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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  Bloomberg: Trump +2 (4 way) tied (2 way)
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Author Topic: Bloomberg: Trump +2 (4 way) tied (2 way)  (Read 1256 times)
bilaps
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« Reply #25 on: September 26, 2016, 11:27:45 am »

If Selzer is right about the composition of electorate, Trump will win this thing. This +2 nationaly is in line with their +5 in OH.
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jaichind
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« Reply #26 on: September 26, 2016, 11:44:11 am »

If Selzer is right about the composition of electorate, Trump will win this thing. This +2 nationaly is in line with their +5 in OH.

They seem to have it White 71 AA 11 Hispanic 10 Asian 2 vs 2012 of White 72 AA 13 Hispanic 10 Asian 3.  On the surface if we accept lower relative AA turnout from 2012 and a relative surge in White and Hispanic turnout then these numbers would make sense once we factor in demographic changes since 2012.
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Kempros
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« Reply #27 on: September 26, 2016, 12:05:59 pm »

Dead heat, still within the m.o.e.
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afleitch
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« Reply #28 on: September 26, 2016, 12:23:42 pm »

If Selzer is right about the composition of electorate, Trump will win this thing. This +2 nationaly is in line with their +5 in OH.

They seem to have it White 71 AA 11 Hispanic 10 Asian 2 vs 2012 of White 72 AA 13 Hispanic 10 Asian 3.  On the surface if we accept lower relative AA turnout from 2012 and a relative surge in White and Hispanic turnout then these numbers would make sense once we factor in demographic changes since 2012.

It also thinks that over the past few months millions of fully formed adult men have entered the electorate with a 50/50 LV split despite women always making up about 52/53 of the actual vote.
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Virginiá
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« Reply #29 on: September 26, 2016, 12:33:45 pm »

They seem to have it White 71 AA 11 Hispanic 10 Asian 2 vs 2012 of White 72 AA 13 Hispanic 10 Asian 3.  On the surface if we accept lower relative AA turnout from 2012 and a relative surge in White and Hispanic turnout then these numbers would make sense once we factor in demographic changes since 2012.

It also thinks that over the past few months millions of fully formed adult men have entered the electorate with a 50/50 LV split despite women always making up about 52/53 of the actual vote.

So it is true then. Trump has sent terminators from the future to ensure his victory.
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