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  ME-UNH/Portland Press Herald: Clinton+4, but Trump wins CD2 by 14% (search mode)
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Author Topic: ME-UNH/Portland Press Herald: Clinton+4, but Trump wins CD2 by 14%  (Read 6763 times)
TheDeadFlagBlues
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« on: September 25, 2016, 07:28:28 pm »

haha why are people freaking out about this? this is a crosstab from a specious uni-polling firm lmao.
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TheDeadFlagBlues
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« Reply #1 on: September 25, 2016, 07:42:49 pm »

haha why are people freaking out about this? this is a crosstab from a specious uni-polling firm lmao.

That's my point Dead Flags.... but Trump looks like he will win ME-02.

This is the evidence we have that points in that direction:
-a SUSA crosstab
-a wonky internal
-a UNH crosstab
-an Emerson crosstab
-a crosstab from some unknown firm with a bizarre name

SUSA is a solid polling firm but their crosstabs are notoriously terrible. I shouldn't have to explain why I don't trust the rest of these polls. Until we have more polling from reputable firms, rather than this assortment of trash, I don't buy that Trump is going to win ME-2 by more than 1-2 points. It's a tossup at worst.

Again: Clinton would compete here if her analytics team thought it was close. The alternative explanation (that it's a Trump blowout) would suggest a WV-sized trend to Trump. So I'm thinking that it's not close and that we've been mislead by junk polls. I might be wrong; we'll see.
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TheDeadFlagBlues
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« Reply #2 on: September 25, 2016, 10:42:57 pm »


It's a UNH poll...
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