PPP: Clinton up in CO, FL, NC, PA, VA. (user search)
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  PPP: Clinton up in CO, FL, NC, PA, VA. (search mode)
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Author Topic: PPP: Clinton up in CO, FL, NC, PA, VA.  (Read 6505 times)
Gustaf
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Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

« on: September 29, 2016, 06:30:49 AM »

This is strong. In a 5 poll sample a couple are going to err on the Trump-friendly side so Clinton being ahead in all 5 looks pretty solid!

Looks like we might be headed back to Clinton ahead by mid-single digits again.
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Gustaf
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,778


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

« Reply #1 on: September 29, 2016, 06:35:56 AM »

This is strong. In a 5 poll sample a couple are going to err on the Trump-friendly side so Clinton being ahead in all 5 looks pretty solid!

Looks like we might be headed back to Clinton ahead by mid-single digits again.

Lovely. PA and VA are a little weaker than I'd like, but leads are leads Smiley

I mean this is roughly in line with PPP's national poll I'd say. If we take that as gospel this gives the states as:

Pennsylvania, Virginia, Colorado: D +2
North Carolina, FLorida :             R +2

I'd expect PA and VA to be more D than that and NC to be more R than that but it's all MoE stuff.
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Gustaf
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,778


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

« Reply #2 on: September 29, 2016, 06:42:24 AM »

Yeah, they kind of blew 2014 but I think most pollsters were to Dem-friendly that year.

PPP is decent, I wouldn't think they're crazy off most of the time.
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Gustaf
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,778


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

« Reply #3 on: September 29, 2016, 07:05:30 AM »

This is strong. In a 5 poll sample a couple are going to err on the Trump-friendly side so Clinton being ahead in all 5 looks pretty solid!

Looks like we might be headed back to Clinton ahead by mid-single digits again.

very 'TRUMP friendly'

PPP Polls 9/27-28 sampling
FL: DEM 45% | REP 37% | IND 18%
NC: DEM 41% | REP 32% | IND 27%

Hush, troll.

Seriously?, you got 2012 totally wrong by insisting that we don't trust PPP and that we should unskew polls based on party ID. Maybe you could explain to StatesPoll how this works if you learnt from your mistakes?
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