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| | | | |-+  YouGov MI/CO/NH/WI/NC/FL/PA/NV/IA/OH/GA: Clinton up, tied in GA
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Author Topic: YouGov MI/CO/NH/WI/NC/FL/PA/NV/IA/OH/GA: Clinton up, tied in GA  (Read 8788 times)
alomas
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« Reply #25 on: October 11, 2016, 05:57:09 am »

Pennsylvania numbers are actually surprisingly good for Trump. I can see now 2.2 points difference on the website which mean PA is absolutely in play, especially as it is a post-tape poll. Clinton is leading by 7 on average so this looks completely different. We need to wait for more polls though.

Very bad numbers in Georgia though, I must be a long long time when Republican lost that state.


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StatesPoll
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« Reply #26 on: October 12, 2016, 08:17:02 pm »


YouGov 10/11

Pennsylvania: Hillary 47.1% | TRUMP 45.3%
now just 1.8% margins.

https://today.yougov.com/us-election/?state=Pennsylvania
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #27 on: October 12, 2016, 08:35:29 pm »

These arent, like actual polls though. If you want a YouGov PA poll, refer to the CBS/YouGov poll.
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StatesPoll
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« Reply #28 on: October 13, 2016, 06:15:50 am »


YouGov Election Model
Pennsylvania. 10/12

Hillary 46.6% | TRUMP 45.4% | Johnson 4.4% | Stein 1.9%

Back in the game.

https://today.yougov.com/us-election/?state=Pennsylvania
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‼realJohnEwards‼
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« Reply #29 on: October 13, 2016, 06:21:17 am »


YouGov Election Model
Pennsylvania. 10/12

Hillary 46.6% | TRUMP 45.4% | Johnson 4.4% | Stein 1.9%

Back in the game.

https://today.yougov.com/us-election/?state=Pennsylvania


NC(15) + NV(6) - PA(20) = 1

273 Freiwal!
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What this election has revealed to me is that our American political factions hold no respect for one another, and that this disrespect has reached the personal level. If we make it through the next four years, I can only pray that our party does something to remedy this, because until we have removed all of our "deplorable" rhetoric from our systems, this nation is hopeless.
StatesPoll
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« Reply #30 on: October 14, 2016, 08:50:43 am »

 


YouGov Election Model

https://today.yougov.com/us-election/?state=Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania: Hillary 46.5% | TRUMP 45.6% | Johnson 4.6% | Stein 1.8%


#TRUMPGonnaFlipPASoon


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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #31 on: October 14, 2016, 09:45:05 am »




YouGov Election Model

https://today.yougov.com/us-election/?state=Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania: Hillary 46.5% | TRUMP 45.6% | Johnson 4.6% | Stein 1.8%


#TRUMPGonnaFlipPASoon




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Gass3268
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« Reply #32 on: October 14, 2016, 09:46:32 am »




YouGov Election Model

https://today.yougov.com/us-election/?state=Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania: Hillary 46.5% | TRUMP 45.6% | Johnson 4.6% | Stein 1.8%


#TRUMPGonnaFlipPASoon






Still have 25 days...
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Fargobison
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« Reply #33 on: October 16, 2016, 12:38:22 pm »

Georgia flips to HRC...

https://today.yougov.com/us-election/
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Ebsy
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« Reply #34 on: October 16, 2016, 12:40:11 pm »

They now have Mississippi extremely close, with Trump only +2.
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #35 on: October 16, 2016, 12:58:42 pm »

https://twitter.com/nickgourevitch/status/787713135809552384

Unlike a lot of public pollsters, YouGov keeps partisan metrics fairly stable. HRC +6.1 in their model -- the highest margin they've shown. Her median electoral vote total is 362.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #36 on: October 16, 2016, 01:00:00 pm »

YouGov also isn't very good - keep in mind how many international elections they've butchered.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #37 on: October 16, 2016, 01:02:27 pm »

I guess Statespoll is done posting about Pennsylvania lol
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fuck nazis
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« Reply #38 on: October 16, 2016, 01:16:01 pm »

After some meandering and a crawl towards Trump, Clinton spikes to a 6% national lead. GA, PA, IA and NV turn blue. TX, LA, and SC turn pink again.

Safe Dem: CA, CT, DE, DC, HI, IL, ME (including ME-1), MD, MA, NJ, NM, NY, OR, RI, VT, VA, WA

Lean Dem:

CO: Clinton 48.2, Trump 41.1
FL: Clinton 48.4, Trump 45.4
GA: Clinton 46.9, Trump 44.4
IA: Clinton 46.0, Trump 43.2
MI: Clinton 48.6, Trump 41.9
MN: Clinton 48.6, Trump 41.3
NV: Clinton 46.4, Trump 42.3
NH: Clinton 47.5, Trump 40.6
NC: Clinton 48.0, Trump 44.0
OH: Clinton 47.7, Trump 44.0
PA: Clinton 47.0, Trump 44.5
WI: Clinton 48.8, Trump 42.2

Lean Republican:

AZ: Trump 47.0, Clinton 42.5
MS: Trump 47.7, Clinton 45.4
SC: Trump 48.4, Clinton 43.0
TX: Trump 49.0, Clinton 42.0
LA: Trump 49.6, Clinton 41.9

Safe Republican: AL, AK, AR, ID, IN, KS, KY, MO, NE (including NE-1 and NE-3), ND, OK, SD, TN, UT, WV, WY

Tossups:

ME-2: Clinton 45.6, Trump 44.2
NE-2: Trump 45.3, Clinton 44.2
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ReapSow
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« Reply #39 on: October 16, 2016, 02:14:54 pm »

Noice.
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OneJ
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« Reply #40 on: October 16, 2016, 06:32:17 pm »

They now have Mississippi extremely close, with Trump only +2.

I'd be overjoyed with this result on election day if it were to happen. =(
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #41 on: October 17, 2016, 08:14:42 am »

BOOM!

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rafta_rafta
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« Reply #42 on: October 17, 2016, 08:15:33 am »

WHOA
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #43 on: October 17, 2016, 08:16:48 am »

Wut?
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HokeyDood
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« Reply #44 on: October 17, 2016, 08:18:36 am »











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BoAtlantis
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« Reply #45 on: October 17, 2016, 08:20:09 am »

YouGov has a Democrat bias but Hillary could take it.
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Edu
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« Reply #46 on: October 17, 2016, 08:22:02 am »

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HillOfANight
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« Reply #47 on: October 17, 2016, 08:25:46 am »

I don't think this is an actual Georgia specific poll, but part of their multilevel regression and post-stratification (MRP) project. They take lots of responses, not necessarily Georgia specific, and then model those responses back to Georgia, based on similar profiles.
https://today.yougov.com/us-election/?state=Georgia

See the 47-44 result here.
http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=247418.msg5321100#msg5321100
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diskymike44
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« Reply #48 on: October 17, 2016, 08:26:26 am »

#HILLARYSLIDE2016!!!!!!!!
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Ye Olde Europe
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« Reply #49 on: October 17, 2016, 08:30:58 am »

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