Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
August 16, 2018, 10:59:02 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Be sure to enable your "Ultimate Profile" for even more goodies on your profile page!

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  Election Archive
| | |-+  All Archived Boards
| | | |-+  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
| | | | |-+  TN-MTSU: Trump+12
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: TN-MTSU: Trump+12  (Read 2134 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 46,401
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -6.09

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 04, 2016, 01:16:35 pm »

Middle Tennessee State University:

50% Trump
38% Clinton
  5% Johnson
  1% Stein

http://mtsupoll.org/2016/10/04/f2016pres
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 15,312
United States


P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 04, 2016, 01:18:52 pm »

TN polls almost always underestimate Republican strength in the state. But we're talking about Trump here, so who knows.
Logged

xīngkěruž
xingkerui
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 12,320
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.63, S: -6.13

P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 04, 2016, 01:21:36 pm »

Typical safe state poll underestimating the eventual margin of victory.
Logged



I think Saccone has this. Remaining precincts in Allegheny are only slightly pro-Lamb.
Lincoln Assemblyman Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,718
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P P

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 04, 2016, 01:23:47 pm »

Safe R, but nice to get a poll confirming it.
Logged

Justice Kavanaugh Confirmation Vote Tracker: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/167X7SqG_m85IjJ_zI4m7IbD2EUdCcnTa37d-lB8xgk8
----
#FreeGreedoToday
#SherrodBrown2020
https://tengaged.com/user/JasonEldridge

'18 Gov. Ratings: https://tinyurl.com/h35xfkr (6/28: AZ: Strong Lean R ---> Lean R, NM: Lean D ---> Strong Lean D)
'18 Senate Ratings: http://tinyurl.com/yb7sxe9a (6/20: WV: Toss-Up ---> Lean D)
'18 House Rating: Lean D (3/14: Toss-Up ---> Lean D)
F_S_USATN
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 307


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 04, 2016, 01:26:08 pm »

TN polls almost always underestimate Republican strength in the state. But we're talking about Trump here, so who knows.

Got a bet for Trump < 17.5% margin made this May. Feeling pretty good
Logged
Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,136
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.32, S: -6.87

P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 04, 2016, 01:30:38 pm »

Angry Tennessee men will ensure a Trump victory. Safe R. Smiley
Logged

Stirring Wolf🥣🐺
Xiivi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,215
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 04, 2016, 01:32:59 pm »

Typical safe state poll underestimating the eventual margin of victory.

If you fill in the undecideds breaking for Trump it'd be T+18.  The reality is probably somewhere between that and this result.
Logged

MT Treasurer
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 15,312
United States


P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 04, 2016, 01:34:39 pm »

TN polls almost always underestimate Republican strength in the state. But we're talking about Trump here, so who knows.

Got a bet for Trump < 17.5% margin made this May. Feeling pretty good

Maybe. A generic Republican running against Clinton would have cracked 60% without breaking a sweat.
« Last Edit: October 04, 2016, 01:38:53 pm by TN Volunteer »Logged

Gass3268
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 16,391
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 04, 2016, 01:40:33 pm »

TN polls almost always underestimate Republican strength in the state. But we're talking about Trump here, so who knows.

Got a bet for Trump < 17.5% margin made this May. Feeling pretty good

Maybe. A generic Republican running against Clinton would have cracked 60% without breaking a sweat.

I know at least 4 Romney voters in Tennessee that are probably voting for Clinton.
Logged

Endorsements
Florida-Governor: Gwen Graham
Illinois-Governor: Not Scum Rauner
Maryland-Governor: Ben Jealous
Michigan-Governor: Gretchen Whitmer
Minnesota-Governor: Tim Walz
Ohio-Governor: Richard Cordray
Wisconsin-Governor: Tony Evers
pbrower2a
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,136
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 04, 2016, 01:48:38 pm »

Weak margin for Donald Trump.
Logged



Your political compass

Economic Left/Right: -7.00
Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: -5.49
ReapSow
Rafe
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 621
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 04, 2016, 01:50:46 pm »

I can see the tweet now: "Thanks, Tennessee! We are surging! The movement is real! Real Americans reject Crooked Hillary! Sad! #MAGA"
Logged

Openly gay member of the United States Air Force.
HokeyDood
HockeyDude
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,584
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 04, 2016, 02:20:31 pm »

I can see the tweet now: "Thanks, Tennessee! We are surging! The movement is real! Real Americans reject Crooked Hillary! Sad! #MAGA"


@RealDonaldTrump

Home State of favorite son Al Gore rejects #CrookedHillary.  FORMER COLLEAGUES!  PRACTICALLY HOME STATE!  SAD! 
Logged



Registering for Atlas After Dark is a can of corn!
http://atlasafterdark.freeforums.net/
pbrower2a
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,136
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 04, 2016, 08:03:43 pm »

Weak R margin for a Republican nominee.
Logged



Your political compass

Economic Left/Right: -7.00
Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: -5.49
ExtremeConservative
ExtremeRepublican
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,126


Political Matrix
E: 8.39, S: 7.83

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 04, 2016, 08:16:19 pm »

This probably understates the real margin, but TN isn't voting for Clinton.  We will get the Vanderbilt poll on Thursday.  I might go to the reveal show if I don't have anything going on that morning/early afternoon.
Logged

Far-right social, fiscal, and neo-conservative.  Christian conservative.  My #1 goal is to overturn Roe v. Wade and end abortion worldwide.  Reaganite movement conservatism is the path forward for the GOP, not populism, nationalism, or liberal-tarianism!

