Breitbart/Gravis: Trump +4 in CO, +1 in OH
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  Breitbart/Gravis: Trump +4 in CO, +1 in OH
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Author Topic: Breitbart/Gravis: Trump +4 in CO, +1 in OH  (Read 3203 times)
StatesPoll
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« Reply #25 on: September 26, 2016, 03:57:05 AM »

And the crosstabs are too GOP friendly. This poll is a outlier.

really? I don't think so.
This Poll oversampled Hispanic +4% & Undersampled Black 2% =almost doesn't make a chance

https://www.scribd.com/document/325276782/Colorado-Breitbart-Gravis-Poll-Sept-25#from_embed

Page 7,  Race: White 78% | Hispanic 18% | Asian 3% | Black 1%
2012 Exit Poll: White 78% | Hispanic 14% | Black 3% | Asian 3% | Other 3%

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Lachi
lok1999
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« Reply #26 on: September 26, 2016, 04:47:48 AM »

And the crosstabs are too GOP friendly. This poll is a outlier.

really? I don't think so.
This Poll oversampled Hispanic +4% & Undersampled Black 2% =almost doesn't make a chance

https://www.scribd.com/document/325276782/Colorado-Breitbart-Gravis-Poll-Sept-25#from_embed

Page 7,  Race: White 78% | Hispanic 18% | Asian 3% | Black 1%
2012 Exit Poll: White 78% | Hispanic 14% | Black 3% | Asian 3% | Other 3%


I know we are supposed to ignore you, but I just wanna point out that the demographics of 2012 and 2016 are quite different.
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StatesPoll
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« Reply #27 on: September 26, 2016, 05:10:44 AM »
« Edited: September 26, 2016, 05:40:02 AM by StatesPoll »

And the crosstabs are too GOP friendly. This poll is a outlier.

really? I don't think so.
This Poll oversampled Hispanic +4% & Undersampled Black 2% =almost doesn't make a chance

https://www.scribd.com/document/325276782/Colorado-Breitbart-Gravis-Poll-Sept-25#from_embed

Page 7,  Race: White 78% | Hispanic 18% | Asian 3% | Black 1%
2012 Exit Poll: White 78% | Hispanic 14% | Black 3% | Asian 3% | Other 3%


I know we are supposed to ignore you, but I just wanna point out that the demographics of 2012 and 2016 are quite different.

Hisapnics % in Colorado almost didn't increase during 2010->2015
https://www.census.gov/quickfacts/table/PST045215/08/accessible
2010: 20.7% -> 2015: 21.3%.
just 0.6%(considering low turnouts & low reg % of Hispanics. it could be even lower than 0.6%.)

ye ye, demographics of Colorado changed soooooooooooo much.
(Plus, turnouts of HS/Some College Whites in Colorado would be ↑↑↑↑ for sure.)

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