Quinnipiac: Clinton leads FL, PA, NC, Trump leads OH

[dspNY]

This is pre-LeBron endorsement ftr

Not many athlete endorsements matter but LeBron's does for OH

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

It's still blurry, but I see the following map coming into focus:

Clinton 322
Trump 216

[ApatheticAustrian]

OH is gone and i would be more than pleased if PA holds against pull of OH and the general grief of the coal empire.

seems as good as it could get right now.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Ohio is not gone.  This sample is too white, he's doing WAY better with colleged-whites than he's doing in any other poll, and the guy still doesn't have a ground game or GOTV effort.  Even having said that, Hillary doesn't need it.  I'll take the glorious, diverse trifecta of NC, FL, and CO thank you very much over the crumbling WCW empires.

[mark_twain]

I'll take those results.

OH looks a little disappointing, but who knows...the polls next week might be different.

[Gass3268]

This set of polling explains why it appears Clinton has gone to a more left-wing populist tone on the campaign trial today in Ohio.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

This set of polling explains why it appears Clinton has gone to a more left-wing populist tone on the campaign trial today in Ohio.

Is that even going to help at all considering how ravenously Ohioans are gobbling up Donald's toxic rot?

[ursulahx]

I'll take those results.

OH looks a little disappointing, but who knows...the polls next week might be different.

Yep. Still Wikileaks to come.

[JA]

As I've been saying on this board over and over again, this election is the culmination of years of gradual Republican loss of minority and college-educated White voters. Of all the current RCP swing states, I'll go on record as saying that from largest to smallest Clinton support, the order will be:

Minnesota
Colorado
Michigan
Maine
Florida
Pennsylvania
Wisconsin
North Carolina
Nevada
Georgia
Arizona
Ohio
Iowa

[Tender Branson]

I'd keep an eye on PA.

It looks like Trump could score a surprise win there, but of course he'll also need to win FL and NC to overcome the Hillary wins in CO and VA ...

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

I'd keep an eye on PA.

It looks like Trump could score a surprise win there, but of course he'll also need to win FL and NC to overcome the Hillary wins in CO and VA ...

The transformation continues unabated...



Tender, can you kindly elaborate on the weird happenings going down in PA that will deliver Keystone to the Donald?

[Wiz in Wis]

One thing to keep in mind with these polls and pretty much everything out today: They were conducted either entirely or mostly before Trump's tax story broke. Only the debate/Machado are baked into these numbers.

[The Ex-Factor]

Well people have been predicting for years that the Midwest would trend R and the Sun Belt would trend D. This election may be the first time that you see states like North Carolina and Florida be more Democratic than states like Ohio, Iowa, and Pennsylvania, which will continue into the foreseeable future.

[mark_twain]

I'll take those results.

OH looks a little disappointing, but who knows...the polls next week might be different.

Yep. Still Wikileaks to come.

I'm willing to bet that the release of Trump's tax return will have a bigger effect on the polls than Wikileaks.

[Yank2133]

I'd keep an eye on PA.

It looks like Trump could score a surprise win there, but of course he'll also need to win FL and NC to overcome the Hillary wins in CO and VA ...

Lmao.

Based on what evidence? Trump has led in just 2 polls since last year. He may increase margins in rural areas of PA, but he is going to get blown out even worse then Romney did in the suburbs and cities.

It's just not happening.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

I'd keep an eye on PA.

It looks like Trump could score a surprise win there, but of course he'll also need to win FL and NC to overcome the Hillary wins in CO and VA ...

Lmao.

Based on what evidence? Trump has led in just 2 polls since last year. He may increase margins in rural areas of PA, but he is going to get blown out even worse then Romney did in the suburbs and cities.

It's just not happening.

Muh Loozerne Countuh...

[PresidentSamTilden]

I think it's probably safe to say FL and NC are too left and that PA and OH are probably on the right side. But these are strong numbers for Clinton with 5 weeks to go, barring Ohio. Ohio's days as a bellweather may have passed them by.

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

We need PPP polls of WI, MN & MI.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

No Senate #s?

[Maxwell]

what's going on with the people of Ohio?!

[Maxwell]

Sherrod Brown must be feeling pretty nervous right now watching all of this unfolding.

If Sherrod Brown loses in 2018 than Ohio Democrats might just be dead forever.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Sherrod Brown must be feeling pretty nervous right now watching all of this unfolding.

So must do Thom Tillis and Cory Gardner.

[Badger]

Florida Party ID: 33D/30R/32I
Florida Demographics: 63W/15B/16H/6 other

Pennsylvania Party ID: 38D/31R/27I
Pennsylvania Demographics: 77W/12B/5H/7 other

Ohio Party ID: 33D/31R/30I
Ohio Demographics: 84W/11B/1H/3 other

North Carolina Party ID: 33D/28R/33I
North Carolina Party ID: 65W/21B/5H/9 other

All these numbers look OK except for Ohio's demographics. The electorate in Ohio will be 79-80% white, not 84% white

What makes you say that? I canKt recall 2012's turnout numbers offhand, but theses sound about right.

[NOVA Green]

We need PPP polls of WI, MN & MI.

Why those states in particular?

Is there a concern that the Upper Midwest might not have had the same post debate bounce, that apparently we are seeing in statewide polls in the SW and SE?

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

OH was 80% white in 2012.

I don't see any reason why WI, MN and MI are that much of a concern, the OH dynamics and to a lesser extent, PA aren't likely to be repeated there.