Pro-immigration (secure the border and end sanctuary cities, but don't deport non-criminal illegals).

Returned to GOP avatar since Trump mostly defunded PP via executive action.

The Inevitably Inevitable Inevitability of Kamala Harris
Beef
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,284
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 05, 2016, 07:37:02 am »

11/8 result:

Trump 55%
Clinton 39%
Lol 6%
Logged


Acres don't vote. People do.
peterthlee
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 559
Hong Kong


View Profile WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: November 16, 2016, 06:59:18 pm »

Wow, Trump won by 61-35-4 in the end. POLLS SUCK!!!
Logged

Endorsements:
Carrie Lam for HK Chief Executive
Emmanuel Macron for French President
Angela Merkel for German Chancellor
Mark Rutte for Netherlands PM
Moon Jae-in for South Korean President
Ciro Gomes for Brazilian President
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 15,312
United States


P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: November 16, 2016, 07:01:39 pm »

Wow, Trump won by 61-35-4 in the end. POLLS SUCK!!!

When was the last time polls in TN didn't underestimate Republicans?
Logged

ExtremeConservative
ExtremeRepublican
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,126


Political Matrix
E: 8.39, S: 7.83

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: November 16, 2016, 08:10:09 pm »

Wow, Trump won by 61-35-4 in the end. POLLS SUCK!!!

When was the last time polls in TN didn't underestimate Republicans?

That often happens in safe states.  But, my Trump +33 GCS poll was actually closer than what either MTSU or Vanderbilt could come up with!
Logged

Far-right social, fiscal, and neo-conservative.  Christian conservative.  My #1 goal is to overturn Roe v. Wade and end abortion worldwide.  Reaganite movement conservatism is the path forward for the GOP, not populism, nationalism, or liberal-tarianism!

Pro-immigration (secure the border and end sanctuary cities, but don't deport non-criminal illegals).

Returned to GOP avatar since Trump mostly defunded PP via executive action.

Maxwell
mah519
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 28,750
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: November 17, 2016, 12:25:32 am »

Interestingly enough - Cooper's district actually trended Democrat. Clinton won it by 19 while Obama won it only by 12 in 2012 and 16 in 2008. Can we primary that guy yet or what?
Logged
ExtremeConservative
ExtremeRepublican
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,126


Political Matrix
E: 8.39, S: 7.83

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: November 17, 2016, 12:35:39 am »

Interestingly enough - Cooper's district actually trended Democrat. Clinton won it by 19 while Obama won it only by 12 in 2012 and 16 in 2008. Can we primary that guy yet or what?

As a resident of that district, I can tell you that there are a ton of suburban anti-Trump style rich Republicans in it that increased her margin.  The Davidson County mayoral race was actually quite close last year, the closest a conservative has come to winning it in a long time.  Jim Cooper also won by less than he did in 2012 or 2014.  Either way, he will be gerrymandered out of a district in 2022 (I'm not sure why they didn't do it last time)!
Logged

Far-right social, fiscal, and neo-conservative.  Christian conservative.  My #1 goal is to overturn Roe v. Wade and end abortion worldwide.  Reaganite movement conservatism is the path forward for the GOP, not populism, nationalism, or liberal-tarianism!

Pro-immigration (secure the border and end sanctuary cities, but don't deport non-criminal illegals).

Returned to GOP avatar since Trump mostly defunded PP via executive action.

ExtremeConservative
ExtremeRepublican
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,126


Political Matrix
E: 8.39, S: 7.83

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: November 17, 2016, 12:39:09 am »

Interestingly enough - Cooper's district actually trended Democrat. Clinton won it by 19 while Obama won it only by 12 in 2012 and 16 in 2008. Can we primary that guy yet or what?

As a resident of that district, I can tell you that there are a ton of suburban anti-Trump style rich Republicans in it that increased her margin.  The Davidson County mayoral race was actually quite close last year, the closest a conservative has come to winning it in a long time.  Jim Cooper also won by less than he did in 2012 or 2014.  Either way, he will be gerrymandered out of a district in 2022 (I'm not sure why they didn't do it last time)!
Logged

Far-right social, fiscal, and neo-conservative.  Christian conservative.  My #1 goal is to overturn Roe v. Wade and end abortion worldwide.  Reaganite movement conservatism is the path forward for the GOP, not populism, nationalism, or liberal-tarianism!

Pro-immigration (secure the border and end sanctuary cities, but don't deport non-criminal illegals).

Returned to GOP avatar since Trump mostly defunded PP via executive action.

Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines