Home 2018 Election Results Election Info Weblog Wiki Search Email Site Info Store

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
February 24, 2019, 01:06:12 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Election 2018 predictions for US Senate are now open!.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  Election Archive
| | |-+  All Archived Boards
| | | |-+  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
| | | | |-+  TN-MTSU: Trump+12		 « previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: TN-MTSU: Trump+12  (Read 2532 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 47,984
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -6.09

P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 04, 2016, 01:16:35 pm »
Middle Tennessee State University:

50% Trump
38% Clinton
  5% Johnson
  1% Stein

http://mtsupoll.org/2016/10/04/f2016pres
Logged
Joni Ernst 20∞
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17,455
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 04, 2016, 01:18:52 pm »
TN polls almost always underestimate Republican strength in the state. But we're talking about Trump here, so who knows.
Logged
populist neoliberal elitist corporatist polarized record levels polarization elastic inelastic elasticity inelasticity college-educated fiscally conservative socially liberal moderate reasonable wwc



Countdown timer to Joni Ernst's victory speech
Xing
xingkerui
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 15,260
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.63, S: -6.13

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 04, 2016, 01:21:36 pm »
Typical safe state poll underestimating the eventual margin of victory.
Logged
Southern Dep. Speaker Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20,503
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P P

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 04, 2016, 01:23:47 pm »
Safe R, but nice to get a poll confirming it.
Logged
LINCOLN - VOTE NO ON THE FLAWED PHILADELPHIA PLAN!!!!

#FreeGreedoToday
#SherrodBrown2020
https://tengaged.com/user/JasonEldridge

2019 GOV Ratings: https://docs.google.com/document/d/1bGAG7xF6fQTpNuyp5rJDDve4xGRuJM6WsXouSStfKNE
2020 House Rating - Toss-Up
F_S_USATN
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 307


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 04, 2016, 01:26:08 pm »
Quote from: TN Volunteer on October 04, 2016, 01:18:52 pm
TN polls almost always underestimate Republican strength in the state. But we're talking about Trump here, so who knows.

Got a bet for Trump < 17.5% margin made this May. Feeling pretty good
Logged
Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,002
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.32, S: -6.87

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 04, 2016, 01:30:38 pm »
Angry Tennessee men will ensure a Trump victory. Safe R. Smiley
Logged
Joni Ernst 20∞
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17,455
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 04, 2016, 01:34:39 pm »
Quote from: F_S_USATN on October 04, 2016, 01:26:08 pm
Quote from: TN Volunteer on October 04, 2016, 01:18:52 pm
TN polls almost always underestimate Republican strength in the state. But we're talking about Trump here, so who knows.

Got a bet for Trump < 17.5% margin made this May. Feeling pretty good

Maybe. A generic Republican running against Clinton would have cracked 60% without breaking a sweat.
« Last Edit: October 04, 2016, 01:38:53 pm by TN Volunteer »Logged
populist neoliberal elitist corporatist polarized record levels polarization elastic inelastic elasticity inelasticity college-educated fiscally conservative socially liberal moderate reasonable wwc



Countdown timer to Joni Ernst's victory speech
Gass3268
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,597
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 04, 2016, 01:40:33 pm »
Quote from: TN Volunteer on October 04, 2016, 01:34:39 pm
Quote from: F_S_USATN on October 04, 2016, 01:26:08 pm
Quote from: TN Volunteer on October 04, 2016, 01:18:52 pm
TN polls almost always underestimate Republican strength in the state. But we're talking about Trump here, so who knows.

Got a bet for Trump < 17.5% margin made this May. Feeling pretty good

Maybe. A generic Republican running against Clinton would have cracked 60% without breaking a sweat.

I know at least 4 Romney voters in Tennessee that are probably voting for Clinton.
Logged
Ranked Preferences for Announced Democratic Nominees:

1. Warren
2. Harris
3. Buttigieg
4. Sanders
5. Klobuchar
6. Gillibrand
7. Castro
8. Booker
9. Delaney
10. Gabbard
pbrower2a
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,798
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 04, 2016, 01:48:38 pm »
Weak margin for Donald Trump.
Logged


Your political compass

Economic Left/Right: -7.00
Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: -5.49
ReapSow
Rafe
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 621
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 04, 2016, 01:50:46 pm »
I can see the tweet now: "Thanks, Tennessee! We are surging! The movement is real! Real Americans reject Crooked Hillary! Sad! #MAGA"
Logged
Openly gay member of the United States Air Force.
HokeyDood
HockeyDude
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,598
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 04, 2016, 02:20:31 pm »
Quote from: Rafe on October 04, 2016, 01:50:46 pm
I can see the tweet now: "Thanks, Tennessee! We are surging! The movement is real! Real Americans reject Crooked Hillary! Sad! #MAGA"


@RealDonaldTrump

Home State of favorite son Al Gore rejects #CrookedHillary.  FORMER COLLEAGUES!  PRACTICALLY HOME STATE!  SAD! 
Logged


Registering for Atlas After Dark is a can of corn!
http://atlasafterdark.freeforums.net/
pbrower2a
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,798
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 04, 2016, 08:03:43 pm »
Weak R margin for a Republican nominee.
Logged


Your political compass

Economic Left/Right: -7.00
Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: -5.49
ExtremeConservative
ExtremeRepublican
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,834


