NV-RGJ: Clinton +1 (user search)
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  NV-RGJ: Clinton +1 (search mode)
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Author Topic: NV-RGJ: Clinton +1  (Read 4522 times)
Bacon King
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Posts: 18,830
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.63, S: -9.49

« on: October 01, 2016, 03:58:25 PM »

Comparison between poll demographics and the 2012 exit poll

Poll     2012
65+ years old:    29%18%
<50 years old:43%54%
women:51%53%
whites:70%64%
hispanics:16%19%

so either this pollster is somehow detecting huge shifts in turnout that fly in the face of conventional wisdom, or they oversampled pro-Trump demographics in every way possible

if you're still not convinced that this is a Bad Poll, note that according to the crosstabs, 41% of respondents had graduate degrees
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