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Author Topic: NBC/SurveyMonkey National Poll: Clinton +6  (Read 959 times)
amdcpus
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« on: October 04, 2016, 05:35:29 am »

http://www.nbcnews.com/storyline/data-points/poll-hillary-clinton-holds-national-lead-over-donald-trump-n658721

Clinton 46
Trump 40
Johnson 9
Stein 3

Clinton 50
Trump 44
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Gustaf
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« Reply #1 on: October 04, 2016, 05:49:39 am »

Well well. It's coming together.
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mark_twain
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« Reply #2 on: October 04, 2016, 06:19:21 am »


Great poll!

Go Clinton!
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HokeyDood
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« Reply #3 on: October 04, 2016, 06:25:56 am »



That's fatal, Donald.  Buh bye.
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HokeyDood
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« Reply #4 on: October 04, 2016, 06:29:05 am »



WOW!  Would not have guessed the gap would be this large. 
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dspNY
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« Reply #5 on: October 04, 2016, 06:41:01 am »

The crosstabs of married and unmarried men and women suggest a much larger lead than 6 points. Clinton is winning married women by 8, unmarried women by 49! and unmarried men by 23! In the 2012 exit poll, Romney won men by 7 and lost women by 11 to lose the election by 4 points. If Trump wins men by 9 and loses women by 18 he will lose by 9-10 points
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HokeyDood
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« Reply #6 on: October 04, 2016, 06:46:36 am »

Not to toot the ol' horn, folks, but this mid-single digits lead, combined with Trump's complete lack of ground game and GOTV effort, and 3rd party candidates that are only going to continue to bleed support as Election Day draws near... my 52-43 Clinton prediction is looking MIGHTY good right now.  Which would probably give us this map;



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Gustaf
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« Reply #7 on: October 04, 2016, 07:05:52 am »

The crosstabs of married and unmarried men and women suggest a much larger lead than 6 points. Clinton is winning married women by 8, unmarried women by 49! and unmarried men by 23! In the 2012 exit poll, Romney won men by 7 and lost women by 11 to lose the election by 4 points. If Trump wins men by 9 and loses women by 18 he will lose by 9-10 points

No, with the same gender turnout as last time this implies a Clinton lead of about 5.3%.
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sjkqw
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« Reply #8 on: October 04, 2016, 07:14:34 am »

Well,we tried our best folks, but we knew America just wasn't ready to be made great again. Truly a sad (not 'Sad!'), sad day even though we all saw it coming. RIP to a land that I loved. Cry Cry Cry
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BlueSwan
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« Reply #9 on: October 04, 2016, 07:20:11 am »

Freedom poll!
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dspNY
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« Reply #10 on: October 04, 2016, 07:45:23 am »

The crosstabs of married and unmarried men and women suggest a much larger lead than 6 points. Clinton is winning married women by 8, unmarried women by 49! and unmarried men by 23! In the 2012 exit poll, Romney won men by 7 and lost women by 11 to lose the election by 4 points. If Trump wins men by 9 and loses women by 18 he will lose by 9-10 points

No, with the same gender turnout as last time this implies a Clinton lead of about 5.3%.

You're right! I was overestimating the # of women in the poll
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Seriously?
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« Reply #11 on: October 04, 2016, 08:45:08 am »

Well well. It's coming together.
If by "coming together" you mean no change in this poll except around the fringes, you're right.

Last poll was +5 (4-way), +7 (2-way). This poll was +6/+6.
« Last Edit: October 04, 2016, 09:33:55 am by Seriously? »Logged
Gustaf
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« Reply #12 on: October 04, 2016, 08:54:59 am »

Well well. It's coming together.
If by "coming together" you mean no change in this poll except around the fringes, you're right.

Las poll was +5 (4-way), +7 (2-way). This poll was +6/+6.

By "coming together" I mean the opposite of your 2014 predictions who aren't even coming forward.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #13 on: October 04, 2016, 01:03:26 pm »

Nice.
A comfortable lead.
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