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Author Topic: Monmouth: Clinton +11 in CO  (Read 5326 times)
JA
Jacobin American
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« on: October 03, 2016, 12:25:27 pm »

As I've been arguing on this forum, watch for the enormous education gap come election day. Any state with a highly educated and/or high minority population will show a very strong performance for Clinton. Colorado is one of the most educated states in the nation, up there with Virginia, Maryland, Massachusetts, and Vermont (among others). Trump can kiss this state goodbye. Watch for new polls showing a strong Clinton performance in North Carolina and Georgia as well. Trump has even further alienated the White, College educated population and the defections will be serious.
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JA
Jacobin American
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« Reply #1 on: October 03, 2016, 12:38:04 pm »

As I've been arguing on this forum, watch for the enormous education gap come election day. Any state with a highly educated and/or high minority population will show a very strong performance for Clinton. Colorado is one of the most educated states in the nation, up there with Virginia, Maryland, Massachusetts, and Vermont (among others). Trump can kiss this state goodbye. Watch for new polls showing a strong Clinton performance in North Carolina and Georgia as well. Trump has even further alienated the White, College educated population and the defections will be serious.

There will also be a massive urban/rural divide, much like we saw it in the Austrian Presidential runoff ...

While that's true, it's also problematic to phrase it in those terms. Undeniably the overwhelming majority of rural areas across America have a very White, uneducated population. However, there are rural areas with high numbers of minorities (Hispanics in Texas and New Mexico, African Americans in the Southeast) and even some with high numbers of college educated Whites (Vermont, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, parts of Upstate New York). So in those rural areas, it will be Democratic. Conversely, we could see blue collar urban areas swinging hard for Trump, such as Scranton/Wilkes-Barre, Green Bay, and Grand Rapids. Characterizing it as an urban/rural divide simply isn't accurate as it portrays the conflict as one of urbanity, rather than more accurately as one of educational attainment and minority population.
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