FL - Monmouth: Clinton +5
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Author Topic: FL - Monmouth: Clinton +5  (Read 3839 times)
Speed of Sound
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« on: September 20, 2016, 12:04:08 PM »
« edited: September 20, 2016, 12:08:46 PM by Speed of Sound »
Among 400 Likely Voters, conducted Sept. 16th-19th:

Clinton 46 (-2)
Trump 41 (+2)
Johnson 6 (nc)
Stein 1 (nc)

I'll update as I get more.

Official report: http://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_FL_092016/
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #1 on: September 20, 2016, 12:05:19 PM »
Great results! She's bouncing back graciously.
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swf541
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« Reply #2 on: September 20, 2016, 12:05:30 PM »
Great poll (Now I wait for the senate numbers which i really shouldnt hope for)
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Mallow
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« Reply #3 on: September 20, 2016, 12:05:39 PM »
This is very nice to see. Wonder when it was taken.
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swf541
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« Reply #4 on: September 20, 2016, 12:05:53 PM »
Rubio only +2 as well
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #5 on: September 20, 2016, 12:06:47 PM »
Damn...
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KingSweden
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« Reply #6 on: September 20, 2016, 12:07:03 PM »
Whoa! Much more than I expected
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BlueSwan
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« Reply #7 on: September 20, 2016, 12:07:16 PM »
Their last one was Clinton +9 though.
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riceowl
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« Reply #8 on: September 20, 2016, 12:07:40 PM »
Quote from: Arch on September 20, 2016, 12:05:19 PM
Great results! She's bouncing back graciously.

Despite declining; ha!
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dspNY
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« Reply #9 on: September 20, 2016, 12:07:51 PM »
I know Florida was Clinton +9 according to Monmouth the last time they polled it, and immediately thought it was an outlier. I think this one is a bit more accurate and a great poll for Hillary
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Ozymandias
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« Reply #10 on: September 20, 2016, 12:08:47 PM »
Quote from: Mallow on September 20, 2016, 12:05:39 PM
This is very nice to see. Wonder when it was taken.

9/16-9/19

monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_FL_092016/
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KingSweden
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« Reply #11 on: September 20, 2016, 12:09:23 PM »
Quote from: BlueSwan on September 20, 2016, 12:07:16 PM
Their last one was Clinton +9 though.

When was that one taken? Was it during the bounce?
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riceowl
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« Reply #12 on: September 20, 2016, 12:09:39 PM »
Also last poll was 8/12-15
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #13 on: September 20, 2016, 12:10:17 PM »
Quote from: Mallow on September 20, 2016, 12:05:39 PM
This is very nice to see. Wonder when it was taken.

The OP updated his initial post to include ....
Quote from: Speed of Sound on September 20, 2016, 12:04:08 PM
Among 400 Likely Voters, conducted Sept. 16th-19th:
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Gass3268
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« Reply #14 on: September 20, 2016, 12:11:02 PM »
What a lovely poll!!
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #15 on: September 20, 2016, 12:11:10 PM »
Quote from: KingSweden on September 20, 2016, 12:09:23 PM
Quote from: BlueSwan on September 20, 2016, 12:07:16 PM
Their last one was Clinton +9 though.

When was that one taken? Was it during the bounce?

The last poll was in early August.
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Matty
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« Reply #16 on: September 20, 2016, 12:14:48 PM »
Goes against every recent forida poll. Even the august poll was an outleir .
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riceowl
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« Reply #17 on: September 20, 2016, 12:19:05 PM »
Quote from: marty on September 20, 2016, 12:14:48 PM
Goes against every recent forida poll. Even the august poll was an outleir .

*A+
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #18 on: September 20, 2016, 12:20:40 PM »
Quote from: TN volunteer on September 20, 2016, 12:10:06 PM
So FL will vote to the left of ME and NV, lol? But yeah, terrible poll for Trump.
Florida will be slightly to the right of DC if Google's to be believed.
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Phony Moderate
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« Reply #19 on: September 20, 2016, 12:21:20 PM »
FWIW, Monmouth's 9-point Hillary lead was somewhat higher than what most others were showing at that time. Doesn't necessarily mean that it was inaccurate though, or this one.
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Classic Conservative
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« Reply #20 on: September 20, 2016, 12:21:30 PM »
Quote from: Phony Moderate on September 20, 2016, 12:21:20 PM
FWIW, Monmouth's 9-point Hillary lead was somewhat higher than what most others were showing at that time. Doesn't necessarily mean that it was inaccurate though, or this one.
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oriass16
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« Reply #21 on: September 20, 2016, 12:22:27 PM »
Folks do not joke yourselves clearly an outleir
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World politics is up Schmitt creek
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« Reply #22 on: September 20, 2016, 12:22:51 PM »
Quote from: TN volunteer on September 20, 2016, 12:10:06 PM
So FL will vote to the left of ME and NV, lol? But yeah, terrible poll for Trump.

Two possibilities:

1. Some or most of the polls are sh**t.
2. The realignment is on.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #23 on: September 20, 2016, 12:23:41 PM »
The Siena Poll is Clinton +3 or Clinton +4 if you apply different LV screens. This may be at the outer edge, but it's not ridiculous, especially if we're correcting from an artificial blip for Trump.
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Classic Conservative
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« Reply #24 on: September 20, 2016, 12:24:27 PM »
Quote from: Brittain33 on September 20, 2016, 12:23:41 PM
The Siena Poll is Clinton +3 or Clinton +4 if you apply different LV screens. This may be at the outer edge, but it's not ridiculous, especially if we're correcting from an artificial blip for Trump.
And it could be Trump +1
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