Fox News: Trump leads by 3 in NV, 5 in OH, and 5 in NC
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  Fox News: Trump leads by 3 in NV, 5 in OH, and 5 in NC
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Author Topic: Fox News: Trump leads by 3 in NV, 5 in OH, and 5 in NC  (Read 4759 times)
Fusionmunster
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« Reply #25 on: September 21, 2016, 05:18:52 PM »

Lol Fox is shilling hard. Clinton leading with Hispanics by only 12 in Nevada!

Junk poll!! That fact actually makes me feel better about these.

I mean, the last five NV polls or so have shown Clinton trailing in the state, but whatever. The NC poll seems Republican-friendly, though.
The Reid machine will save the democrats! Just like 2014

And you'll be nowhere to be found on election day when she wins Nevada, right?
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #26 on: September 21, 2016, 05:19:47 PM »

RV numbers from the crosstabs:

NV
Trump 39
Clinton 38
Johnson 9
2-way: Trump 43-40

NC
Trump 43
Clinton 38
Johnson 8
2-way: Trump 46-41

OH
Trump 40
Clinton 37
Johnson 6
Stein 2
2-way: Trump 43-40
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Ozymandias
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« Reply #27 on: September 21, 2016, 05:20:17 PM »

From Jon Ralston's twitter feed:

Jon Ralston ‏@RalstonReports  2m2 minutes ago
FOX NV poll:
LV: 40% Ds, 40% Rs
Actual reg is 40-34, Dems
Indies, 42-23, Trump.
Trump gets 26% of non-white vote
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Pandaguineapig
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« Reply #28 on: September 21, 2016, 05:21:22 PM »

Lol Fox is shilling hard. Clinton leading with Hispanics by only 12 in Nevada!

Junk poll!! That fact actually makes me feel better about these.

I mean, the last five NV polls or so have shown Clinton trailing in the state, but whatever. The NC poll seems Republican-friendly, though.
The Reid machine will save the democrats! Just like 2014

And you'll be nowhere to be found on election day when she wins Nevada, right?
Anything can change, but when the last 5-6 polls show a candidate leading a race it is fair to assume that candidate is probably leading at the moment, even if polls were off in a race 6 years ago
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dspNY
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« Reply #29 on: September 21, 2016, 05:22:53 PM »

Did some back of the envelope calculations for NC and they undersampled nonwhites by 5% in this poll. Nonwhites are 30% of the electorate in NC and the numbers FOX put out indicate a 75% white, 25% nonwhite electorate. If you adjust that properly then it is virtually tied

In Ohio they don't even have a crosstab for African-American voters! They could be 15% of the vote in OH

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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #30 on: September 21, 2016, 05:23:23 PM »

Lol Fox is shilling hard. Clinton leading with Hispanics by only 12 in Nevada!

Junk poll!! That fact actually makes me feel better about these.

I mean, the last five NV polls or so have shown Clinton trailing in the state, but whatever. The NC poll seems Republican-friendly, though.
The Reid machine will save the democrats! Just like 2014

And you'll be nowhere to be found on election day when she wins Nevada, right?
Anything can change, but when the last 5-6 polls show a candidate leading a race it is fair to assume that candidate is probably leading at the moment, even if polls were off in a race 6 years ago

They were off in 2012 too.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #31 on: September 21, 2016, 05:24:14 PM »

Anyone who doesn't rate NV as a Toss-Up at this point is just being delusional.
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Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.
diskymike44
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« Reply #32 on: September 21, 2016, 05:25:10 PM »

Sorry but it seems to be little R friendly and plus it's Fox News.
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Pandaguineapig
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« Reply #33 on: September 21, 2016, 05:25:37 PM »

Lol Fox is shilling hard. Clinton leading with Hispanics by only 12 in Nevada!

Junk poll!! That fact actually makes me feel better about these.

I mean, the last five NV polls or so have shown Clinton trailing in the state, but whatever. The NC poll seems Republican-friendly, though.
The Reid machine will save the democrats! Just like 2014

And you'll be nowhere to be found on election day when she wins Nevada, right?
Anything can change, but when the last 5-6 polls show a candidate leading a race it is fair to assume that candidate is probably leading at the moment, even if polls were off in a race 6 years ago

They were off in 2012 too.
Only by 1 to 2% and they underestimated republicans in 2014
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Classic Conservative
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« Reply #34 on: September 21, 2016, 05:25:59 PM »

Sorry but it seems to be little R friendly and plus it's Fox News.
Fox has a pretty good polling division people respect them on all sides. Don't they skew a little Democratic right?
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #35 on: September 21, 2016, 05:27:54 PM »

Lol Fox is shilling hard. Clinton leading with Hispanics by only 12 in Nevada!

