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Author Topic: UPI/CVoter 50-State Poll - October 3-October 9, 2016  (Read 2915 times)
Seriously?
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« on: September 26, 2016, 04:21:22 pm »

Current Survey October 3-October 9, 2016


Likely Voter. All surveys conducted online. All these surveys are now 7-day samples. This one from October 3-9, 2016.

Source: https://assets.documentcloud.org/documents/3127557/UPI-CVoter-2016-StatePoll-October-10.pdf

Original Survey September 12-25, 2016


Likely Voter. All surveys conducted online. 14-day samples from 9/12-25, 2016

Source: https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/3114006-UPI-CVoter-2016-State-poll-0925.html#document/p1
Story: http://www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2016/09/26/UPICVoter-state-polls-Donald-Trump-ahead-of-Hillary-Clinton-in-Electoral-College/3941474908310/
« Last Edit: October 12, 2016, 02:03:03 am by Seriously? »Logged
ExtremeConservative
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« Reply #1 on: September 26, 2016, 04:27:38 pm »

Trump wins that map 292-246 by carrying the Romney states plus Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and Iowa.
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Can we have a real Christian conservative president instead of having our party go down the road of populism and nationalism, with strains of liberal-tarianism?  Let the loss of the House be a lesson that we need to return to the party of Marco Rubio, Nikki Haley, Tim Scott, Rick Santorum, and Bill Lee.  We need a bold and optimistic vision for this country that embraces Christian values!

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« Reply #2 on: September 26, 2016, 04:34:55 pm »

What a bunch of JUNK
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« Reply #3 on: September 26, 2016, 04:36:05 pm »

Flip VA and PA and it actually doesn't look that bad.
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« Reply #4 on: September 26, 2016, 04:50:17 pm »

Seems too good for Trump.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #5 on: September 26, 2016, 04:58:12 pm »

Is this yet another newcomer to the "50 State Polling Trend" that is breaking out like a bad rash in 2016?

If not, do we have any links to their preceding polls, and obviously if so, will likely deserve its own thread?
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Seriously?
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« Reply #6 on: September 26, 2016, 05:00:16 pm »

Is this yet another newcomer to the "50 State Polling Trend" that is breaking out like a bad rash in 2016?

If not, do we have any links to their preceding polls, and obviously if so, will likely deserve its own thread?
They have apparently been doing this since September 1, but this is their first release. It's the only poll that gets all 50 states with some sort of actual heft over a two-week span, so we'll see.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #7 on: September 26, 2016, 05:02:04 pm »

Is this yet another newcomer to the "50 State Polling Trend" that is breaking out like a bad rash in 2016?

If not, do we have any links to their preceding polls, and obviously if so, will likely deserve its own thread?
They have apparently been doing this since September 1, but this is their first release. It's the only poll that gets all 50 states with some sort of actual heft over a two-week span, so we'll see.

So at least provides some data for small states like Wyoming and Rhode Island that aren't covered in the Ipsos/Reuters 50 state poll....

Hmmm....
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‼realJohnEwards‼
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« Reply #8 on: September 26, 2016, 05:04:59 pm »

OH to the left of PA? What a load of hooey.
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What this election has revealed to me is that our American political factions hold no respect for one another, and that this disrespect has reached the personal level. If we make it through the next four years, I can only pray that our party does something to remedy this, because until we have removed all of our "deplorable" rhetoric from our systems, this nation is hopeless.
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« Reply #9 on: September 26, 2016, 05:09:07 pm »

Could happen..
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #10 on: September 26, 2016, 05:14:38 pm »

This seems very plausible. I will say I think Virginia will be for the democrats and maine will be much closer if not a narrow GOP victory. I also think Sec. Clinton will probably win new hampshire. All in all, valuable polling information- not a junk poll.
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« Reply #11 on: September 28, 2016, 09:03:21 am »


Electoral College Map. As UPI/CVoter 50-State Poll results(9/12-25, 2016)

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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #12 on: September 28, 2016, 09:06:43 am »

So... CVoter has Virginia to the right of Ohio, Pennsylvania, Florida, Iowa, and North Carolina? That's a novel finding.
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« Reply #13 on: September 28, 2016, 10:20:31 am »

So... CVoter has Virginia to the right of Ohio, Pennsylvania, Florida, Iowa, and North Carolina? That's a novel finding.
not to pick on you because this happens nearly every time a new poll comes out, but polls are polls. The margin of error is 95% of the time, so in a 50 state poll there will usually be a couple of states that are plain wrong. Then of course there's margin of error on top of it. Maybe Virginia is off kilter in this poll. It should be utilized in addition to all of the other polls we already know about.
Just becoming a pet peeve of mine around here.
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"The most important thing to remember is, no matter what anybody tells you, it is never, ever unpatriotic or un-American to question anything in a democracy"
Seriously?
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« Reply #14 on: October 03, 2016, 03:06:05 pm »

9/19-10/2 poll



Likely Voter. All surveys conducted online. 14-day samples from 9/19-October 2, 2016

Source: https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/3118423-UPI-CVoter-2016-StatePoll-October-3-1.html#document/p1
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StatesPoll
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« Reply #15 on: October 03, 2016, 03:38:59 pm »

Gold Standard Polls



UPI/CVoter 50-State Poll - 9/19-October 2, 2016
« Last Edit: October 03, 2016, 03:43:27 pm by StatesPoll »Logged
HokeyDood
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« Reply #16 on: October 03, 2016, 03:44:51 pm »

Gold Standard Polls



UPI/CVoter 50-State Poll - 9/19-October 2, 2016


THE STRAWS!!!  THEY CAN'T BREATHE!!!

Yowzers... if this is what you are holding onto these dark days...
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« Reply #17 on: October 06, 2016, 08:54:17 am »

Babyfingers just tweeted the results of this ridiculous, outdated poll this morning. Desperation and denial.
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Seriously?
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« Reply #18 on: October 12, 2016, 02:03:22 am »

Current Survey October 3-October 9, 2016


Likely Voter. All surveys conducted online. All these surveys are now 7-day samples. This one from October 3-9, 2016.

Source: https://assets.documentcloud.org/documents/3127557/UPI-CVoter-2016-StatePoll-October-10.pdf
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True Federalist
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« Reply #19 on: October 12, 2016, 06:08:15 am »

Clinton 347, Trump 191



Babyfingers just tweeted the results of this ridiculous, outdated poll this morning. Desperation and denial.

Oops. When even the outlier poll you referenced a few days ago shows you aren't doing well, maybe you ought to take the hint.
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Quote from: Ignatius of Antioch
He that possesses the word of Jesus, is truly able to bear his very silence. Epistle to the Ephesians 3:21a
The one thing everyone can agree on is that the media is biased against them.
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« Reply #20 on: October 12, 2016, 10:10:41 am »

Clinton 347, Trump 191



This agrees with my prediction.
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peterthlee
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« Reply #21 on: October 12, 2016, 10:31:29 pm »

Luckily, the once-considered-junk poll has just become the gold standard of prediction (Most pundits agree that a 347-191 spread is most likely)
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