Breitbart/Gravis: Trump +4 in CO, +1 in OH
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  Breitbart/Gravis: Trump +4 in CO, +1 in OH
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Author Topic: Breitbart/Gravis: Trump +4 in CO, +1 in OH  (Read 3138 times)
GeorgiaModerate
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« on: September 25, 2016, 06:58:14 PM »

http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2016/09/25/exclusive-breitbartgravis-polls-trump-takes-lead-colorado-maintains-lead-ohio/

CO:

Trump 41
Clinton 37
Johnson 6
Stein 6

OH:

Trump 43
Clinton 42
Johnson 6
Stein 1

Take CO with a LARGE grain of salt; they have Bennett trailing by 2 (45-43).  They have Portman up 44-36 in OH.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #1 on: September 25, 2016, 06:59:14 PM »

lmao
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #2 on: September 25, 2016, 07:00:11 PM »

LOL at Glenn up in CO.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #3 on: September 25, 2016, 07:00:18 PM »

Clinton is surging in Ohio! Tongue
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‼realJohnEwards‼
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« Reply #4 on: September 25, 2016, 07:00:30 PM »

So Trump's only running 2 points ahead of Glenn? Great news!
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New_Conservative
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« Reply #5 on: September 25, 2016, 07:00:55 PM »

Lol Breitbart
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Classic Conservative
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« Reply #6 on: September 25, 2016, 07:01:12 PM »

Gravis is junk. News at 11
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DrScholl
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« Reply #7 on: September 25, 2016, 07:04:32 PM »

So Clinton is up in both states. Good to know.
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Xing
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« Reply #8 on: September 25, 2016, 07:09:15 PM »

So Hillary will do eight points worse in CO than the nation as a whole, and CO will be three points to the right of OH? Riiiiiight.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #9 on: September 25, 2016, 07:13:51 PM »

How on earth is CO to the right of Ohio
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Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.
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« Reply #10 on: September 25, 2016, 07:18:28 PM »

I was gonna panic but until I seen Breitbart lol.
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #11 on: September 25, 2016, 07:21:27 PM »

i am not sure which of the numbers are stranger.

regarding the other polls i guess the difference between OH and CO itself...but slowly i am getting a little bit worried about CO. all logical points of information advice a clear clinton win but if trump really should...however...edge out a victory, i think he becomes president.

and it would be madness, since the hyper-professional and much better staffed clinton campaign stopped campaigning themselves in july or so.
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Phony Moderate
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« Reply #12 on: September 25, 2016, 07:22:37 PM »

How on earth is CO to the right of Ohio

Yeah, Trump +4 in OH and Trump +1 in CO would be a bit more plausible.
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Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.
diskymike44
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« Reply #13 on: September 25, 2016, 07:25:25 PM »

And the crosstabs are too GOP friendly. This poll is a outlier.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #14 on: September 25, 2016, 07:30:35 PM »

Sounds, smells, and looks like a junk poll to me....]

I'll buy Trump being up in OH by 3-5, and I think CO is closer than many Dem avatars on the forum choose to believe, but yes.... these results don't male much sense at all, even assuming a Trump lean in OH and CO being closer than expected.
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dspNY
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« Reply #15 on: September 25, 2016, 07:51:18 PM »

Ohio sounds right IMO. Colorado poll is complete junk
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heatcharger
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« Reply #16 on: September 25, 2016, 08:15:32 PM »

I bet Republican Clear Politics will include this in their polling average to give Trump the lead.
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #17 on: September 25, 2016, 08:27:14 PM »

RCP may generally be a site with a lite center-conservative bias but imho sean trende generally knows what he is doing.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #18 on: September 25, 2016, 09:50:06 PM »

Ohio looks reasonable, but even bad pollsters like Gravis sometimes trip on accurate looking numbers.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #19 on: September 25, 2016, 10:30:39 PM »

>Gravis
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StatesPoll
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« Reply #20 on: September 26, 2016, 12:02:22 AM »
« Edited: September 26, 2016, 01:13:37 AM by StatesPoll »

Liberal's Hero, Nate Silver's adjustment is same as poll results.
Colorado, Breitbart/Gravis 9/22-9/23: TRUMP +4%
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/colorado/#plus  

Ohio, Breitbart/Gravis 9/22-9/23: TRUMP +1%

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/ohio/#plus  



= Colorado Freiwal is collapsed.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #21 on: September 26, 2016, 12:04:13 AM »

Gravis has been quite reasonable so far, despite polling for Breitbart.

But the CO poll looks like a big outlier ...
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Ebsy
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« Reply #22 on: September 26, 2016, 12:47:45 AM »

So I noticed ExtremeRepublican only put the Colorado poll in the database. Wonder why.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #23 on: September 26, 2016, 12:51:08 AM »

Gravis has been quite reasonable so far, despite polling for Breitbart.

But the CO poll looks like a big outlier ...

CO could well be Clinton's graveyard.....

Not seeing many polls showing her up these days in CO....
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Hilldog
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« Reply #24 on: September 26, 2016, 01:20:35 AM »

I've never even heard of Breitbart polling people, but how far off do you think it is?  Is it more than 5 points off?  Then it means Clinton by 1 or more in CO?  How far off are you claiming?
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