Political Matrix
E: 8.39, S: 7.83

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 04, 2016, 08:16:19 pm »
This probably understates the real margin, but TN isn't voting for Clinton.  We will get the Vanderbilt poll on Thursday.  I might go to the reveal show if I don't have anything going on that morning/early afternoon.
Logged
Can we have a real Christian conservative president instead of having our party go down the road of populism and nationalism, with strains of liberal-tarianism?  Let the loss of the House be a lesson that we need to return to the party of Marco Rubio, Nikki Haley, Tim Scott, Rick Santorum, and Bill Lee.  We need a bold and optimistic vision for this country that embraces Christian values!
WI is Safe D
Beef
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,839
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 05, 2016, 07:37:02 am »
11/8 result:

Trump 55%
Clinton 39%
Lol 6%
Logged
 
peterthlee
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 557
Hong Kong


View Profile WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: November 16, 2016, 06:59:18 pm »
Wow, Trump won by 61-35-4 in the end. POLLS SUCK!!!
Logged
Endorsements:
Carrie Lam for HK Chief Executive
Emmanuel Macron for French President
Angela Merkel for German Chancellor
Mark Rutte for Netherlands PM
Moon Jae-in for South Korean President
Ciro Gomes for Brazilian President
Joni Ernst 20∞
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17,455
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: November 16, 2016, 07:01:39 pm »
Quote from: peterthlee on November 16, 2016, 06:59:18 pm
Wow, Trump won by 61-35-4 in the end. POLLS SUCK!!!

When was the last time polls in TN didn't underestimate Republicans?
Logged
populist neoliberal elitist corporatist polarized record levels polarization elastic inelastic elasticity inelasticity college-educated fiscally conservative socially liberal moderate reasonable wwc



Countdown timer to Joni Ernst's victory speech
ExtremeConservative
ExtremeRepublican
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,834


Political Matrix
E: 8.39, S: 7.83

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: November 16, 2016, 08:10:09 pm »
Quote from: TN Volunteer on November 16, 2016, 07:01:39 pm
Quote from: peterthlee on November 16, 2016, 06:59:18 pm
Wow, Trump won by 61-35-4 in the end. POLLS SUCK!!!

When was the last time polls in TN didn't underestimate Republicans?

That often happens in safe states.  But, my Trump +33 GCS poll was actually closer than what either MTSU or Vanderbilt could come up with!
Logged
Can we have a real Christian conservative president instead of having our party go down the road of populism and nationalism, with strains of liberal-tarianism?  Let the loss of the House be a lesson that we need to return to the party of Marco Rubio, Nikki Haley, Tim Scott, Rick Santorum, and Bill Lee.  We need a bold and optimistic vision for this country that embraces Christian values!
Maxwell
mah519
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 28,732
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: November 17, 2016, 12:25:32 am »
Interestingly enough - Cooper's district actually trended Democrat. Clinton won it by 19 while Obama won it only by 12 in 2012 and 16 in 2008. Can we primary that guy yet or what?
Logged
ExtremeConservative
ExtremeRepublican
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,834


Political Matrix
E: 8.39, S: 7.83

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: November 17, 2016, 12:35:39 am »
Quote from: Maxwell on November 17, 2016, 12:25:32 am
Interestingly enough - Cooper's district actually trended Democrat. Clinton won it by 19 while Obama won it only by 12 in 2012 and 16 in 2008. Can we primary that guy yet or what?

As a resident of that district, I can tell you that there are a ton of suburban anti-Trump style rich Republicans in it that increased her margin.  The Davidson County mayoral race was actually quite close last year, the closest a conservative has come to winning it in a long time.  Jim Cooper also won by less than he did in 2012 or 2014.  Either way, he will be gerrymandered out of a district in 2022 (I'm not sure why they didn't do it last time)!
Logged
Can we have a real Christian conservative president instead of having our party go down the road of populism and nationalism, with strains of liberal-tarianism?  Let the loss of the House be a lesson that we need to return to the party of Marco Rubio, Nikki Haley, Tim Scott, Rick Santorum, and Bill Lee.  We need a bold and optimistic vision for this country that embraces Christian values!
ExtremeConservative
ExtremeRepublican
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,834


Political Matrix
E: 8.39, S: 7.83

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: November 17, 2016, 12:39:09 am »
Quote from: Maxwell on November 17, 2016, 12:25:32 am
Interestingly enough - Cooper's district actually trended Democrat. Clinton won it by 19 while Obama won it only by 12 in 2012 and 16 in 2008. Can we primary that guy yet or what?

As a resident of that district, I can tell you that there are a ton of suburban anti-Trump style rich Republicans in it that increased her margin.  The Davidson County mayoral race was actually quite close last year, the closest a conservative has come to winning it in a long time.  Jim Cooper also won by less than he did in 2012 or 2014.  Either way, he will be gerrymandered out of a district in 2022 (I'm not sure why they didn't do it last time)!
Logged
Can we have a real Christian conservative president instead of having our party go down the road of populism and nationalism, with strains of liberal-tarianism?  Let the loss of the House be a lesson that we need to return to the party of Marco Rubio, Nikki Haley, Tim Scott, Rick Santorum, and Bill Lee.  We need a bold and optimistic vision for this country that embraces Christian values!
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines