Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
February 21, 2019, 08:34:02 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  Election Archive
| | |-+  All Archived Boards
| | | |-+  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
| | | | |-+  CBS/YouGov: Tight race in CO - Clinton up in VA, Trump ahead in MO
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 Print
Author Topic: CBS/YouGov: Tight race in CO - Clinton up in VA, Trump ahead in MO  (Read 2520 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 47,959
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -6.09

P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: September 25, 2016, 09:29:48 am »



https://today.yougov.com/news/2016/09/25/race-tightens-va-trump-down-1-co-9-mo
Logged
heatcharger
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,135
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -1.24

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: September 25, 2016, 09:31:40 am »

Didn't they have the same 40-39 race last time they polled Colorado?

Anyways, did they seriously not poll the MO senate race...
Logged

Helsinkian
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,126
Finland
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: September 25, 2016, 09:32:43 am »

Why do they have a map of Arizona instead of Colorado?
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 47,959
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -6.09

P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: September 25, 2016, 09:34:36 am »

Why do they have a map of Arizona instead of Colorado?

Tongue
Logged
Snek!
Angry_Weasel
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20,936
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: September 25, 2016, 09:35:21 am »

Apparently Trump is doing well with Hispanics in Colorado. This race is more or less tied at this point..maybe Clunton has an edge..
Logged

Classic Conservative
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,669
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: September 25, 2016, 09:36:13 am »

17% of White Evangelicals are undecided in CO wow
Logged
Seriously?
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,036
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: September 25, 2016, 09:38:14 am »

Why do they have a map of Arizona instead of Colorado?
Epic geography fail.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 47,959
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -6.09

P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: September 25, 2016, 09:40:46 am »

Someone please add them to the database ...

CO should be slight Hillary then.
Logged
heatcharger
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,135
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -1.24

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: September 25, 2016, 09:40:55 am »

17% of White Evangelicals are undecided in CO wow

Yeah, and Hillary's only getting 46% of the Hispanic vote when Obama got 75% last time in the state...

Also why is there no education crosstab?
Logged

/
darthebearnc
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,454
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: September 25, 2016, 09:44:54 am »

Why do they have a map of Arizona instead of Colorado?

XD
Logged
Gass3268
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,572
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: September 25, 2016, 09:46:11 am »

MO: Don't know why this needed to be polled
VA: Good result for Hillary
CO: Concerning, but most of the undecided voters are younger voters and I have doubts on the Hispanic numbers (I imagine Hispanics that can do an online poll will be more friendly to Trump). Also this is no shift since their June poll.
Logged

Ranked Preferences for Announced Democratic Nominees:

1. Warren
2. Harris
3. Buttigieg
4. Sanders
5. Klobuchar
6. Gillibrand
7. Castro
8. Booker
9. Delaney
10. Gabbard
afleitch
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 24,619


Political Matrix
E: 2.45, S: -8.17

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: September 25, 2016, 09:47:11 am »

17% of White Evangelicals are undecided in CO wow

Yeah, and Hillary's only getting 46% of the Hispanic vote when Obama got 75% last time in the state...

Also why is there no education crosstab?

Yeah, Latino Decisions (9th September mind, so it's old) had her up 72-17 amongst Hispanics. Her best state outside of NC at that time. She'll have slipped a bit, but the polls figures should be taken with a grain of salt.
Logged

Elizabeth Warren 2020
ShadowOfTheWave
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,162
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: September 25, 2016, 09:48:33 am »

CO is concerning, but remember that it always polls this close when the race is close nationally. Hillary seems to have a much higher ceiling though.
Logged
Snek!
Angry_Weasel
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20,936
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: September 25, 2016, 09:49:49 am »

Why do they have a map of Arizona instead of Colorado?

XD

Fact: it doesn't matter if you get Wyoming or Colorado mixed up...not such much with Arizona.
Logged

Gass3268
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,572
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: September 25, 2016, 09:50:59 am »

CO is concerning, but remember that it always polls this close when the race is close nationally. Hillary seems to have a much higher ceiling though.

Yeah, Obama over performed his rcp average by 4 points in 2012.
Logged

Ranked Preferences for Announced Democratic Nominees:

1. Warren
2. Harris
3. Buttigieg
4. Sanders
5. Klobuchar
6. Gillibrand
7. Castro
8. Booker
9. Delaney
10. Gabbard
Fusionmunster
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,492


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: September 25, 2016, 09:52:18 am »

Their last poll in CO was also +1 so no change there.
Logged
PresidentSamTilden
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 514


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: September 25, 2016, 09:52:35 am »

I guess this graphic designer isn't so good at geography, lol. But I guess the takeaway here is that #BattlegroundColorado is a thing again, even if it does lean D a bit.
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 15,216
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.63, S: -6.13

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: September 25, 2016, 10:01:28 am »

If we are seeing a realignment based on educational attainment, CO shouldn't be this close. Then again, the Latino number in this poll is laughable, so that might explain part of it.
Logged

Gass3268
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,572
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: September 25, 2016, 10:07:53 am »

Keep in mind that a good percent of CO Hispanics (and a majority in NM) are ancestral residents who are basically the Carholic white working class culturally.  Those parts of the state are unlikely to be turned off by Trump as much as Hispanics are nationally.

Also those that are probably the most turned off by Trump, might not be full represented in an online poll.
Logged

Ranked Preferences for Announced Democratic Nominees:

1. Warren
2. Harris
3. Buttigieg
4. Sanders
5. Klobuchar
6. Gillibrand
7. Castro
8. Booker
9. Delaney
10. Gabbard
HillOfANight
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,474
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: September 25, 2016, 10:18:48 am »

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/in-colorado-trump-battles-demographics-clinton-fears-complacency/2016/09/13/4a53405e-79d0-11e6-bd86-b7bbd53d2b5d_story.html

On 9/13, the Washington Post reported that Clinton's internal polling had them up 7.
Logged
Saruman
Rookie
*
Posts: 25


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: September 25, 2016, 10:49:19 am »

Clinton's SuperPac is going back into Colorado in October fwiw.
Logged
Eraserhead
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 42,278
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: September 25, 2016, 10:51:57 am »

Trump probably shouldn't bother with VA at this point.
Logged

Update lives again on Atlas After Dark. PM me for info.
StatesPoll
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 444
View Profile WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: September 25, 2016, 11:08:11 am »


Colorado, CBS/YouGov, 9/21-9/13
Not Sure votes
White - 11%, Hispanic - 12%

Colorado Exit Poll 2012 - White 78% | Hispanic 14%

White 78% x Not sure 11% = 8.58%
Hispanic 14% x Not sure 12% = 1.68%

and red avatars are thinking, oh! oh! oh! Hispanics! Hillary has bigger space to expand.

lol

Logged
#TheShadowyAbyss
LibertarianRepublican
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,014
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: September 25, 2016, 11:27:02 am »

These State polls lately have my head spinning they really how to not make any sense based on the demographics of each state and the people at the top of the ticket
Logged

Proud Palestinian-American, so proud to have Rashida Tlaib and Justin Amash represent us in Congress.

American, Muslim, Arab and Progressive.
mencken
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,263
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: September 25, 2016, 11:55:59 am »

Trump probably shouldn't bother with VA at this point.


Only because he's already won the election in a landslide if VA is in play
Logged
Pages: [1] 2 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines