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November 11, 2019, 05:22:15 pm
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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  NM-Albuquerque Journal: Clinton 35 / Trump 31 / Johnson 24 (search mode)
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Author Topic: NM-Albuquerque Journal: Clinton 35 / Trump 31 / Johnson 24  (Read 4065 times)
ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
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« on: October 02, 2016, 05:56:47 am »

as was explained this week once again, debates like the first one of 2016 or the first one of 2012 make supporters of the losing candidate less likely to participate in surveys for some days....which results into making a poll-winning-margin even bigger.

this is very much the "real" world - it's just not some kind of final truth at the moment and could still change.
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ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
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Posts: 6,614
Austria


« Reply #1 on: October 03, 2016, 09:54:53 am »

silver isn't reassuring anyone.

i am pretty sure most people in the political data journalism scene are against trump on a personal basis but i haven't seen a single proof that silver is helping anyone...just testing his own assumptions about data.

and i am happier with a trump candidacy looking stronger than it really is than one being stronger than it seems.
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