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January 29, 2020, 10:16:56 am
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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  NM-Albuquerque Journal: Clinton 35 / Trump 31 / Johnson 24 (search mode)
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Author Topic: NM-Albuquerque Journal: Clinton 35 / Trump 31 / Johnson 24  (Read 4198 times)
NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
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« on: October 02, 2016, 03:04:10 pm »

New Mexico is not nearly as solidly a Democratic state as some on the forum would believe.

However, I still envision Clinton winning by 8-10 points depending upon the final 3rd party numbers.
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NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
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Posts: 5,358
United States


« Reply #1 on: October 02, 2016, 09:47:59 pm »

It's probably not even an issue of party. You have to remember that Silver works for a media outlet and the media needs a horse race when it comes to presidential elections. He's only doing what he needs to do for his employer to stay relevant.

My take on Nate S and 538 is that he started as this political geek in '08, made a big name for himself, shifted and got a raise and hired onto the NYT in time for the '12 election, and then got his dream job working for ESPN in time for '16 and focusing on sport statistics, which is his first geek love, and now has a decent job with people working for him, and doesn't pay as much attention to politics as he used to, since its only one of his business service lines, and the new bosses are a bit more interested in his sports stats than election stats.
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