Yukon election, 2016

[136or142]

Since this was asked of me by somebody here (actually they were telling me to do this and not comment on something else) this is the slate of candidates for the three main parties.

Yukon NDP
Rural Ridings
1.Klondike, Jay Farr,  Former First Nation Deputy Chief, Dawson Town Councillor 2015-

2.Kluane, Sally Wright, Self Employed Custom Silkscreen Printer

3.Lake Laberge, Anne Taylor, Co-Owner Muktuk Adventures Sled Dog Adventures, former Literature Instructor, PhD-Literature (Rhetoric)

4.Mayo-Tatchun, Jim Tredger, School Principal and teacher, Former President Association of Yukon School Administrators and former Yukon Teacher's Association President, M.L.A 2011-

5.Mount Lorne-Southern Lakes, Kevin Barr, Community Justice Worker, Musician (Juno Nominated), M.L.A 2011-

6.Pelly-Nisutlin, Ken Hodgins, Former Government of Yukon Director of Community Services, Former Town of Faro Chief Administrative Officer

7.Vuntut Gwitchin, Skeeter Wright, Past Executive Director Little Salmon/Carmacks First Nation, Yukon Conservation Society Director, B.Sc-Wildlife Management, M.A-Social Work and Social Ecology, 2011 Nominee in Copperbelt North

8.Watson Lake, Erin Labonte, Family Auto Repair Shop Employee, Cystic Fibrosis Canada Yukon Branch Fundraiser and Director,  President Watson Lake Minor Softball

Whitehorse
1.Copperbelt North, Andre Bourcier, Applied Linguistics Instructor and Institute Acting Director, Former Chair Commission Scolaire Francophone du Yukon, Ph.D-Linguistics

2.Copperbelt South, Lois Moorcroft, Yukon Federation of Labour Executive, Former Yukon College Whitehorse Campus Librarian, B.A- History, M.L.A 1992-2000, 2011-

3.Mountainview, Shaunagh Stikeman, Indigenous and Northern Affairs Canada Lawyer and Assistant Negotiator, B.A-Women's Studies and Political Studies, J.D

4.Porter Creek Center, Pat Berrel, Retired Whitehorse Elementary School Principal

5.Porter Creek North, Francis Van Kessel, General Manager Whitehorse Days Inn, Teslin Tlingit First Nation Councillor

6.Porter Creek South, Shirley Chua-Tan, Realtor, former Coldwell Banker Mutual Fund and Insurance Agent Regional Manager, Vice President Autism Yukon, Diploma-Chemical Process Technology, Team Yukon Squash Player

7.Riverdale North,  Rod Snow, Mining Lawyer and Firm Managing Partner, Former Canadian Bar Association President, Former Whitehorse Chamber of Commerce President

8.Riverdale South, Jan Stick,  Partner Well Read Books (Used book store), Former Adults With Disabilities Case Manager, Former Whitehorse City Councillor, M.L.A 2011-

9.Takhini-Kopper King, Kate White, Owner Midnight Sun Coffee Roasters Cafe, Corrections Yukon Life Skills Coach, French Immersion Diploma, Red Seal Baking Certificate, Culinary Degree, M.L.A 2011-

10.Whitehorse Centre, Liz Hanson,  Party Leader 2009-, Former Regional Director Indian and Northern Affairs Canada, B.A - Political Science, B.A -Social Work, M.L.A 2010-

11.Whitehorse West, Stu Clark, Retired Chemical Engineer, Former Chair Yukon Development Education Center, Senior Policy Adviser Canadian Food Grains Bank, B.Sc - Chemical Engineering, M.Sc-Biological Engineering

Suggested NDP cabinet
1.Premier/Intergovernmental Affairs, Liz Hanson
2.Finance/Treasury Board President, Rod Snow
3.Economic Development/Tourism and Culture, Anne Taylor
4.Energy, Mines and Resources/Rural Affairs, Jim Tredger
5.Environment/Status of Women, Kate White
6.Highways and Public Works, Jan Stick
7.Education and Advanced Education/Francophone Affairs, Lois Moorcroft
8.Health and Social Services, Ken Hodgins
9.Municipal Affairs/Public Service Commission, Jay Farr
10.Justice/Labour, Shanaugh Stikeman

Speaker, Kevin Barr
Chief Whip, Pat Berrel
Caucus Chair, Francis Van Kessel

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Yukon Liberal
Rural
1.Klondike, Sandy Silver, Party Leader 2012-, High School Math Teacher and Department Head, B.Sc-Mathematics, B.A-Psychology, B-Education, M.L.A 2011-

2.Kluane, Mathieya Alatani, Former Indian Affairs and Northern Development Senior Civil Servant, B-Commerce, Kluane First Nation Chief

3.Lake Laberge, Alan Young, Rancher/Outfitter, Owner Northsky Aviation

4.Mayo-Tatchun, Don Hutton, Retired First Nation and Federal Government Resource Management Officer, Former Canadian Ranger

5.Mount Lorne-Southern Lakes, John Streicker, Marsh Lake Community Center Recreation Director, former Professional Engineer and Climate Change Lecturer, B.Sc-Computer Science and Geography, M.Sc-Engineering, 2008 and 2011 Federal Green Party Nominee, Former Green Party of Canada President, Whitehorse City Councillor 2012-2015 (now lives in this riding)

6.Pelly-Nisutlin, Carl Sidney, Canadian Armed Forces Veteran, Diploma? - Diesel Engineering, 2011 Nominee, Former Teslin Tinglit First Nations Chief 2006-2012,

7.Vuntut-Gwitchin, Pauline Frost, President Vuntut Gwitchin Limited Partnership and Vuntut Gwitchin Firs Nation Negotiator and Intergovernmental Coordinator

8.Watson Lake, Ernie Jamieson, Co-Owner Takhini Transport (Trucking Company and former School Bus operator) and Retired Owner Watson Lake Bus Lines, Former Watson Lake Town Councillor

Whitehorse
1.Copperbelt North, Ted Abel, Realtor, Former Postal Carrier and Canadian Union of Postal Employees Executive, Former Clothing Business Owner, B.A-, 2011 Nominee in Mount Lorne-Southern Lakes

2.Copperbelt South, Joceyln Curteanu, Whitehorse Canada Revenue Agency Office Manager, Whitehorse City Councillor 2012-

3.Mountainview, Jeanie Dendys, Kwanlin Dun First Nation Director of Justice, Former President Yukon Indian Hockey Association

4.Porter Creek Centre, Paolo Gallina, Northwestel Community Investment Manager (Bell Canada Subsidiary), Former Team Yukon Communications Manager

5.Porter Creek North, Eileen Melnychuk, Communications Consultant and Firm Owner (Media Essentials), B.A (Hons)-Communications and Northern Cultural Policy, M.A-Communications and Cultural Studies

6.Porter Creek South, Ranj Pillai, Executive Director Champagne and Aishihik First Nations Government, Former Vice President of Business Development Northern Vision Development, Former Yukon Liberal Party President, former Whitehorse City Councillor ?-2012

7.Riverdale North, Nils Clarke, Lawyer and Yukon Legal Services Society (Legal Aid) Executive Director, Former Criminology Instructor

8.Riverdale South, Tracy McPhee, Lawyer and Executive Director Kwanlin Dun Cultural Centre, Former Yukon Information and Privacy Commissioner, Former President Canadian Federation of Law Societies, B-Education, J.D

9.Takhini-Kopper King, Jeanne Lassen, Sport Yukon (non profit) Physical Literacy Coordinator, Former Elementary School Teacher, Olympic Weightlifter and Medal Winner, B-Education (English as a Second Language Specialty), B-Sports Performance

10.Whitehorse Centre, Tamara Goeppel, Travel Agency Owner, Arctic Winter Games Snowshoeing Medal Winner, M.B.A

11.Whitehorse West, Richard Mostyn, Former Yukon News Journalist, Yukon Workers Compensation Health and Safety Board Employee


