FL - Monmouth: Clinton +5 (user search)
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  FL - Monmouth: Clinton +5 (search mode)
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Author Topic: FL - Monmouth: Clinton +5  (Read 3856 times)
ProudModerate2
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« on: September 20, 2016, 12:10:17 PM »
Quote from: Mallow on September 20, 2016, 12:05:39 PM
This is very nice to see. Wonder when it was taken.

The OP updated his initial post to include ....
Quote from: Speed of Sound on September 20, 2016, 12:04:08 PM
Among 400 Likely Voters, conducted Sept. 16th-19th:
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ProudModerate2
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Posts: 20,453
United States


« Reply #1 on: September 20, 2016, 12:33:58 PM »
Quote from: Brittain33 on September 20, 2016, 12:26:34 PM
Quote from: Classic Conservative on September 20, 2016, 12:24:27 PM
Quote from: Brittain33 on September 20, 2016, 12:23:41 PM
The Siena Poll is Clinton +3 or Clinton +4 if you apply different LV screens. This may be at the outer edge, but it's not ridiculous, especially if we're correcting from an artificial blip for Trump.

And it could be Trump +1

Also true.

Clinton +9 in Florida would be an outlier. If we assume Clinton's recovering, as it looks like she is, Clinton +5 is a reasonable result. If she's not recovering and the race is still Clinton +1/2 nationally, with Trump having big problems with Hispanics, Clinton +5 looks like outer edge of reasonable range.

With a recent analysis of trump falling an additional 1 to 2 points with Hispanics, a Clinton +5 in Florida could be an accurate picture.
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