Quinnipiac CO Clinton +2 GA Trump +7 IA Trump +6 VA Clinton +6
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  Quinnipiac CO Clinton +2 GA Trump +7 IA Trump +6 VA Clinton +6
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Author Topic: Quinnipiac CO Clinton +2 GA Trump +7 IA Trump +6 VA Clinton +6  (Read 5515 times)
Classic Conservative
Junior Chimp
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« on: September 22, 2016, 02:05:33 PM »
« edited: September 22, 2016, 02:08:15 PM by Classic Conservative »

Colorado:
Clinton: 44%
Trump: 42%
Johnson: 10%
Stein: 2%

Georgia:
Trump: 47%
Clinton: 40%
Johnson: 9%

Iowa:
Trump: 44%
Clinton: 37%
Johnson: 10%
Stein: 2%

Virginia:
Clinton: 45%
Trump: 39%
Johnson: 8%
Stein: 1%

https://www.qu.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/2016-presidential-swing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=2381
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KingSweden
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« Reply #1 on: September 22, 2016, 02:06:51 PM »

Closer than I'd like to see in CO, but that's definitely the kind of place where you'd figure Johnson is more of a drag on Clinton
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StatesPoll
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« Reply #2 on: September 22, 2016, 02:06:59 PM »

Colorado:
Clinton:44
Trump:42
Johnson:10

Georgia:
Trump:47
Clinton:40
Johnson:9

Iowa:
Trump:44
Clinton:37
Johnson:10

Virginia:
Trump:39
Clinton:45
Johnson:8

Very nice!  #BattleGroundColoradoAgain



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Ebsy
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« Reply #3 on: September 22, 2016, 02:08:17 PM »

Closer than I'd like to see in CO, but that's definitely the kind of place where you'd figure Johnson is more of a drag on Clinton
Looking at the crosstabs, they have Clinton doing better among Whites than Obama did but somehow only up 2. Quinnipiac is probably struggling to poll Latinos in Colorado.
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Phony Moderate
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« Reply #4 on: September 22, 2016, 02:08:32 PM »

VA and GA could end up looking like that. Can't see Trump winning by more than 5 in IA. CO is too unpredictable to, well, predict.
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Classic Conservative
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5 on: September 22, 2016, 02:08:48 PM »

Head to Head it is tied in CO
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #6 on: September 22, 2016, 02:10:56 PM »

Head-to-head matchups among likely voters show:
Colorado: Clinton and Trump tied 47 - 47 percent;
Georgia: Trump leads Clinton 50 - 44 percent;
Iowa: Trump tops Clinton 50 - 44 percent;
Virginia: Clinton leads Trump 50 - 43 percent.

The racial gap is huge among Georgia likely voters: White voters back Trump 72 - 16 percent, while non-white voters back Clinton 73 - 14 percent.
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #7 on: September 22, 2016, 02:10:59 PM »

JUNK POLLS!!!

Stick to the Northeast, Quinnijunk!
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MasterJedi
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« Reply #8 on: September 22, 2016, 02:11:08 PM »

Firewall states still holding.
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Xing
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« Reply #9 on: September 22, 2016, 02:11:19 PM »

GA and VA look about right. Looks a bit generous for Trump in CO and IA, though I think Trump is somewhat favored to win Iowa, at this point (I'm not going as far as others and saying that he's got it locked down.)
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #10 on: September 22, 2016, 02:14:26 PM »

Gender gap in Iowa is 36 points(!):

men
Trump 52%
Clinton 26%
Johnson 15%
Stein 3%

women:
Clinton 47%
Trump 37%
Johnson 7%
Stein 2%

Also, lol at the non-college whites in Georgia:

Trump 81%
Clinton 11%
Johnson 8%
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bilaps
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« Reply #11 on: September 22, 2016, 02:14:56 PM »

GA and VA look about right. Looks a bit generous for Trump in CO and IA, though I think Trump is somewhat favored to win Iowa, at this point (I'm not going as far as others and saying that he's got it locked down.)

7 in Iowa isn't generous at all
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #12 on: September 22, 2016, 02:24:06 PM »

lol

>Quinnipiac in Colorado


I mean, maybe, just maybe, if Trump endorses marijuana legalization at the first debate and says how he really respects their decision.
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #13 on: September 22, 2016, 02:24:39 PM »

Did they poll the Senate races?
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #14 on: September 22, 2016, 02:24:56 PM »


I know you might be joking but Quinnipiac is pretty junky in Colorado.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #15 on: September 22, 2016, 02:25:35 PM »


They usually release that a day afterwards.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
Sprouts
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« Reply #16 on: September 22, 2016, 02:25:49 PM »


I know you might be joking but Quinnipiac is pretty junky in Colorado.

Yes, that's what ">" means. It's not a joke. I am specifically calling them out. Never trust them in CO or PA
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Gass3268
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« Reply #17 on: September 22, 2016, 02:26:52 PM »

538 will probably add 2 points to Clinton for all of these. One of the few major polls they have assigned a Trump bias to.
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #18 on: September 22, 2016, 02:27:46 PM »

Gender gap in Iowa is 36 points(!):
Also, lol at the non-college whites in Georgia:
Trump 81%
Clinton 11%
Johnson 8%
Similar to Monmouth
http://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_GA_091916/
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Marist had it 18-72 among non-college whites, and 32-57 college graduates
http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/GAPolls/GA160906/NBC%20News_WSJ_Marist%20Poll_Georgia_Nature%20of%20the%20Sample%20and%20Tables%20of%20Likely%20Voters_September%202016.pdf

6 point race among 2 way is sad for Trump.
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elcorazon
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« Reply #19 on: September 22, 2016, 02:30:19 PM »
« Edited: September 22, 2016, 02:33:07 PM by elcorazon »

Yeah, looks like Trump will win IA. The question is which FREIWAL state is more likely to vote for him - CO or WI?
538 has Michigan more likely for Trump than Wisconsin (in Polls Only anyway)... not to mention PA and NH, of course.
Maine is also closer than Wisconsin according to 538 Polls only.
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Yank2133
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #20 on: September 22, 2016, 02:31:40 PM »

VA, IA, and GA are believable.

But GTFO Quinnipiac when it comes to CO. HRC is likely up at least 5 up there.
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #21 on: September 22, 2016, 02:34:03 PM »

I'd like to see more national polls and state polls next week. It looks like everything is lagging.
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dspNY
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« Reply #22 on: September 22, 2016, 02:35:55 PM »

Colorado only 9% Hispanic in the Q poll which understates Clinton's real position there by about 4 points...

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ExtremeRepublican
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« Reply #23 on: September 22, 2016, 02:36:08 PM »

Colorado could be the state that decides the election.  It probably is the most likely beyond the 272-266 map for Trump.
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PresidentSamTilden
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« Reply #24 on: September 22, 2016, 02:40:07 PM »

A lot of people are dunking on the Colorado result, but this seems consistent nationally. If Trump is winning in GA and IA by that much, I can picture CO having swung back a great deal as well.

VA doesn't look like a swinger this year, unless Trump kicks into another gear and pulls off a landslide. 
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