CBS/YouGov: Tight race in CO - Clinton up in VA, Trump ahead in MO (user search)
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  CBS/YouGov: Tight race in CO - Clinton up in VA, Trump ahead in MO (search mode)
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Author Topic: CBS/YouGov: Tight race in CO - Clinton up in VA, Trump ahead in MO  (Read 4495 times)
Gass3268
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« on: September 25, 2016, 09:46:11 AM »

MO: Don't know why this needed to be polled
VA: Good result for Hillary
CO: Concerning, but most of the undecided voters are younger voters and I have doubts on the Hispanic numbers (I imagine Hispanics that can do an online poll will be more friendly to Trump). Also this is no shift since their June poll.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1 on: September 25, 2016, 09:50:59 AM »

CO is concerning, but remember that it always polls this close when the race is close nationally. Hillary seems to have a much higher ceiling though.

Yeah, Obama over performed his rcp average by 4 points in 2012.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #2 on: September 25, 2016, 10:07:53 AM »

Keep in mind that a good percent of CO Hispanics (and a majority in NM) are ancestral residents who are basically the Carholic white working class culturally.  Those parts of the state are unlikely to be turned off by Trump as much as Hispanics are nationally.

Also those that are probably the most turned off by Trump, might not be full represented in an online poll.
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