Junk poll!! That fact actually makes me feel better about these.

I mean, the last five NV polls or so have shown Clinton trailing in the state, but whatever. The NC poll seems Republican-friendly, though.
The Reid machine will save the democrats! Just like 2014

And you'll be nowhere to be found on election day when she wins Nevada, right?
Anything can change, but when the last 5-6 polls show a candidate leading a race it is fair to assume that candidate is probably leading at the moment, even if polls were off in a race 6 years ago

They were off in 2012 too.
Only by 1 to 2% and they underestimated republicans in 2014

They were off by 4 points.
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dspNY
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« Reply #36 on: September 21, 2016, 05:28:24 PM »

Also did the back of the envelope calculation for Ohio and whites comprise 87% of the poll
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Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.
diskymike44
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« Reply #37 on: September 21, 2016, 05:28:54 PM »

Sorry but it seems to be little R friendly and plus it's Fox News.
Fox has a pretty good polling division people respect them on all sides. Don't they skew a little Democratic right?

2 words

Karl Rowe.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #38 on: September 21, 2016, 05:29:50 PM »

lol at the unskewing


Sorry but it seems to be little R friendly and plus it's Fox News.
Fox has a pretty good polling division people respect them on all sides. Don't they skew a little Democratic right?

2 words

Karl Rowe.
Good spelling genius
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #39 on: September 21, 2016, 05:31:01 PM »

lol at the unskewing


Sorry but it seems to be little R friendly and plus it's Fox News.
Fox has a pretty good polling division people respect them on all sides. Don't they skew a little Democratic right?

2 words

Karl Rowe.
Good spelling genius

Like you don't do it either? We're on a partisan poll analyzing forum, unskewing is part of why people come here.
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RJEvans
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« Reply #40 on: September 21, 2016, 05:31:31 PM »

So strange how this election is turning out. We all thought Clinton will have trouble in PA. Instead it is looking safe. We all thought she will lock up NV, now that looks like a Trump state. NC looks to go Dem before OH does. Who would have thought that a few months ago.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #41 on: September 21, 2016, 05:35:55 PM »

So strange how this election is turning out. We all thought Clinton will have trouble in PA. Instead it is looking safe. We all thought she will lock up NV, now that looks like a Trump state. NC looks to go Dem before OH does. Who would have thought that a few months ago.

So true.... take the CW from the past two elections with Obama at the top of the ticket, throw in two extremely unpopular nominees from the major parties, add a wild card of a Libertarian grabbing Millennials (and others) from both candidates throughout the country, and we do have one wild election and swings in the EC map and polling this late in the year.
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oriass16
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« Reply #42 on: September 21, 2016, 05:36:39 PM »

Go deplorable people, take your man to the white house.
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Skye
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« Reply #43 on: September 21, 2016, 05:37:09 PM »

Lol Fox is shilling hard. Clinton leading with Hispanics by only 12 in Nevada!

Junk poll!! That fact actually makes me feel better about these.

I mean, the last five NV polls or so have shown Clinton trailing in the state, but whatever. The NC poll seems Republican-friendly, though.
But did they poll in Spanish?
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #44 on: September 21, 2016, 05:41:42 PM »

Lol Fox is shilling hard. Clinton leading with Hispanics by only 12 in Nevada!

Junk poll!! That fact actually makes me feel better about these.

I mean, the last five NV polls or so have shown Clinton trailing in the state, but whatever. The NC poll seems Republican-friendly, though.
But did they poll in Spanish?

The state is 30% hispanic, i'm not sure if your trying to be funny?
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Xing
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« Reply #45 on: September 21, 2016, 06:15:30 PM »

Anyone who doesn't rate NV as a Toss-Up at this point is just being delusional.

Or we just don't believe that Trump has some magical powers that allow him to defy demographics. Seriously, the idea of him doing 35 points better among Latinos than Romney is laughable.
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #46 on: September 21, 2016, 06:16:49 PM »

Fox heels to their new king.

JUNK POLL!!!
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Phony Moderate
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« Reply #47 on: September 21, 2016, 06:17:49 PM »


Questioning crosstabs isn't the best way to unskew polls.
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Buzz
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« Reply #48 on: September 21, 2016, 06:18:34 PM »

An absolutely beautiful poll! Outstanding News! MAGA
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #49 on: September 21, 2016, 06:18:59 PM »

lol at the unskewing


Sorry but it seems to be little R friendly and plus it's Fox News.
Fox has a pretty good polling division people respect them on all sides. Don't they skew a little Democratic right?

2 words

Karl Rowe.
Good spelling genius

Better to misspell than believe a JUNK POLL!!!
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