Proposed Cabinet
1.Premier/Intergovernmental Affairs, Sandy Silver
2.Finance/Treasury Board President, Ranj Pillai
3.Economic Development/Tourism and Culture, Alan Young
4.Energy, Mines and Resources/Rural Affairs, Matheya Alatani
5.Environment, Carl Sidney
6.Highways and Public Works, John Streicker
7.Education and Advanced Education/Francophone Affairs, Tracy McPhee
8.Health and Social Services, Jeanie Dendys
9.Municipal Affairs/Public Service Commission/Status of Women, Jocelyn Curteanu
10.Justice/Labour, Nils Clarke

Speaker, Richard Mostyn
Chief Whip, Pauline Frost
Caucus Chair, Jeane Lassen

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Yukon Party Candidates
Rural
1.Klondike, Brad Whitelaw, Hotel Owner and Outfitting Business Owner

2.Kluane, Wade Istchenko, Owner Kluane Riding Adventure Tours, Canadian Armed Forces Veteran, M.L.A 2011- Environment Minister

3.Lake Laberge, Brad Cathers, Co-Owner Cathers Wilderness Adventures, M.L.A 2002-, Justice Minister, Yukon Development Corporation Minister, Energy Minister, Government House Leader

4.Mayo-Tatchun, Cory Bellmore, Village of Carmacks Chief Administrative Officer, Diploma-Human Resource Management, B-Commerce, Former Village of Carmacks Councillor 2003-2006

5.Mount Lorne-Southern Lakes, Rob Schneider, Marsh Lake Fire Chief, Bellekano Mine Care and Maintenance Supervisor

6.Pelly-Nisutlin, Stacey Hassard, Owner Nisutlin North Lake Hotel and Trading Post, Executive Teslin Minor Hockey Association, Former Town Councillor, M.L.A 2011- Economic Development Minister, Yukon Housing Corporation Minister, Yukon Liquor Corporation Minister

7.Vuntut Gwitchin, Darius Elias, Yukon Environment Assessment Officer, Former Vuntut National Park Warden, Diploma-Renewable Resources Management, M.L.A 2006- (Liberal M.L.A 2006-2012), Deputy Speaker

8.Watson Lake, Patti McLeod, Federal Government Mining Administrator, Watson Lake Town Councillor 2006-2009, M.L.A 2011-, Speaker

Whitehorse
1.Copperbelt North, Pat McInroy, Owner P + M Recycling, B.Sc-Environmental Science,  Former Yukon Party President 2011-2016, (Yukon Party Copperbelt North retiring MLA Currie Dixon)

2.Copperbelt South, Scott Kent, Liberal M.L.A Riverdale North 2000-2002, Riverdale North M.L.A 2011-2016,  Energy, Mines and Resources Minister, Highways and Public Works Minister

3.Mountainview, Darrell Pasloski, Shoppers Drug Mart Franchises (two) Owner, B.Sc (Distinction)-Pharmacy, 2008 Federal Conservative Party Candidate, M.L.A 2011- Premier, Finance Minister

4.Porter Creek Centre, Michelle Kolla, Former Executive Director Council of Yukon First Nations (Recently Stepped Down),  Former Executive Director Skookum Jim Friendship Centre, Tool Franchise and Storage Company Co-Owner (Porter Creek Centre, Yukon Party Riding, David Laxton, left party and is not running for reelection)

5.Porter Creek North, Geraldine Van Bibber, Former Chancellor of Yukon College (Ceremonial Post, recently stepped down), Former Commissioner of Yukon (Equivalent of the Lieutenant Governor), Former Businesswoman, Order of Canada Member (Highest Rank) (Porter Creek North Yukon Party Riding - Doug Graham)

6.Porter Creek South, Mike Nixon, Former Businessman, Diploma (Hons)-Psychology, Former Yukon Party Treasurer and President, M.L.A 2011-, Health and Social Services Minister, Workers Compensation Health and Safety Board Minister

7.Riverdale North, Mark Beese, Home Hardware Store Manager - Tools and Hardware Section (Riverdale North Yukon Party Riding, Scott Kent)

