PA-Monmouth: Clinton +10 and at 50

[dspNY]

Reposted without that crazy post in the other thread

Clinton 50
Trump 40
Johnson 5
Stein 2

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_PA_100416/

[MasterJedi]

BOOM!

[Doimper]

Wow, Republicans are getting whipped like TN Volunteer by an angry New Hampshire woman.

[dspNY]

Keep it civil in this thread, folks

Angry Pennsylvania suburban women are proving to be Trump's demise here. His approval rating with women is an astonishingly poor 22/68! His overall approval rating is 27/60.

OTOH, Clinton's approval rating in PA is a mediocre 41/48, but that is downright legendary compared to a 27% approval

[mark_twain]

Great results everywhere!

Let's keep it coming!

Don't give Trump any place to hide!

[Wiz in Wis]

[rafta_rafta]

I don't get how McGinty went down by 4 while Clinton gained 2. Was there some state level scandal which impacted the Senate race?

[Dr. Arch]

Wow, Republicans are getting whipped like TN Volunteer by an angry New Hampshire woman.

Best...analogy...ever

[ApatheticAustrian]

i got a feeling that rep senate is here to stay.

[Landslide Lyndon]

I don't get how McGinty went down by 4 while Clinton gained 2. Was there some state level scandal which impacted the Senate race?

Every other pollster has McGinty steady or slightly gaining. Probably just an outlier.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

i got a feeling that rep senate is here to stay.

Yeah, if Toomey survives, so does Blunt. Then Dems have to sweep IL/WI/NH/NV/NC/IN to get to a real majority, barring LA sheniagans.

[ProudModerate2]

Everybody dance.
Very, very nice numbers !

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

WHADDYA SAY, MR. JOSE!!!

Nice numbers!

[Xing]

Dominating!

[mark_twain]

Wow, Republicans are getting whipped like TN Volunteer by an angry New Hampshire woman.

LMAO

I don't care about the presidential election anymore (it's clear that Trump is going to lose in a landslide). All about the Senate now.

I agree about the general election, but state results are still important, especially for the ones that flip this year.

Eager to see the next GA poll, as I think there is now a realistic chance for Clinton to win this state.

[elcorazon]

What about Arizona? Iowa?

[Person Man]

Time for Hillary to start running down the clock?

[RJEvans]

Time for Hillary to start running down the clock?

No. They saw what that did in August/September. Trump came back. Keep on the offensive. Keep voters energized. The campaign knows how to do this. They did it in the NY primary.

[dspNY]

The last three polls of PA have shown Clinton +10, +9 and +4. Average those out and we get a Clinton lead of almost 8. I've got to think Ohio is at worst Trump +1 or +2. OH has only voted 10 or more points to the right of PA twice since 1932 (in 1956 and 1984). On average it is 5 to 6 points right of PA in that same timespan. I've got to think Ohio is deadlocked right now despite what Quinnipiac says. I believe other pollsters will show a margin of error race one way or the other in OH

[BlueSwan]

Wow, Republicans are getting whipped like TN Volunteer by an angry New Hampshire woman.

[NOVA Green]

I don't think it's been mentioned yet, but it looks like Clinton's biggest regional improvement has been taking the lead in Western PA from their last survey:

Clinton continues to do very well in the southeastern corner of the state.  She leads Trump by a 62% to 30% margin in the seven congressional districts that encompass the city of Philadelphia and its adjacent suburbs, similar to her 62% to 29% lead here in August.  Trump continues to hold a lead in the northeastern and central part of the state (55% to 38%), although it is slightly less than his 58% to 28% lead in this region in Monmouth's last poll.  Clinton has also made gains in the western portion of the state.  She now has a very narrow lead of 45% to 42% in western Pennsylvania, reversing Trump's 47% to 40% lead here just over a month ago.

I would imagine that would be a good sign in similar regions, for example parts of NE and SE OH.

[TC 25]

No way Pennsylvania is double digits.  Clinton +5 at best.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

Well....I guessed the Senate numbers right ( tie) but undercut the Presidential numbers by 5 ( i predicted Clinton + 5, which you would think would be the case given the senate race?) 50/50 I guess

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

No way Pennsylvania is double digits.  Clinton +5 at best.

Elaborate, prude.

[GeorgiaModerate]

No way Pennsylvania is double digits.  Clinton +5 at best.

The polls think otherwise.   Do you have some basis for that statement, or is it just a feeling?