Nate Silver was the star of 2012, but Rasmussen was the star of 2008. They called the race the closest, and even called the iffiest Obama states, particularly NC.
I have a tough time believing Trump's ahead at this point, but I doubt Clinton's ahead as much as some thing. I remember in 1996 how everyone was predicting a double-digit Clinton win. It was a disappointment that Bill only won with 49% of the vote when polling showed a bigger lead over and over again.
Dole was not the one-man Dem turnout machine that Trump will be... sorry.
