SirMuxALot
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« Reply #6 on: September 19, 2016, 03:06:47 PM »

In before "junk"...ah, blast it, give us a chance, will ya?
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KingSweden
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« Reply #7 on: September 19, 2016, 03:07:21 PM »

Trump might be up 1 or 2 at this very second, but this poll is junk.
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Person Man
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« Reply #8 on: September 19, 2016, 03:12:35 PM »
« Edited: September 19, 2016, 03:14:37 PM by Spicy Purrito »

The cross-tabs are neat. 4% are black...4% hispanic... 20% "mind your own business". Trump is actually doing worse with Hispanics than Blacks. Two things- this polls is polling the wrong people or there is going to be a realignment or a yuuuuggge drop off in participation this year. 
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #9 on: September 19, 2016, 03:28:37 PM »

Trump might be up 1 or 2 at this very second, but this poll is junk.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #10 on: September 19, 2016, 03:36:50 PM »

Of course idiot fraud Nate Silver added this junk to his model rofl
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #11 on: September 19, 2016, 03:53:00 PM »

Of course idiot fraud Nate Silver added this junk to his model rofl

He has all of the junk Google Consumer Surveys added....

I would rather take the Ipsos/Reuters over these anyday.
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Associate Justice PiT
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« Reply #12 on: September 19, 2016, 03:55:49 PM »

a yuuuuggge drop off in participation this year. 

     That actually seems very likely to me. Not to say that this poll isn't trash, though.
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‼realJohnEwards‼
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« Reply #13 on: September 19, 2016, 03:57:00 PM »

Of course idiot fraud Nate Silver added this junk to his model rofl

He has all of the junk Google Consumer Surveys added....

I would rather take the Ipsos/Reuters over these anyday.
Yeah same. At least Reuters doesn't use fricking GeoIP (or whatever Google uses) for state cross tabs...
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