Illinois is really starting to look competitive. Lots of undecideds. Atlas told me that Duckworth was going to win big, but she's still stuck in the low 40s. If we get something with a Kirk lead, or maybe even a tie, I will move it toss-up.
So you believe that Hillary's only going to win Illinois by 6?
538 Unskewed this poll to +7 for clinton and +3 duckworth. that's plausible for senate.
My point is that the Presidential numbers for Illinois don't look plausible, which means that the Senate numbers, even if they seem plausible, have to be thrown out as well. Kirk might be within striking distance of Duckworth, but we probably shouldn't be putting too much stock in this particular pollster.