8.Riverdale South, Danny MacDonald, Yukon Government Press Secretary, Former M.L.A Senior Adviser, Treasurer Whitehorse Men's Hockey League, B.A-, Public Relations Certificate, Former Yukon Party President

9.Takhini-Kopper King, Vanessa Innes, Yukon Government Department of Economic Development Regional Development Adviser, Former Champagne and Aishihik First Nation Manager of Economic Development, Former President and CEO Yukon Hospital Foundation, Former Aerobics Studio Owner, MBA

10.Whitehorse Centre, Doug Graham, Retired Yukon College Employee, Former Chair Habitat for Humanity Yukon, Whitehorse City Councillor 2000-2011 M.L.A Porter Creek West 1978-1982, M.L.A Porter Creek North 2011-2016, Education Minister

11.Whitehorse West, Elaine Taylor, Former Government Leader (Premier) John Ostashek Executive Assistant, B.A-Political Science, M.L.A 2002- Deputy Premier, Tourism and Culture Minister, Status of Women Minister (Longest consecutively serving minister in Yukon history)

Yukon Candidate I'd like to see
Riverdale, Archie Andrews, Riverdale High School Student, Boyfriend of Betty and/or Veronica.

[136or142]

My riding by riding prediction
Rural
1.Klondike, Sandy Silver, Liberal
2.Kluane, Wade Istchenko, Yukon Party
3.Lake Laberge, Brad Cathers,Yukon Party
4.Mayo-Tatchun, Jim Tredger, NDP
5.Mount Lorne-Southern Lakes, Kevin Barr, NDP
6.Pelly-Nisutlin, Stacey Hassard, Yukon Party
7.Vuntut Gwitchin, Pauline Frost, Liberal
8.Watson Lake, Erin Labonte, NDP

Whitehorse
1.Copperbelt North, Pat McInroy, Yukon Party (I predict a close two way race between YP and Liberals)
2.Copperbelt South, Lois Moorcroft, NDP
3.Mountainview, Darrell Pasloski, Yukon Party
4.Porter Creek Centre, Michelle Kolla, Yukon Party (I predict a similar close two way race)
5.Porter Creek North, Geraldine Van Bibber, Yukon Party
6.Porter Creek South, Ranj Pillai, Liberal
7.Riverdale North, Nils Clarke, Liberal
8.Riversale South, Tracy McPhee, Liberal (Liberal gain over NDP)
9.Takhini-Kopper King, Kate White, NDP
10.Whitehorse Centre, Liz Hanson, NDP
11.Whitehorse West, Elaine Taylor, Yukon Party

Totals
Yukon Party: 8
NDP: 6
Liberal: 5

http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/north/yukon-minority-government-election-2016-1.3834093

In this scenario, I predict a Yukon Party/Liberal coalition with the NDP as the official opposition.  Of course, the YP and the Liberals would have to work through their disagreement with the carbon tax to make this happen, but the Federal Liberals have kind of already made a territorial carbon tax a fait accompli.  So, it's more just a matter of the Yukon Party finding a way to save face over this.

Cabinet Prediction
1.Premier/Intergovernmental Affairs, Darrell Pasloski
2.Finance/Deputy Premier, Sandy Silver
3.Economic Development and Trade, Ranj Pillai
4.Tourism and Culture, Geraldine Van Bibber
5.Energy, Mines and Resources/Environment, Stacey Hassard
6.Highways and Public Works, Elaine Taylor
7.Education and Advanced Education, Tracy McPhee
8.Health and Social Services, Michelle Kolla
9Municipal Affairs/Public Service Commission, Wade Istchenko
10.Justice/Labour, Nils Clarke

Speaker, Brad Cathers

[Hatman 🍁]

These things are hard to predict due to bad/hard to do polling, but I will go out on a limb and predict a Liberal majority.

