MN/PA/NC-Gravis/Breitbart: MN Tied, PA HRC +3 and NC HRC +1
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  MN/PA/NC-Gravis/Breitbart: MN Tied, PA HRC +3 and NC HRC +1
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Author Topic: MN/PA/NC-Gravis/Breitbart: MN Tied, PA HRC +3 and NC HRC +1  (Read 3758 times)
Dr. Arch
Arch
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« Reply #25 on: September 26, 2016, 05:00:34 PM »


NC:
Clinton 44
Trump 43
Johnson 7

https://www.scribd.com/document/325392521/North-Carolina-September-24-2016-v7#from_embed
 
oh sh**t... I checked demographics. which is skewed for TRUMP.  and he is losing.
(White 81 Black 10 ........)

it could be adjusted something like Hillary 49 TRUMP 40 




Statespoll adjusting towards Hillary? WTH
I know! 2016, huh...

This election will make me lose my mind.
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bilaps
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« Reply #26 on: September 26, 2016, 05:05:23 PM »

MI would flip before MN.

That said, Hillary is only up by less than 5 points in MI according to RCP average, so it isn't impossible.

Just highly improbable.

a reminder that Michigan polls are god damn terrible. They only had Obama up by like 4 in 2012.

You had a better example for Michigan polls in much nearer past
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Maxwell
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« Reply #27 on: September 26, 2016, 05:28:04 PM »

MI would flip before MN.

That said, Hillary is only up by less than 5 points in MI according to RCP average, so it isn't impossible.

Just highly improbable.

a reminder that Michigan polls are god damn terrible. They only had Obama up by like 4 in 2012.

You had a better example for Michigan polls in much nearer past

correct - Michigan polls were off and the more left-wing person won. Hmmm... I wonder who is more left-wing between Clinton and Trump?
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‼realJohnEwards‼
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« Reply #28 on: September 26, 2016, 05:28:47 PM »

MI would flip before MN.

That said, Hillary is only up by less than 5 points in MI according to RCP average, so it isn't impossible.

Just highly improbable.

a reminder that Michigan polls are god damn terrible. They only had Obama up by like 4 in 2012.

You had a better example for Michigan polls in much nearer past

correct - Michigan polls were off and the more left-wing person won. Hmmm... I wonder who is more left-wing between Clinton and Trump?
By the same token, the most anti-establishment candidate should win. Not saying either is true, but still...
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Maxwell
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« Reply #29 on: September 26, 2016, 05:36:52 PM »

I would just be genuinely surprised that the same year that the Republican Governor of Michigan decided to poison his citizens would be the same year that the state voted Republican for President for the first time in decades. That's all.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #30 on: September 26, 2016, 05:39:09 PM »

Nothing matters anymore.
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Roronoa D. Law
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« Reply #31 on: September 26, 2016, 06:26:10 PM »

NC 81% white electorate that is an 11 point swing from 2012 even with low black turnout and NC new restrictive voting laws will the white share be that high. Minnesota tied is also questionably. Bush lost the state by 4 points even though the electorate was 37% Republican and split independents. PA looks sane.
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Suburbia
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« Reply #32 on: September 26, 2016, 06:45:50 PM »

I don't really believe this poll, but NC and PA are tossups. MN is Likely Democratic.
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Lachi
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« Reply #33 on: September 27, 2016, 03:35:01 AM »


NC:
Clinton 44
Trump 43
Johnson 7

https://www.scribd.com/document/325392521/North-Carolina-September-24-2016-v7#from_embed
 
oh sh**t... I checked demographics. which is skewed for TRUMP.  and he is losing.
(White 81 Black 10 ........)

it could be adjusted something like Hillary 49 TRUMP 40 





STATESPOLL IS UNSKEWING IN FAVOR OF HILLARY! THIS IS NOT A DRILL, I REPEAT, THIS IS NOT A DRILL!!!
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #34 on: September 27, 2016, 04:16:17 AM »

Junk, and pre-debate.
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