FL-Suffolk(9/19-9/21): TRUMP +1.4

[oriass16]

This poll is leaning D cause of parties affiliations in this poll, 39% D, 36% R and 23% I, while in 2012

Florida exit poll  shows the parties affiliations 35% D, 33% R and 33 I.In this poll they did under sample

I.If we use 2012 data in this poll we will come up with a result like 46% Trump vs 42 % Clinton.The

difference here independents went by 14 % margin for Trump while in 2012 Obama won independents

by 3 points.

[oriass16]

This poll is leaning D cause of parties affiliations in this poll, 39% D, 36% R and 23% I, while in 2012

Florida exit poll  shows the parties affiliations 35% D, 33% R and 33 I.In this poll they did under sample

I.If we use 2012 data in this poll we will come up with a result like 46% Trump vs 42 % Clinton.The

difference here independents went by 14 % margin for Trump while in 2012 Obama won independents

by 3 points.

Adjusted as your Ratios

TRUMP:  DEM(35%)x11% + REP(33%)x82% + IND(33%)x46% = 46.09%
Hillary: DEM(35%)x84% + REP(33%)x7% + IND(33%)x32% = 42.27%

This is what I am talking about.thanks my friend