Keeping in mind I haven't done that much research, here are some predictions:

Klondike: Liberal
Kluane: Liberal
Lake Laberge: YP
Mayo-Tatchun: NDP
Mount Lorne-Southern Lakes: NDP
Pelly-Nisultin: YP
Vuntut Gwitchin: Liberal
Watson Lake: YP
Copperbelt North: Liberal
Copperbelt South: NDP
Moutainview: YP
Porter Creek Centre: Liberal
Porter Creek North: Liberal
Porter Creek South: Liberal
Riverdale North: Liberal
Riverdale South: NDP
Takhini-Kopper King: NDP
Whitehorse Centre: NDP
Whitehorse West: YP

I know that doesn't come out to a majority, so

[136or142]

These things are hard to predict due to bad/hard to do polling, but I will go out on a limb and predict a Liberal majority.

Keeping in mind I haven't done that much research, here are some predictions:

Klondike: Liberal
Kluane: Liberal
Lake Laberge: YP
Mayo-Tatchun: NDP
Mount Lorne-Southern Lakes: NDP
Pelly-Nisultin: YP
Vuntut Gwitchin: Liberal
Watson Lake: YP
Copperbelt North: Liberal
Copperbelt South: NDP
Moutainview: YP
Porter Creek Centre: Liberal
Porter Creek North: Liberal
Porter Creek South: Liberal
Riverdale North: Liberal
Riverdale South: NDP
Takhini-Kopper King: NDP
Whitehorse Centre: NDP
Whitehorse West: YP

I know that doesn't come out to a majority, so

The polling isn't great in the rural areas due to the potential quirks in a number of ridings, though the most popular party in most of the rural ridings has been quite clear for the past several elections.  In general, outside of Sandy Silver's riding and in Vuntut Gwitchin, the Liberals are likely a fairly distant third in most of the remaining rural ridings.

In Whitehorse, the indication from that one poll is that the Liberals are in first place, but fairly narrowly.

[adma]

That'd be interesting; an election where *no* party gets double-digit seat numbers.

[Hatman 🍁]

Of course, we could end up with a map like this:

[136or142]

How to get the latest Yukon election results from CBC North
Live broadcast begins at 8 p.m. Monday on TV, radio and web

http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/north/yukon-election-coverage-cbc-north-1.3838069

[136or142]

First polls reporting, 2 Yukon Party, but one is in Whitehorse West.

[Boston Bread]

3 way tie right now.

[136or142]

2 NDP 1 Liberal 1 Yukon

Riverdale South NDP incumbent Jan Stick has just a two vote lead, but to the Yukon Party and not to the Liberal who I predicted would win.

[136or142]

Looks like it could be a Liberal majority.

[136or142]

Tied up now at 5 each between Liberal Party and Yukon Party, NDP trailing with 2, but only one poll with NDP leader Liz Hanson who is trailing.

[136or142]

Calling ridings
Sandy Silver, Klondike
Nils Clarke,  Riverdale North

[136or142]

In Mayo-Tatchun Liberal Don Hutton defeated NDP incumbent Jim Tredger with all polls reporting.

[136or142]

In Copperbelt South Yukon MLA for a different riding Scott Kent defeated NDP incumbent Lois Moorcroft with all polls reporting.

[Hatman 🍁]

Well, that's 2 NDP incumbents down...

Not expecting this at all. Damn.

[Hatman 🍁]

Make that 3 NDP MLAs defeated. Kevin Barr loses in Mount Lorne-Southern Lakes

[136or142]

Make that 3 NDP MLAs defeated. Kevin Barr loses in Mount Lorne-Southern Lakes

That's somewhat of a surprise.  John Streiker is the popular 2011 federal Green Party nominee.

I'd like to be the first to say that I think this election has been stolen with electoral fraud!!!!

[136or142]

Liz Hanson has moved into the lead though.

[Hatman 🍁]

And a 4th NDP MLA has gone down in defeat, Riverdale South MLA Jan Stick has lost to Liberal Tracy McPhee.

[Hatman 🍁]

The Premier has lost his seat in Mountainview to the Liberal candidate, Jeanie Dendys. He actually finished in 3rd place.

Despite losing almost all of their seats, the NDP is doing well in the popular vote at 28%.

[Hatman 🍁]

The NDP has retained Takhini-Kopper King. Has the bloodletting ended?

[136or142]

Liberal Nils Clarke wins in Riverdale North.

Some fairly strong new Liberal MLAs for a government.