Rasmussen Daily Tracking Poll Thread 11/7 - Clinton + 2

[Terry the Fat Shark]

https://twitter.com/Rasmussen_Poll/status/781474646428377089

Clinton - 42
Trump - 41
Johnson - 7
Stein - 2

[Terry the Fat Shark]

NOTE: starting today, Rasmussen's presidential poll will become a DAILY tracking poll (Monday - Friday)

[Seriously?]

It's now turning into a daily tracker on Mondays-Fridays.

Here's an account for the other 8%.

Other 3
Undecided 5

1500 LV; September 26-28; MOE +/- 2.5%

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2016/white_house_watch_sep29

[Fusionmunster]

OH GOD! Rasmussen daily tracking poll

[Terry the Fat Shark]

FWIW I think this is one of the first 3 day rolling averages, better to sample before and after for the debates.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

OH GOD! Rasmussen daily tracking poll

Just shoot us now

[BlueSwan]

Clinton +1 in a Rasmussen poll? I'll take it.

[Gass3268]

May God have mercy on our souls!

[Wiz in Wis]

[ApatheticAustrian]

i can't understand why trump must go FULL-DONALD again and again for at least a little bit of poll-adjusting.

if he comes out of the next debate as just uninformed, erratic and mean instead of batsh**t-crazy, i am pretty sure there will be a "trump comeback" narrative.

[BlueSwan]

So the methodology of this is a bit different, but Rasmussen's last pre-debate poll was Trump +5 (!) so this looks like a substantial debate bounce for Clinton.

Another debate performance like that and Trump is toast.

I agree, but the town hall plays to his strengths and her biggest weakness (elitism).  I think he can fight that one to a draw.  I'm expecting another Clinton massacre in the last debate though, because it's all foreign policy.

90 minutes on foreign policy is gonna be brutal for Trump.

[Lief 🗽]

So the methodology of this is a bit different, but Rasmussen's last pre-debate poll was Trump +5 (!) so this looks like a substantial debate bounce for Clinton.

Another debate performance like that and Trump is toast.

I agree, but the town hall plays to his strengths and her biggest weakness (elitism).  I think he can fight that one to a draw.  I'm expecting another Clinton massacre in the last debate though, because it's all foreign policy.

Nah, Trump has basically no experience interacting with normal people. In the primary town halls (which were one candidate at a time, so different format) he was very awkward, and didn't do a good job of connecting with the individual questioners. Clinton, for all her faults, has experience doing smaller campaign events (you see her do a lot of round tables and listening events with small groups). The town hall is a format as well where preparation is exceptionally important; you need to control your body language to a greater extent than standing at a podium.

[Lyin' Steve]

So the methodology of this is a bit different, but Rasmussen's last pre-debate poll was Trump +5 (!) so this looks like a substantial debate bounce for Clinton.

Another debate performance like that and Trump is toast.

I agree, but the town hall plays to his strengths and her biggest weakness (elitism).  I think he can fight that one to a draw.  I'm expecting another Clinton massacre in the last debate though, because it's all foreign policy.

Nah, Trump has basically no experience interacting with normal people. In the primary town halls (which were one candidate at a time, so different format) he was very awkward, and didn't do a good job of connecting with the individual questioners. Clinton, for all her faults, has experience doing smaller campaign events (you see her do a lot of round tables and listening events with small groups). The town hall is a format as well where preparation is exceptionally important; you need to control your body language to a greater extent than standing at a podium.

Bill was the king of town halls, also.  If Hillary has Bill helping her, she'll have an even bigger advantage.

[Seriously?]

Rasmussen Reports 9/27-9/29 (4-way) Clinton +1
Clinton 43% (+1)
Trump 42% (+1)
Johnson 6% (-1)
Stein 2% (--)
Other 2% (-1)
Undecided 6% (+1)

1,500 LV; September 27-29, 2016; MOE +/- 2.5%

Source: http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2016/white_house_watch_sep30

[ApatheticAustrian]

polls are having an aleppo moment and it's contagious for the non-vaxxed stein.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

the lack of the rasmussen love makes me sad

[Seriously?]

Rasmussen Reports 9/28-9/29, 10/2 (4-way) Clinton +1
Clinton 43% (+1)
Trump 40% (-2)
Johnson 8% (+2)
Stein 2% (--)
Other 2% (-1)
Undecided 5% (-1)

1,500 LV; September 28-29, October 2, 2016; MOE +/- 2.5%

Yes, they actually interrupted the survey for the weekend and didn't poll. Oh non-Rassy Rassy.

Source: http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2016/white_house_watch_oct03

[Terry the Fat Shark]

10/4:
Clinton - 42 (-1)
Trump - 41 (+1)
Johnson - 9 (+1)
Stein - 2 (+/-)
Other - 2 (+/-)
Undecided - 4 (-1)

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

It tickles me that Rasmussen will, once again, after everything that happened in 2012, be the hill right-wingers die on as the nation clearly goes blue. 

[ApatheticAustrian]

nah.....Rassy has its rassy bias but i can't compete with the likes of the LA or the other tracker.

not even naming the google mass survey.

[Seriously?]

Rasmussen Reports 10/2-4 (4-way) Trump +1
Trump 42% (+1)
Clinton 41% (-1)
Johnson 8% (-1)
Stein 2% (--)
Other 2% (--)
Undecided 3% (-1)

1,500 LV; October 2-4, 2016; MOE +/- 2.5%

[BlueSwan]

Rasmussen Reports 10/2-4 (4-way) Trump +1
Trump 42% (+1)
Clinton 41% (-1)
Johnson 8% (-1)
Stein 2% (--)
Other 2% (--)
Undecided 3% (-1)

1,500 LV; October 2-4, 2016; MOE +/- 2.5%

Trump +1??? OK, then.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

The Republican Ministry Of Public Opinion Truth puts out yet another laugher!

[ApatheticAustrian]

+1 is a lackluster trump result for a tracker.

[Gass3268]

Best thing about Rassy going to a daily tracker is it dimenishes it's impact on most projection models.