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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  NM-Albuquerque Journal: Clinton 35 / Trump 31 / Johnson 24 (search mode)
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Author Topic: NM-Albuquerque Journal: Clinton 35 / Trump 31 / Johnson 24  (Read 4166 times)
heatcharger
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Posts: 4,278
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Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -0.24

« on: October 02, 2016, 11:47:09 am »

If Johnson wins here and gets enough to prevent either Trump or Clinton from getting 270 electoral votes, I legitimately wonder what the congressional delegations will do.

There are more states with Republican majorities in the House. They'll pick Trump even if he loses the popular vote by 5%.
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heatcharger
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,278
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -0.24

« Reply #1 on: October 02, 2016, 08:42:15 pm »

Nate Silver is literally a paid GOP operative so this is hardly surprising. NM is safe D and I invite Trump/Johnson to waste all the money they want there.

I know things are a bit different in Hackland, but he's pretty clearly a liberal Democrat.

Uh no, in 2012 he said "I'd say I am somewhere in-between being a libertarian and a liberal. So if I were to vote it would be kind of a Gary Johnson versus Mitt Romney decision, I suppose." Doesn't sound like a Democrat to me.

Regardless, his model is too volatile because he's committed to adding every single poll even if they are junk tracking polls with supposedly large sample sizes like USC/LA Times or Reuters. It exaggerates the amount of fluctuation in the race.
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