NV-RGJ: Clinton +1

[NOVA Green]

So what do people know about this outfits record?

I can buy NV being a virtual tossup, but it does seem to defy trending in the national poll numbers as well as the B+ Suffolk poll.

Nevada is a tough state to poll, and I guess we'll need to see more if this is an outlier or if Suffolk was the outlier.

[NOVA Green]

Jon Ralston tweeted that this poll probably overestimates GOP numbers and underestimates Latino turnout

So realistically maybe more like a C+3 or C+4, essentially splitting the difference between this poll and the Suffolk poll?

[NOVA Green]

If this is the best Sheldon can up with, then it's time to move NV back to Lean Dem.

Love it Lief!!! We frequently don't see eye to eye from the primaries on and different personality styles and architypes, but this is class gold dry humor to be quoted after the GE when Clinton wins the state +6-12....